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🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

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Posted: #1226

an_cheers

 
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Posted: #1227

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Over the past 30 days, according to my handicapping sheets when I account for "skewed" results, the ROCKIES have been averaging about 4.1 rpg, which is a marked improvement from April! Over the same period, also adjusting the numbers to eliminate skewing, the TWINKIES avg only 3.4 rpg.....Twins have picked it up just a bit more recently but ROCKIES have kept pace. I'll give the TWINS a small edge at the plate however because personally I anticipate improvement now with the change of venue coming off a BAD 3 - 6 road trip...... Now, gentlemen, look at the pitching matchup....and decide for yourself....

an_lightTwinkies have an edge, yes, but waaaaaaaaaaay overpriced here, imv.

COLORADO RL +1.5 -115

     WINNER #3  an_dance

 
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Posted: #1228

Quote Originally Posted by Premian:

@fubah2 I took the Dodgers at -170, hope it pans out.

Good!peace_5  Hope it wins for you!! win

 

I bet a small $$$  amount but didn't post it

 
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Posted: #1229

@fubah2

Thanks, I did bet 1.7 Units on the Dodgers at -170.   Congrats on the Guardians and Rockies RL.  an_cheers

 
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Posted: #1230

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

St. Louis +118 pinnacle overnight lines

 

Poopers....this one is not going according to plan...Scoreless into the 9th....

So that means it's LIVE HEDGE BET time: Pirates -115

Got my 1 - 1 schplitt to save a loss! an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #1231

@fubah2

Wow good move on the hedge bet.  thumbs_up

 
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Posted: #1232

Quote Originally Posted by ebaysu:

an_cheers

Thank you  sir!  BoL with your bets Wednesday! clover

 
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Posted: #1233

Quote Originally Posted by Premian:

@fubah2 Wow good move on the hedge bet.thumbs_up

Yeah, thanks.  I do that a lot more now when I see a game not proceeding according to plan in the late stages.  Too risky to let it ride then.  I'm OK with cancelling it out withg a hedge, even if it may include a loss of juice with the exchange.

 
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Posted: #1234

@fubah2

Today I have the Phillies, Orioles and Brewers for a full unit.  And the Mariners for half a unit.

Do those look alright?

Good luck with your picks.  clover

 
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Posted: #1235

@fubah2

I added Yankees too now.  clover

Dodgers aren't even in my book and the Rangers don't have a pitcher listed.

 
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Posted: #1236
Horrible unacceptable loss last night by twins!!! You can’t lose to Colorado!!!! Huge must win today!!! Twins RL!!!
 
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Posted: #1237

an_police Worth reviewing!

 

UPDATED through June 11, 

 

How the HEAVY FAVS have fared since May 01 (does not include April)

I define HEAVY FAVS as a closing moneyline of at least  -170

 

6 - 4   -7.10u    SUPER HEAVY FAVS -300 to -350  = BIG FAT LOSER!
            (this range had 1 winner by one run, ie a loss on RL)


51 - 27     HEAVY FAVS in -200 to -299 range  = BIG FAT LOSER!
            (this range had 5 winners by one run, ie, 46 - 32 on RL)   <----- an_light


45 - 28     HEAVY FAVS in -170 to -199 range  = BIG FAT LOSER!
            (this range had 11 winners by one run, ie, 34 - 39 on RL)

 
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Posted: #1238

@fubah2

Yeah, betting on heavy favorites is generally bad, but there are spots where I think I can pick up half a unit using them.

 
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Posted: #1239

cool RESULTS Tuesday, June 11:

W  Orioles +119 pinnacle
W  Cleveland -125 @Bet365
W  COLORADO RL +1.5 -115
 L      St. Louis +118 
W  LIVE HEDGE BET: Pirates -115

an_2drinks =  4 - 1   +3.19u

 

YTD: 185 - 117  +51.72u       (70 - 44 *BB)

 
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Posted: #1240

nice job Fubah!!!!!

 
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Posted: #1241

@fubah2

About 61.3% with better odds than what I am doing.  I am only at 55.9% at worse odds.

Congrats   thumbs_up

 
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Posted: #1242

@fubah2

 an_clap  moneybag good work on a tough betting card.

 
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Posted: #1243

Quote Originally Posted by Premian:

@fubah2 Today I have the Phillies, Orioles and Brewers for a full unit.  And the Mariners for half a unit. Do those look alright? Good luck with your picks.
You should be okay.

 
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Posted: #1244

Quote Originally Posted by Premian:

@fubah2 Today I have the Phillies, Orioles and Brewers for a full unit.  And the Mariners for half a unit. Do those look alright? Good luck with your picks.
You should be okay.

 
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Posted: #1245

Quote Originally Posted by Premian:

@fubah2 Today I have the Phillies, Orioles and Brewers for a full unit.  And the Mariners for half a unit. Do those look alright? Good luck with your picks.
You should be okay.

 
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Posted: #1246

Quote Originally Posted by Premian:

@fubah2 Yeah, betting on heavy favorites is generally bad, but there are spots where I think I can pick up half a unit using them.
Some, yes.  It's important to track everything on paper so one knows exactly which category of bets are winning or failing....

 
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Posted: #1247

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    WARNING:  STREAKER alert!

 

  This STARTER is riding a tenuous 13-game  HOT STREAK,

                     WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak ....YET!

      ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway

 

            an_light  BURNES,  Orioles    @Tampa

Burnes pitched well yet again and escaped a "bad outing"

His tenuous consecutive streak climbs to 14....

Next up:  Phillies

 
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Posted: #1248

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    WARNING:  STREAKER alert!

 

  This STARTER is riding a tenuous 13-game  HOT STREAK,

                     WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak ....YET!

      ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway

 

            an_light  BURNES,  Orioles    @Tampa

Burnes pitched well yet again and escaped a "bad outing"

His tenuous consecutive streak climbs to 14....

Next up:  Phillies

 
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Posted: #1249

Do you have a BB today fubah?

clover

Believe
 
 
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Posted: #1250

@BlackwaterOP

 

 what is BB?? I think it means BaseBall. paint_help  sorry i'm new bigsmile

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