Mods - please move my thread to the "systems" forum if you think that's the right place.
But I think this can't be considered a system, because I will just chose a pick from the recommended ones for each day, and apply some money management.
At the start of the 2015-16 NBA season I will start a similar thread in the NBA forum.
Here's a little story which you need to know before starting:
So I have this very good friend, in fact he's the best and most trustworthy friend of mine. When we were at the university we were playing in the same rock band... :)
I was betting almost all my life, beginning since I was about 18, in my home country, a former east Euro country of the communist block, now EU member... In 2000 I came to USA, I learned to cap and started to bet baseball and basketball too (of course before I was doing just soccer). My friend remained "home"...
We always kept the connection. Usually every year I was wisiting in my home country for 1-3 weeks, and then we always met, though he's living in a city about 70 miles from my home city. (That would be at least 5 times that distance in the US, if we compare the size of the land masses.) My friend never bet til about 10 years ago - beeing so far away we talked every once in a while in emails, or chatted in Yahoo messenger about my betting too, so I guess somehow I gave him the "microbe" of betting, of making extra income out of betting.
He started betting on soccer, but of course with very small bankroll compared to mine, and no so seriously.
He has a family , 2 grown up girls, who just finished college... and together with his wife they were living from their own transport company in the last almost 25 years... They were doing pretty OK, but they were working hard for it every day 10-12 hours, 6 days a weeks...
About 1, 1.5 years ago hard times begun to hit, because economical conditions, the decreasing numbers of passengers travelling between their city and the country they are doing regular transport to (their main activity), and mostly because of a large "bad" bank financing they took on for 2 new busses a few years ago...
About 4 months ago the interest became extremely high, because they had it lately changed to swiss frank (I guess you know what happened to swiss frank). To make it short, the situation became very bad financially after so many hard and honest years of work.
...They took another hit now, in January... his wife was diagnosed with cancer. Since these problems begun, my friend bet larger than he used to, and of course, like always happen in these situation, lost pretty big in the last half year. It's maybe the only guy I believe he never ever would lie to me about finances... He told me that since last summer he lost about 15,000 Euro at Pinnacle, betting just soccer.
Up until then he has always around the zero mark, as I know. In previous years every once in a while I was helping him on occasions with advice, and some of my own bets I thought were the best. But lately myself I'm in a lot worst shape financially than I was 2 years ago, and in the last 6-7 ears before that.
This is another story, but I had to stay 2.5 years in my home country because of family reasons (my mother became very ill, she died 4 months ago), and I will return just in middle May to the USA. At least I could do it, because I'm divorced, so I need to take care just of myself...
In these 2.5 years my only income was from my betting, but I took a huge hit from a Forex investment I had (proved to be a large scam, the responsible person is behind bars, receiver was appointed... we're luck if we get back 10% of our invested funds), plus a foolish business startup in my home country (at first my partners were the wrong guys) and finally a huge hit I took personally in my betting.
For maybe 4 years I was member of an exclusive group of 20 people paying a great tout to give us exclusive picks. We were making like a clockwork at least 12% bankroll increase per month, but on average about 15%. The source guy died last January from hart attack.
Now, I was making all my life plus from my betting and I was pretty good, but since in this group, I put aside a little bit my own capping, I became "lazy" on it, because this source was too good. (I am restarting recently just with these trial system you can see in the MLB and soccer forums.) But because of the hits I took since I was gone from the US, plus no other income just betting, I had to lower my total bankroll to just $10 K, from 40K it was about 3 years ago.
Parenthesis closed, sorry from diverging from the main subject.
So I'm not really in position to help him with plays, actually I told him to put aside betting for a while. But he's not listening, he has a bankroll now of about 5,000 Euro at Pinnacle, and I feel he's waiting on my advice on what to bet on.
Now in his situation, a 20% bankroll profit per month would be great, would save the financial situation momentarily. That would give him 1,000 Euro per month to withdraw. I know it's very hard to do 20% without negative months, but it's not impossible.
Being my best friend, I feel that without knowing me he would've never ever bet in his life, and so like I'm responsible for his total losses. I would like to help in some way, at least try to give him some plays. He always bets 1, max 2 games a day, which was never my style, I always bet a lot more games, because I'm a believer in distribution of the risk factor.
The other problem is that he's not good with English, and the advice given on the 1 daily play should be emailed him latest by 5 PM EST, because of the time difference (so he can go to sleep after placing his bet).
The plan:
I know there must be some good cappers who are also helping guys around here, who may understand this situation.
I am asking all those who would like to contribute with their advice, latest til around 5 PM to post in this thread one really solid MLB play, (and of course your reasons for) which you think one should wager on, if it's the only bet for the day.
Then I will chose a single play from there, apply a money management to it, probably some kind of Labby (target 1% per day for the beginning, maybe we'll increase it to 2 if things go well for a while) and email him the play.
Of course I will post it first here.
This single play could be good for us all to use in adding it to our daily card in the happy scenario I hope they will bring in a good enough bankroll increase in the long run.
I thank you guys in advance, and let's begin with today!
OK, I'm not going to force it today, maybe I posted the thread too late. So we'' start just from tomorrow.
None of you guys who posted plays gave even a word about why is your preferred play for today... and 2 of you gave more than 1 play.
Please from tomorrow just 1 play... And if you don't write at least a few words why that play, it's not more than a shot in the dark form me to chose any play.
My 3 plays for today are Marlins, Rockies and Under Rockies.
I post every day in this thread: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102109155
My 3 plays for today are Marlins, Rockies and Under Rockies.
I post every day in this thread: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102109155
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