W Cleve -120 W SD/ATL g2, Most hits? Braves -130 W BRAVES g2 -226 L Mil/MIA ov 8 -115 L Det/KC Most hits? Tiggers -110 W LAA/HOU ov 8.0 -126*BB W LAA/HOU ov 7.5 -119*BB W LAA/HOU ov 7.0 -164*BB W Dodgers -213 *BB L AZ/LAD Most hits? Dodgers -145
= 7 - 3 +3.30u with 4 - 0 *Best Bets!
YTD:106 - 68 - 5 +30.31u (47 - 30 - 1 *BB)
NONE of my picks were "multi-units". All for just one unit.
1
Monday, May 20 results:
W Cleve -120 W SD/ATL g2, Most hits? Braves -130 W BRAVES g2 -226 L Mil/MIA ov 8 -115 L Det/KC Most hits? Tiggers -110 W LAA/HOU ov 8.0 -126*BB W LAA/HOU ov 7.5 -119*BB W LAA/HOU ov 7.0 -164*BB W Dodgers -213 *BB L AZ/LAD Most hits? Dodgers -145
= 7 - 3 +3.30u with 4 - 0 *Best Bets!
YTD:106 - 68 - 5 +30.31u (47 - 30 - 1 *BB)
NONE of my picks were "multi-units". All for just one unit.
Our twins have lost 7 in a row :(:(:(:( they need to win this series as well Texas this weekend!!! Also we must not give up on twins as they need our support more then ever!!!
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Our twins have lost 7 in a row :(:(:(:( they need to win this series as well Texas this weekend!!! Also we must not give up on twins as they need our support more then ever!!!
Consider they stood 17 - 18 after their series vs Marlins ended May 5...
but over the past 14 games since, they are the league's worst at 2 - 12
Oakland is coming off a 10 game road swing (Sea, Hou, KC) losing 9 They scored 26 runs in that 10 game road trip (only 2.6 avg for) ...but yielded 58 (5.8 avg against!!!)
They only scored 13 runs over their last 7 games
In their own home ballpark? If we dismiss the outlandish 20 - 4 win over the awful Marlins (May 4) then the A's have scored 84 runs in 22 home games....but allowed 114
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How bad really are the Oakland A's?
Consider they stood 17 - 18 after their series vs Marlins ended May 5...
but over the past 14 games since, they are the league's worst at 2 - 12
Oakland is coming off a 10 game road swing (Sea, Hou, KC) losing 9 They scored 26 runs in that 10 game road trip (only 2.6 avg for) ...but yielded 58 (5.8 avg against!!!)
They only scored 13 runs over their last 7 games
In their own home ballpark? If we dismiss the outlandish 20 - 4 win over the awful Marlins (May 4) then the A's have scored 84 runs in 22 home games....but allowed 114
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 8-gameHOT STREAK, WITHOUT a BAD outing yet in that streak,
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
JON GRAY, Rangers >> Tonight @Phillies
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances....it happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that the bubble may burst that day. There's 14 other games to look at. I can simply skip those "HOT STREAK" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing beatdown, then resume looking at his starts after that!
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WARNING: HOT STREAK alert!
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 8-gameHOT STREAK, WITHOUT a BAD outing yet in that streak,
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
JON GRAY, Rangers >> Tonight @Phillies
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances....it happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that the bubble may burst that day. There's 14 other games to look at. I can simply skip those "HOT STREAK" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing beatdown, then resume looking at his starts after that!
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 9-gameHOT STREAK, WITHOUT a bad out yet in that streak,
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
SUAREZ, Phillies >> facing Jon Gray tonight!!
**With both starters on HOT STREAKS, this is an exception to my capping rule, and I may still bet this game straight up without regard to the streaks. BOTH could have a bad night -- then it basically becomes a wash and it's up to the bats...
1
WARNING: HOT STREAK alert!
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 9-gameHOT STREAK, WITHOUT a bad out yet in that streak,
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
SUAREZ, Phillies >> facing Jon Gray tonight!!
**With both starters on HOT STREAKS, this is an exception to my capping rule, and I may still bet this game straight up without regard to the streaks. BOTH could have a bad night -- then it basically becomes a wash and it's up to the bats...
...and may LORD have mercy that I am laying big on a slumping team with only a modest edge on the road after getting WHACKED 3 - 12 last night when they also had a modest edge facing a LEFTY
1
I bet
TWINKIES -175 @pinnacle
...and may LORD have mercy that I am laying big on a slumping team with only a modest edge on the road after getting WHACKED 3 - 12 last night when they also had a modest edge facing a LEFTY
Lean to BoSox getting plus money in a dead-heat coin-flipper! I see no edge to either team. Both starters off a poor outing so I may not bet at all due to that uncertainty....
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Lean to BoSox getting plus money in a dead-heat coin-flipper! I see no edge to either team. Both starters off a poor outing so I may not bet at all due to that uncertainty....
I bet TWINKIES -175 @pinnacle ...and may LORD have mercy that I am laying big on a slumping team with only a modest edge on the road after getting WHACKED 3 - 12 last night when they also had a modest edge facing a LEFTY
Yankees -152 *BB
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
I bet TWINKIES -175 @pinnacle ...and may LORD have mercy that I am laying big on a slumping team with only a modest edge on the road after getting WHACKED 3 - 12 last night when they also had a modest edge facing a LEFTY
I have Houston with a significant +1.1 run edge tonight v the good batting Angels...............but in my capping methods, that edge still isn't large enough to justify laying close to -200 juice.....
PASS
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Astros??
I have Houston with a significant +1.1 run edge tonight v the good batting Angels...............but in my capping methods, that edge still isn't large enough to justify laying close to -200 juice.....
...and may LORD have mercy that I am laying big on a slumping team with only a modest edge on the road after getting WHACKED 3 - 12 last night when they also had a modest edge facing a LEFTY
TWINKIES WIN 10 - 0!
1
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
I bet
TWINKIES -175 @pinnacle
...and may LORD have mercy that I am laying big on a slumping team with only a modest edge on the road after getting WHACKED 3 - 12 last night when they also had a modest edge facing a LEFTY
3 - 0 so far tonight, although it looks like my YANKEES bet will lose...
So probably 3 - 1 +1.56u
...and a bet on the west coast finale....
my capping method gives LAD a healthy +1.4 run edge heading into their encounter with the DBACKS. It looks about even on the mound if the starters pitch to their avgs....but the Dodgers have a definite edge in the last 3 innings with their BP....and the Dodgers begin with a fair edge at the plate which should increased by the fact that the DBACK don't hit righties well at all, while hitting righties is no problem for the Dodgers. ZONA is just 3 - 10 vs GOOD teams (1 - 6 on the road)
Dodgers -155 *BB@pinnacle
Of course, anything can happen in sports. LAD could certainly have a "one-off" or DBACKS could play waaaay over their heads to snag a win. It happens! But I play the percentages, accepting a healthy number of losses that are bound to occur....but this one has good value going in.....
0
3 - 0 so far tonight, although it looks like my YANKEES bet will lose...
So probably 3 - 1 +1.56u
...and a bet on the west coast finale....
my capping method gives LAD a healthy +1.4 run edge heading into their encounter with the DBACKS. It looks about even on the mound if the starters pitch to their avgs....but the Dodgers have a definite edge in the last 3 innings with their BP....and the Dodgers begin with a fair edge at the plate which should increased by the fact that the DBACK don't hit righties well at all, while hitting righties is no problem for the Dodgers. ZONA is just 3 - 10 vs GOOD teams (1 - 6 on the road)
Dodgers -155 *BB@pinnacle
Of course, anything can happen in sports. LAD could certainly have a "one-off" or DBACKS could play waaaay over their heads to snag a win. It happens! But I play the percentages, accepting a healthy number of losses that are bound to occur....but this one has good value going in.....
Our twins have lost 7 in a row :(:(:(:( they need to win this series as well Texas this weekend!!! Also we must not give up on twins as they need our support more then ever!!!
WINNER! Done deal!
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Quote Originally Posted by Moose6836:
Our twins have lost 7 in a row :(:(:(:( they need to win this series as well Texas this weekend!!! Also we must not give up on twins as they need our support more then ever!!!
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with 4 - 0 *Best Bets!
NONE of my picks were "multi-units". All for just one unit.
How bad really are the 21 - 25 BlewitJays?
WARNING
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