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07/07 Play the Ump System Options/Recommendations:

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Posted: #26
About how long before game time does that site post the umpire information?
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by HappyJohn:

About how long before game time does that site post the umpire information?

Not completely sure because I have been tapping my foot all day....
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:


Not completely sure because I have been tapping my foot all day....

I think its because they are still working out their order since they are new series.......rumour has it, its a chugging contest per home run hit during batting practice ....umpires should be good and juiced in Toronto, Colorado and Texas....not sure how to play those? ...lol 
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Posted: #29
I'm having trouble recreating your math based on the statfox info. Can you show the calculation? TIA. 
 
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Posted: #30
Hey,

Saw you posted that wind will be helping the texas over, I just read this report: "Thursday night's game will feature partly cloudy skies and warm temperatures. Gusty winds blowing in from right field will reduce home run chances significantly throughout the evening." 

Any comments?
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:


I think its because they are still working out their order since they are new series.......rumour has it, its a chugging contest per home run hit during batting practice ....umpires should be good and juiced in Toronto, Colorado and Texas....not sure how to play those? ...lol 

BP should be over and the Keg run dry?...no?
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by yeghia:

Hey,

Saw you posted that wind will be helping the texas over, I just read this report: "Thursday night's game will feature partly cloudy skies and warm temperatures. Gusty winds blowing in from right field will reduce home run chances significantly throughout the evening." 

Any comments?

Sure.....thats what I see sometimes too and shake my head since most of the time the wind is moving into home plate and there is something called the stadium jetstream....I will look it up now and post a link and quote for you below. (notice they mention when the wind is coming in from right centre which is exactly what we have tonight....you gotta trust the Thirst my boy!)

"his has started out as a series dominated by pitching, but no one ought to count on it staying that way, not in this place that has unusual jet streams swooping in from off the right-field roof, cutting across the stadium, then backtracking into a mighty jet stream that sends a wind-tunnel effect from home plate into right center field."
https://www.stltoday.com/sports/baseball/professional/hitters-could-go-crazy-at-rangers-park/article_2fb08ed8-3650-5439-8e95-abc9d374a843.html
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by yeghia:

Hey,

Saw you posted that wind will be helping the texas over, I just read this report: "Thursday night's game will feature partly cloudy skies and warm temperatures. Gusty winds blowing in from right field will reduce home run chances significantly throughout the evening." 

Any comments?
I posted something a few weeks ago about this MIGHT happen. The wind blows in over the stadium in the outfield and dips down into the field which creates an eddy. The wind then "rebounds" after it hits the ground and can push the ball higher to go over the fence.
This is the same principle that salmon use to jump over a rapid when swimming upstream.
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by Robbie312744:

I'm having trouble recreating your math based on the statfox info. Can you show the calculation? TIA. 

Sure....here is the line from todays umpire from the TB/LAA game
below:

Strikeouts(19.1) minus Base on balls (5.3)= 13.8 minus  Avg era (3.4)= UMPY FACTOR # 10.4.........which means, I go under because there are way more strikeouts than there are base on balls and run generating hits comparatively.

I am even considering tweaking into the formula total runs per game avg. = 7.4 but I am not sure if it is a measurable factor... need to observe more patterns 

Hope this helps ya 


M ESTABROOK3.24.25-7
-2.0
4-736.4%63.6%0.2413.41.25.319.1


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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by gbpackman:

I posted something a few weeks ago about this MIGHT happen. The wind blows in over the stadium in the outfield and dips down into the field which creates an eddy. The wind then "rebounds" after it hits the ground and can push the ball higher to go over the fence.
This is the same principle that salmon use to jump over a rapid when swimming upstream.

Nice....Geography and Science...I keep saying I love the critical thinking and I mean it!! Nice going guys....nothing like adding a little science/geography to the game of baseball if it means ! Lets test our theory tonight and over the next while. I will post a jetstream alert  in the future!
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Posted: #36
which is the play ?
 
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Posted: #37
Dang it!!!....NO NEW UMPY INFO POSTED ON Stats-worm who like to keep their info buried! 

I will post something when I get the info.....in the meantime, lets enjoy the launchfest that will happen down in Arlington, Texas tonight.

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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by max555:

which is the play ?

I called Texas O10.5 this morning as a personal Recommendation without any umpire influence......Its up to 11 now but I am about to start a new thread on which game total will go higher:  TEX/MINNY or PHIL/COL.......gonna set the line at COL/PHIL -1.5 and we shall see where people go.....you should have enough time to make a decision if you wish to see how people debate this. 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:


I called Texas O10.5 this morning as a personal Recommendation without any umpire influence......Its up to 11 now but I am about to start a new thread on which game total will go higher:  TEX/MINNY or PHIL/COL.......gonna set the line at COL/PHIL -1.5 and we shall see where people go.....you should have enough time to make a decision if you wish to see how people debate this. 

thanks mate here we go  over tex
 
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Posted: #40
2-0 Minny! .........1/2 inning.....jetstream effect + gascan = 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:

2-0 Minny! .........1/2 inning.....jetstream effect + gascan = 
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by gbpackman:


We need some runs......where is the jetstream  when you need it? 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:


We need some runs......where is the jetstream  when you need it? 

Boy...this game is a grind. So many strikeouts with runners on base. There will be easily be 16-20 runners left on base after this one...
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Posted: #44
Wow...they each have 5 k's after 3.5 inninngs and there are 14 men LOB between both teams....
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Posted: #45
Minny pitching coach just came back from a DUI. He was gone for 6 weeks. Maybe this was why Twins pitching is better?

Makes ya tink!
 
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Posted: #46
Guess the wind kept most balls in SSE @ 13 blowing in from right
 
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Posted: #47
For 7-8-16
I got Toby Basner 18.8 Ks/g  6.2 BB/g   RPG 8.3
WAS @ NYM
 
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Posted: #48
Adam Hamari  16.8 Ks/g  6.1 BB/g   RPG 9.6
MIN @ TEX

 
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Posted: #49
Victor Carapazza 17.8 Ks/g  6.1 BB/g   RPG 8.4
OAK @ HOU
 
 
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