Hou/Oak 6.4 for home vs 4.0 for visitors (+2.4 runs)
Tex/Minn 5.8 for home vs 3.4 for visitors (+2.4 runs)
Milw/St.L 5.8 for home vs 4.4 for visitors (+1.4 runs)
Road Warriors
Nym/Wash 3.3 for home vs 3.7 for visitors(+0.4 runs)
For me, if I were picking sides which I don't usually, the runline is looking good in the Houston game and Wash/Mets.....Scherzer beat Verrret last time as well with 7 shutout innings. I will definitely be mentioning this game for totals coming up!
GL
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Umpire Run Scoring Biases for Saturday:
Homer Umps:
Hou/Oak 6.4 for home vs 4.0 for visitors (+2.4 runs)
Tex/Minn 5.8 for home vs 3.4 for visitors (+2.4 runs)
Milw/St.L 5.8 for home vs 4.4 for visitors (+1.4 runs)
Road Warriors
Nym/Wash 3.3 for home vs 3.7 for visitors(+0.4 runs)
For me, if I were picking sides which I don't usually, the runline is looking good in the Houston game and Wash/Mets.....Scherzer beat Verrret last time as well with 7 shutout innings. I will definitely be mentioning this game for totals coming up!
System Suggestions ytd= 8-4-2 (67% clip....worse case scenario 50%)
Personal Recommendations= 5-3 (62.5%...worse case scenario 41.5% and then its ferme la bouche....don't know how to say this in German or I would considering.....)
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
System Suggestions ytd= 8-4-2 (67% clip....worse case scenario 50%)
Personal Recommendations= 5-3 (62.5%...worse case scenario 41.5% and then its ferme la bouche....don't know how to say this in German or I would considering.....)
I could make a case for the LAA/Balt OVER.....lots of runs in this park....Angels hitting the ball well, wind out to right centre 10mph and 88F...ripe conditions ....ump avgs 9.8 runs with a 1.4 whip....UMPFACTOR# = 3.2.......Hmmm....only problem is, both pitchers are capable of going 0-2 runs and 7-8 innings so that is why I laid off
FAVE PLAY.....Sabbathia is sic on the road and during the day and he will have a wall of wind pushing any of his flyballs to left field back into the left and centre fielders glove....can't see Salazar giving up more than 4 runs so at worst, I see only 6-7 runs in this game....
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
I could make a case for the LAA/Balt OVER.....lots of runs in this park....Angels hitting the ball well, wind out to right centre 10mph and 88F...ripe conditions ....ump avgs 9.8 runs with a 1.4 whip....UMPFACTOR# = 3.2.......Hmmm....only problem is, both pitchers are capable of going 0-2 runs and 7-8 innings so that is why I laid off
FAVE PLAY.....Sabbathia is sic on the road and during the day and he will have a wall of wind pushing any of his flyballs to left field back into the left and centre fielders glove....can't see Salazar giving up more than 4 runs so at worst, I see only 6-7 runs in this game....
System Suggestions ytd= 8-7-2 (0-3 with 1 pending)
Sorry folks...Time to face the music ...I'll keep throwing them out there but I am colder than a nun's right teet (the left is warmer because it is close to her heart ) Not sure how long I am going to keep this going to figure out if the trend I thought I had stumbled on was just an anomoly.....will give it a couple more weeks and like I said before, I need to get the avg up over 55% to be somewhat worthy and over 63% to be useful
Personal Recommendations= 5-6 ( ..1 pending)
Lets at least ride out this Mets Under
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
System Suggestions ytd= 8-7-2 (0-3 with 1 pending)
Sorry folks...Time to face the music ...I'll keep throwing them out there but I am colder than a nun's right teet (the left is warmer because it is close to her heart ) Not sure how long I am going to keep this going to figure out if the trend I thought I had stumbled on was just an anomoly.....will give it a couple more weeks and like I said before, I need to get the avg up over 55% to be somewhat worthy and over 63% to be useful
Sorry folks.....I'll keep throwing them out there..... but a bit of a grind the last 2 days....have to trust it until it shows otherwise. It would appear that the OVERS are the issue right now....umpires, elements and fade pitchers are looking like Cy Young. Might lay off the personal recommendations until I get a beauty.....seriously thought I had a beauty in Clev/Nyy....whats up with the Yankees all of a sudden acting like the Jays and on the road......the only team with a worst road offense was Atlanta
Personal Recommendations= 6-6 ()
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
System Suggestions ytd= 9-7-2 (1-3 )
Sorry folks.....I'll keep throwing them out there..... but a bit of a grind the last 2 days....have to trust it until it shows otherwise. It would appear that the OVERS are the issue right now....umpires, elements and fade pitchers are looking like Cy Young. Might lay off the personal recommendations until I get a beauty.....seriously thought I had a beauty in Clev/Nyy....whats up with the Yankees all of a sudden acting like the Jays and on the road......the only team with a worst road offense was Atlanta
Pitt 8-4 over Arieta again and another OVER....time to call it like it is.... Cubs need a shake up trade...its not panic time but they need leadership like a Bautista...
Atl 11-8 ....Wisler over Sale?...Atl...worst team on the road in baseball vs one of the best home pitchers next to Kershaw
Phi/Col UNDER again......
Jays UNDER when conditions are ripe....6 runs in the Rogers Centre and another Under today?
Saturday
Oriole/LAA only 5 runs?.....wind blowing out and hitters galore on both sides....so-so pitchers
Yankees/Clev 13 runs?.....both pitchers coming in were in 2.00 era range in this situation
Pitt 12-6 over a pitcher who is known for his control and low era but for the second game in a row gives up a tonne of runs by walking bases loaded constantly
Lots of wackiness to go around.....I love the 'what was up ....is now down' philosophy for Football and sometimes hockey, but to see 2 days in a row of wackiness and strange bias changes......is it a major shift or manipulation? I do play the ump....maybe now the ump plays goes contrarian?
Doubt it but the unusual should be expected in baseball but hopefully for not more consecutive days...
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
List of curious games last 2 days:
Friday
Pitt 8-4 over Arieta again and another OVER....time to call it like it is.... Cubs need a shake up trade...its not panic time but they need leadership like a Bautista...
Atl 11-8 ....Wisler over Sale?...Atl...worst team on the road in baseball vs one of the best home pitchers next to Kershaw
Phi/Col UNDER again......
Jays UNDER when conditions are ripe....6 runs in the Rogers Centre and another Under today?
Saturday
Oriole/LAA only 5 runs?.....wind blowing out and hitters galore on both sides....so-so pitchers
Yankees/Clev 13 runs?.....both pitchers coming in were in 2.00 era range in this situation
Pitt 12-6 over a pitcher who is known for his control and low era but for the second game in a row gives up a tonne of runs by walking bases loaded constantly
Lots of wackiness to go around.....I love the 'what was up ....is now down' philosophy for Football and sometimes hockey, but to see 2 days in a row of wackiness and strange bias changes......is it a major shift or manipulation? I do play the ump....maybe now the ump plays goes contrarian?
Doubt it but the unusual should be expected in baseball but hopefully for not more consecutive days...
Nice to see you again buddy. I looked at the board tomorrow and I could not find a game to bet the total on. Almost every factor is contradicting one another. Every game seems like a no-play.
Except maybe the Dodgers game. Home-away runs scored/allowed + playing in Arizona + bad pitcher. I like to think Over in this one.
Help?
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Nice to see you again buddy. I looked at the board tomorrow and I could not find a game to bet the total on. Almost every factor is contradicting one another. Every game seems like a no-play.
Except maybe the Dodgers game. Home-away runs scored/allowed + playing in Arizona + bad pitcher. I like to think Over in this one.
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