or he could have collected last week, and compared what's in the shoebox to his balance with his local book. i.e. $15,000 in the box and $3,650 up with the book before whatever his next settlement amount/date is.
week ends on sunday first local I had as all the others ended on a Monday with Monday night football chasers boy I remember those days calling your guy with no internet back then and he didn't answer the phone
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Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:
or he could have collected last week, and compared what's in the shoebox to his balance with his local book. i.e. $15,000 in the box and $3,650 up with the book before whatever his next settlement amount/date is.
week ends on sunday first local I had as all the others ended on a Monday with Monday night football chasers boy I remember those days calling your guy with no internet back then and he didn't answer the phone
or he could have collected last week, and compared what's in the shoebox to his balance with his local book. i.e. $15,000 in the box and $3,650 up with the book before whatever his next settlement amount/date is.
week ends on sunday first local I had as all the others ended on a Monday with Monday night football chasers boy I remember those days calling your guy with no internet back then and he didn't answer the phone
The good old days. I remember it well.
Thanks for the plays today. I already was on WAS so I took your other 4 and dropped them in a round robin 3 team parlay. $$$$ with the walk off in the white sox game. Keep up the awesome work.
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Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:
Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:
or he could have collected last week, and compared what's in the shoebox to his balance with his local book. i.e. $15,000 in the box and $3,650 up with the book before whatever his next settlement amount/date is.
week ends on sunday first local I had as all the others ended on a Monday with Monday night football chasers boy I remember those days calling your guy with no internet back then and he didn't answer the phone
The good old days. I remember it well.
Thanks for the plays today. I already was on WAS so I took your other 4 and dropped them in a round robin 3 team parlay. $$$$ with the walk off in the white sox game. Keep up the awesome work.
and......was waiting for a day like this....been a good test run but it's time to call it....Like they always say quit when your ahead....gonna take 13k and wait for NFL.
That pirates reds game was the game to hang it up from a capping standpoint....all the stats in the world and lose a game by a pitcher that hits a homerun and it's the only run for the game
Was a fun ride good times for those in the thread
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and......was waiting for a day like this....been a good test run but it's time to call it....Like they always say quit when your ahead....gonna take 13k and wait for NFL.
That pirates reds game was the game to hang it up from a capping standpoint....all the stats in the world and lose a game by a pitcher that hits a homerun and it's the only run for the game
good run my friend.....looking forward to NFL and getting your take on plays......I have a feeling its gonna be a good year in football since baseball has been chit
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good run my friend.....looking forward to NFL and getting your take on plays......I have a feeling its gonna be a good year in football since baseball has been chit
good run my friend.....looking forward to NFL and getting your take on plays......I have a feeling its gonna be a good year in football since baseball has been chit
Ive come to the conclusion you simply just bet reverse line movement. I backtracked all my plays and 80% of my wins were off reverse line movement. I wanted to add program tool to help pick games that involved non reverse line movement possibly picking spots as dogs or even slight favorites. Well.........I thought it worked out well but it turns out all the stats in the world cannot trump a team that simply cant score in 23 straight innings. Stat tools programs etc can only get you so far....
Whats the point in comparing quality pitcher starts against an opposing lineup against a pitcher with a 5.00 era and they cant even score? The inconsistency is hard to cap on a daily basis and as a stat point of view of capping its pointless to utilize any of it and take the time out of your day to try to get an edge.
How can you cap a royals team that doesn't score for 23 innings straight? Hammels a pitcher who would be a cy young if he just pitched 5 innings and gets pulled after 5 every game. Manager moves that don't make sense....and bullpen dibacles..... pirates game where only score in the game was a homerun by the pitcher? hasn't been done since 2015
from what I take out this test run is throw out all the stat and program tools as its a waste of time and simply follow reverse line movement that's IT.
Books do 90% work for you by line movement and sharp money is what you follow.
Had you simply followed reverse line movement on key games this week you would be up 6-1 instead of researching and wasteing your time on capping. Today alone you would be 3-1 on reverse line movement.....
Arizona public on bumgarner from favorite to dog and Arizona wins 2-1.
TIgers whitesox reverse line move....Whitesox opened -138 closed at 100 tigers win.
Houston Angels reverse movement....angels win
Yesterday reverse line movement Rockies Braves.....Public heavy on rockies they closed as a dog braves win. that's 4-0 in 2 days simply off reverse line movement.
I'm gonna post ONLY reverse line movement plays from now on and see what I can do with 13k
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Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:
good run my friend.....looking forward to NFL and getting your take on plays......I have a feeling its gonna be a good year in football since baseball has been chit
Ive come to the conclusion you simply just bet reverse line movement. I backtracked all my plays and 80% of my wins were off reverse line movement. I wanted to add program tool to help pick games that involved non reverse line movement possibly picking spots as dogs or even slight favorites. Well.........I thought it worked out well but it turns out all the stats in the world cannot trump a team that simply cant score in 23 straight innings. Stat tools programs etc can only get you so far....
Whats the point in comparing quality pitcher starts against an opposing lineup against a pitcher with a 5.00 era and they cant even score? The inconsistency is hard to cap on a daily basis and as a stat point of view of capping its pointless to utilize any of it and take the time out of your day to try to get an edge.
How can you cap a royals team that doesn't score for 23 innings straight? Hammels a pitcher who would be a cy young if he just pitched 5 innings and gets pulled after 5 every game. Manager moves that don't make sense....and bullpen dibacles..... pirates game where only score in the game was a homerun by the pitcher? hasn't been done since 2015
from what I take out this test run is throw out all the stat and program tools as its a waste of time and simply follow reverse line movement that's IT.
Books do 90% work for you by line movement and sharp money is what you follow.
Had you simply followed reverse line movement on key games this week you would be up 6-1 instead of researching and wasteing your time on capping. Today alone you would be 3-1 on reverse line movement.....
Arizona public on bumgarner from favorite to dog and Arizona wins 2-1.
TIgers whitesox reverse line move....Whitesox opened -138 closed at 100 tigers win.
Houston Angels reverse movement....angels win
Yesterday reverse line movement Rockies Braves.....Public heavy on rockies they closed as a dog braves win. that's 4-0 in 2 days simply off reverse line movement.
I'm gonna post ONLY reverse line movement plays from now on and see what I can do with 13k
Ive come to the conclusion you simply just bet reverse line movement. I backtracked all my plays and 80% of my wins were off reverse line movement. I wanted to add program tool to help pick games that involved non reverse line movement possibly picking spots as dogs or even slight favorites. Well.........I thought it worked out well but it turns out all the stats in the world cannot trump a team that simply cant score in 23 straight innings. Stat tools programs etc can only get you so far....
Whats the point in comparing quality pitcher starts against an opposing lineup against a pitcher with a 5.00 era and they cant even score? The inconsistency is hard to cap on a daily basis and as a stat point of view of capping its pointless to utilize any of it and take the time out of your day to try to get an edge.
How can you cap a royals team that doesn't score for 23 innings straight? Hammels a pitcher who would be a cy young if he just pitched 5 innings and gets pulled after 5 every game. Manager moves that don't make sense....and bullpen dibacles..... pirates game where only score in the game was a homerun by the pitcher? hasn't been done since 2015
from what I take out this test run is throw out all the stat and program tools as its a waste of time and simply follow reverse line movement that's IT.
Books do 90% work for you by line movement and sharp money is what you follow.
Had you simply followed reverse line movement on key games this week you would be up 6-1 instead of researching and wasteing your time on capping. Today alone you would be 3-1 on reverse line movement.....
Arizona public on bumgarner from favorite to dog and Arizona wins 2-1.
TIgers whitesox reverse line move....Whitesox opened -138 closed at 100 tigers win.
Houston Angels reverse movement....angels win
Yesterday reverse line movement Rockies Braves.....Public heavy on rockies they closed as a dog braves win. that's 4-0 in 2 days simply off reverse line movement.
I'm gonna post ONLY reverse line movement plays from now on and see what I can do with 13k
You might be on to something there AFN. I have lost all confidence in the analytics that I have used successfully every year until this year. BOL!!!
0
Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:
Ive come to the conclusion you simply just bet reverse line movement. I backtracked all my plays and 80% of my wins were off reverse line movement. I wanted to add program tool to help pick games that involved non reverse line movement possibly picking spots as dogs or even slight favorites. Well.........I thought it worked out well but it turns out all the stats in the world cannot trump a team that simply cant score in 23 straight innings. Stat tools programs etc can only get you so far....
Whats the point in comparing quality pitcher starts against an opposing lineup against a pitcher with a 5.00 era and they cant even score? The inconsistency is hard to cap on a daily basis and as a stat point of view of capping its pointless to utilize any of it and take the time out of your day to try to get an edge.
How can you cap a royals team that doesn't score for 23 innings straight? Hammels a pitcher who would be a cy young if he just pitched 5 innings and gets pulled after 5 every game. Manager moves that don't make sense....and bullpen dibacles..... pirates game where only score in the game was a homerun by the pitcher? hasn't been done since 2015
from what I take out this test run is throw out all the stat and program tools as its a waste of time and simply follow reverse line movement that's IT.
Books do 90% work for you by line movement and sharp money is what you follow.
Had you simply followed reverse line movement on key games this week you would be up 6-1 instead of researching and wasteing your time on capping. Today alone you would be 3-1 on reverse line movement.....
Arizona public on bumgarner from favorite to dog and Arizona wins 2-1.
TIgers whitesox reverse line move....Whitesox opened -138 closed at 100 tigers win.
Houston Angels reverse movement....angels win
Yesterday reverse line movement Rockies Braves.....Public heavy on rockies they closed as a dog braves win. that's 4-0 in 2 days simply off reverse line movement.
I'm gonna post ONLY reverse line movement plays from now on and see what I can do with 13k
You might be on to something there AFN. I have lost all confidence in the analytics that I have used successfully every year until this year. BOL!!!
I'm simply not gonna play every reverse line movement play such as the marlins today especially after the mets been trolled by the Yankees on social media by getting swept. Mets are pissed
Interesting... GL
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Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:
I'm simply not gonna play every reverse line movement play such as the marlins today especially after the mets been trolled by the Yankees on social media by getting swept. Mets are pissed
I hear you and it seems to work but on the new XM Satellite Radio Network or VSIN.com on line, they have bookmakers like Jimmy Vacarro swear this is myth and some books want certain teams to cover regardless of the balance of cash...
You should listen in the afternoon...but on paper, collecting 10% safe margin would seem logical
0
I hear you and it seems to work but on the new XM Satellite Radio Network or VSIN.com on line, they have bookmakers like Jimmy Vacarro swear this is myth and some books want certain teams to cover regardless of the balance of cash...
You should listen in the afternoon...but on paper, collecting 10% safe margin would seem logical
I hear you and it seems to work but on the new XM Satellite Radio Network or VSIN.com on line, they have bookmakers like Jimmy Vacarro swear this is myth and some books want certain teams to cover regardless of the balance of cash...
You should listen in the afternoon...but on paper, collecting 10% safe margin would seem logical
what channel do you listen for this kind of stuff?
0
Quote Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:
I hear you and it seems to work but on the new XM Satellite Radio Network or VSIN.com on line, they have bookmakers like Jimmy Vacarro swear this is myth and some books want certain teams to cover regardless of the balance of cash...
You should listen in the afternoon...but on paper, collecting 10% safe margin would seem logical
what channel do you listen for this kind of stuff?
Since I'm new to this, can you please explain it for me? I know I probably sound dumb, but I'd rather ask and learn. So betting reverse line movement, you mean take the team that was the dog as it gets closer to the line?
So for example, looks like The Cubs opened at -200 and now are a -170? So that would be reverse movement, so take the Phillies today?
I just want to make sure I get it, thanks.
0
Since I'm new to this, can you please explain it for me? I know I probably sound dumb, but I'd rather ask and learn. So betting reverse line movement, you mean take the team that was the dog as it gets closer to the line?
So for example, looks like The Cubs opened at -200 and now are a -170? So that would be reverse movement, so take the Phillies today?
Since I'm new to this, can you please explain it for me? I know I probably sound dumb, but I'd rather ask and learn. So betting reverse line movement, you mean take the team that was the dog as it gets closer to the line?
So for example, looks like The Cubs opened at -200 and now are a -170? So that would be reverse movement, so take the Phillies today?
I just want to make sure I get it, thanks.
That is correct. Having said that, a lot ot games will feature Reverse Line Movement so you have to be selective. So while yes the phillies look like a good play due to the RLM i personally will stay away because 1.) its the phillies 2.) pivetta is bad 3.) the cubs are a much better team as of late. So in being selective i wouldnt play that particular one.
Personally i like the Rays as well
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Quote Originally Posted by LuckysDad713:
Since I'm new to this, can you please explain it for me? I know I probably sound dumb, but I'd rather ask and learn. So betting reverse line movement, you mean take the team that was the dog as it gets closer to the line?
So for example, looks like The Cubs opened at -200 and now are a -170? So that would be reverse movement, so take the Phillies today?
I just want to make sure I get it, thanks.
That is correct. Having said that, a lot ot games will feature Reverse Line Movement so you have to be selective. So while yes the phillies look like a good play due to the RLM i personally will stay away because 1.) its the phillies 2.) pivetta is bad 3.) the cubs are a much better team as of late. So in being selective i wouldnt play that particular one.
That is correct. Having said that, a lot ot games will feature Reverse Line Movement so you have to be selective. So while yes the phillies look like a good play due to the RLM i personally will stay away because 1.) its the phillies 2.) pivetta is bad 3.) the cubs are a much better team as of late. So in being selective i wouldnt play that particular one.
Personally i like the Rays as well
Thanks sir! Much appreciated.
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Quote Originally Posted by YuBuuBuu:
That is correct. Having said that, a lot ot games will feature Reverse Line Movement so you have to be selective. So while yes the phillies look like a good play due to the RLM i personally will stay away because 1.) its the phillies 2.) pivetta is bad 3.) the cubs are a much better team as of late. So in being selective i wouldnt play that particular one.
That is correct. Having said that, a lot ot games will feature Reverse Line Movement so you have to be selective. So while yes the phillies look like a good play due to the RLM i personally will stay away because 1.) its the phillies 2.) pivetta is bad 3.) the cubs are a much better team as of late. So in being selective i wouldnt play that particular one.
Personally i like the Rays as well
I was just checking out the Rays line, and although there was reverse movement, it then appeared to move back in the other direction? Am I correct? And what do we take from that?
0
Quote Originally Posted by YuBuuBuu:
That is correct. Having said that, a lot ot games will feature Reverse Line Movement so you have to be selective. So while yes the phillies look like a good play due to the RLM i personally will stay away because 1.) its the phillies 2.) pivetta is bad 3.) the cubs are a much better team as of late. So in being selective i wouldnt play that particular one.
Personally i like the Rays as well
I was just checking out the Rays line, and although there was reverse movement, it then appeared to move back in the other direction? Am I correct? And what do we take from that?
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