🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

@fubah2

So do you like the Yankees -165 and Reds +118 today?

Good luck with your Picks.  

Bingo.

Bingo.

Bingo.....my friend.

Best time to learn a hard lesson is after an escape without the loss.  Self-discipline (and emotional self-control!!) is a very underrated part of gambling. If learned and practiced wisely it can save a gambler's ass "bigly" many time over! I cannot emphasize that enough! I've lost multiple bankrolls over the years which - upon reflection - was at least 90% due to bad discipline.  I'm positive many long-experienced gamblers know this well.

to success!

@Premian

 Just settling in with breakfast and  my first cup of coffee, so not quite there yet, but as I recall RODON may be on a long HOT STREAK - which of course sends up the red flags for me immediately.........Later...

@fubah2

Yeah, I don't think Rodon has had any bad performances this year.

Key Element found the Reds today.

I am having trouble finding anything else solid.

WARNING:  STREAKER alert! 

        This STARTER is riding a tenuous 7-game  HOT STREAK,

                    WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

      ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!   

                     RODON,  Yankees

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  It happens to the best of them.  Just CAN NOT be avoided.

When???  We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens!  But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day.  There's other games to look at.  I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts after that!

Gil gave up 1 run with the same stat lines..just much lower ERA.......

He actually was shaky all night..u cursed him....

Saw Rodons last bad start @Bmore...he's shaky during the day....

Wish they would come back to earth soon...

Here’s a general thought.. most harp on pitching but I see good pitching/ weak hitting teams just trap bettors over and over.. like the Tigers and Royals.. remember good starters only go 2/3rds of a game, crappy  lineups play the whole game..

A good hitting team is never out of it, a bad one may never be in it.. 

Thanks for all you do here with the informative info you provide my man. 

Have a great weekend  fubah  and best of luck on your plays. 

@Hoyasaxa

 EXCELLENT food for thought! 

I think VERLANDER (Astros) is in a good spot as a starter "due for a rebound game" following TWO poor outings.  I would NOT make that assessment were he a weak pitcher or even merely mediocre....He is not GREAT, no, but I do rate him as better than mediocre, and so such pitchers typically rebound back to form, ESPECIALLY when NOT facing a GOOD offense!

But even if he has a very good game while he's in there, this does not imply the Astros beat the Tiggers, although it does suggest a favorable edge in probabilities for Houston...

@Moose6836

looks like Verlander scratched out

@estes1717

 Ahh so.     Yes indeed.   Thanks for the heads up!

Verlander OUT;  Spighetti in....

Spighetti has weak numbers overall but fairly good outings in 2 of recent 3.

Again, he won't be facing a potent offense v. righties...

But I see this as a PASS

  WARNING:  STREAKER alert! 

        This STARTER is riding a tenuous 7-game  HOT STREAK,

                    WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

      ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!   

                     FLAHERTY,  Tigers

NOTE:   These HOT STREAKER warnings are based on MY assessment of the starter's game logs.  Some people may hold different views.

For me, 4 earned runs is automatically classed a "BAD OUTING"

Three earned runs might be also, depending on how many innings he pitched and his WHIP stat.

For me,  3 earned runs in AT LEAST 6+ full innings is classed as a "mediocre outing"  *IF* his WHIP stat for the game is also below 1.50 and he shows ability to strike out a number of batters.

Such an outing may not be a GOOD one per se, but it avoids being tagged a "BAD OUTING" and that is the key to my streak stats.

FLAHERTY's May 23 and May 12 performances are classed as mediocre and DO NOT qualify as "BAD outings"

@fubah2

I had to cancel my Reds bet because of the pitching change.  All I have is Yankees -169 average to win 2 Units.

Good luck with your picks.  

All you have is all you need ..........We don't need to have multiple bets in the fire every single day....it's ok to settle for one good one and watch the game, or just take the day off! It's all part of sound self-discipline. 

As for the Yankees I think your bet will be ok........Even if RODON has a bad outing, their bats are good enough to win a lot of games. BoL @Premian

@Coloneljim

THANK YOU, Jim!....and BoL with your bets too!

Still just in the 2nd inning, RODON has allowed 8 on base and a whopping 5 earned runs!

Already this is a "BAD OUTING" regardless the final score....

HEAVY FAVS?

From Monday thru Friday this week:  15 - 2  (favs at least -170 ML)

Saturday: 2 - 3     -3.91      Pirates, Dodgers, NYY big losers

BRAVES win the series in 2 games! 

NATS win the series in 2 games!  

TIGGERS are tied

ROCKIES are tied

  WARNING:  STREAKER alert!!

        This STARTER is riding a tenuous 14-game  HOT STREAK,

                    WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

      ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!   

                BURNES, Orioles v. Phillies

He is a bad man.....

Wheeler no joke either....

7  O/U  hot day......

@fubah2

Hi, I am trying 2-team parlays and plus money straight bets.  I think I will lose slower this way since I bet just 1 unit per bet.  Maybe it will actually speed up the process, I am not sure.  Either way I am down 20 Units to 16.36 Units left.

Good luck with your picks.  

GL today