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2020 Hot Stove

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Legend
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Posted: #226
Tell me that I got the pronunciation of "Tempe" right Key...

 
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Posted: #227
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Tell me that I got the pronunciation of "Tempe" right Key...

Yeah, sort of like urinating, with the emphasis on peeee. 
temPEEEEE, got it?
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
Legend
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Posted: #228
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

2-0-1 (+1.90)

Cleveland (-105) *1/.95

Seattle (+125) *1/1.25


Lost on the Tempeeeeeee Sundevils ML in a tie game w/ .6 seconds left. And the Bruins drained a 3, but I hooked em ats.


1-1 for +.25

3-1-1 (+2.15)  
 
Legend
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Posted: #229
Saturday:

Royals (+115) *1/1.15

Good Luck 
 
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Posted: #230

I have never played preseason baseball due to too many uncertainties.  What are some of the things those of you who play look for. Do you like the first inning when you at least know who's pitching. Just curious.

 
Legend
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Posted: #231
Brewers (+113) *1/1.13

GL
 
Legend
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Posted: #232
Quote Originally Posted by cjm2008:

I have never played preseason baseball due to too many uncertainties.  What are some of the things those of you who play look for. Do you like the first inning when you at least know who's pitching. Just curious.


The main thing for me this early in the season where starters are going only 1 to 2 maybe 3 innings, and positional starters about half a game, is to study the farms.

And as Key has eluded many times, there is NO home field advantage. But yet the books open lines with 15 or 20 cents favoring the HT as a baseline.
 
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Posted: #233
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Leave it to the Giants(Jegs team) to foul it up in the top of the 9th and try to win.Parlays 0-1 Anything connected with JEG you want to take with a grain of salt in the first place. BIGD must be out getting drunk on his winnings today. Either that or his bookie sent out a hit man to "pay" him for his huge win yesterday.

new_tounge_wink<----- Big D's face as the garrote tightens. 

 


Normal Saturday night for me.  I just hope she doesn’t forget our safe word

It’s Sharpie btw
 
Legend
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Posted: #234
2-0 +2.28

5-1-1 (+4.43) 

Really liked the Padres at +141 but stayed away since Lamet hasn't thrown a single pitch before today. Luis Castillo better get his act together before April.


Has anyone else noticed the Orioles bats on steroids this spring? Could they have something in their farm that no one knew about except them? This year they have the #2 overall pick in the draft, and 2 more picks in the first round. GM Mike Elias was formerly with the Astros and built them up when they were terrible. Looks like the O's are set up well to obtain talent, who they get and how they pan out is yet to be seen.

The O's should be bad this year, but let's keep an eye on their pipeline. If they get some arm talent, 2021/2022 will look brighter.
 
Legend
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Posted: #235
Sunday:

Seattle (+140) *1/1.40


GL
 
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Posted: #236
Just gonna keep fading the Cubbies?   Love it
 
Legend
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Posted: #237
St. Louis (+115) *1/1.15


Lance McCullers did not pitch in 2019 for the Stros having Tommy John. He hasn't thrown a pitch in Spring yet.

Austin Gombers for the Cardinals went 6-2 with a 4.44 ERA/4.03 FIP in 2018 against major league talent. Then he ran into injury problems in 2019, bicep and shoulder problems. They did get him up and running in AAA eventually where he went 4-0, 2.98 ERA/4.00 FIP in 45 innings.

He has all ready thrown in Spring, giving up 1 run on a solo HR. He's ahead of McCullers, way ahead. He's a 4 pitch southpaw who's still young. He was well on track to being a starter for the Cardinals last year, but as mentioned he was derailed by injuries.

The Stros lineup is probably a bit better today. All starters might play 5 innings worth or so. After the 3rd inning when the bullpen carousel begins, who knows what happens? But I think the Stros will be the team behind the 8 ball at that point.

Last day of the old covers format

Good Luck
 
Legend
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Posted: #238
Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

Just gonna keep fading the Cubbies?   Love it

John Lester and the Cubs talent void farm vs ANYONE laying -160 is absurd. As John Lester gets older, the harder it has been for him to get going early on, especially spring. Since 2015, his Spring Training era is 9.12.

Graveman looked good in his first start, 2 innings of 1 hit and 1 walk ball. Vs an opponent quality of 8.8. The Cubs lineup isn't even close to 8.8.

He also missed 2019 due to Tommy John Surgery. In 2018 his #'s were jacked up with the A's because his elbow was all ready in poor condition. He tried to pitch threw it while avoiding surgery.
He actually made the Cubs AAA roster toward the end of the 2019 year, made one rehab start, and one AAA start. Then the Cubs dumped him.

Revenge? 

I'll flip a +140 coin on that any day of the week
 
Legend
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Posted: #239
Orioles @ Phillies OVER 10.5(-105) *1/.95

First total try...


Orioles (+145) *.50/.73

Stupid odds against John Means. Hopefully he got some rust out.
 
Legend
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Posted: #240
Pirates RL(+155) *.50/.73


By far the most illogical bet of the year.

First off, betting the RL on a home team in Spring training is beyond stupid.

The Blue Jays are 5-1, 3-0 otr, with a run differential of +8.

The Pirates are 1-7, 0-5 at home, with a run differential of -31.


Hitting this spring:

Jays .258/.789
Bucco's .254/.768


Pitching this spring:

Jays ERA=4.97, BA=.245, WHIP=1.34, OPS=.736

Bucco's ERA=4.83, BA=.266, WHIP=1.41, OPS=.786


90% on Jays RL, 63% on Jays ML. The action on spring training is minimal. But, there's no way the books can be this careless with this game, I think. I'm ready to lose $50 just to see.

 
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Posted: #241
Braves @ Red Sox 1st 5 UNDER 5.5(even) *1.00

Folty and Eovaldi are spring training specialists.

Last play, loaded Sunday...Good Luck
 
Legend
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Posted: #242
15 strikeouts between the Braves and Red Sox in the 1st 5 innings
 
Legend
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Posted: #243
Rob Kaminski for the Cardinals gave up a hit and walked 4 in the 9th

Keep pollocks out of the majors 

Then the guy who relieves him walks in the winning run.

Now this feels like mid season form for me.
 
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Posted: #244
Pirates RL was +.78 on +155 odds not +.73

3-3 for  (-0.49) Sunday

8-4-1 (+3.94) YTD


Monday:

Reds ML(+105) *1/1.05

Good Luck

 
Legend
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Posted: #245

Reds are now +125...lineups

 

Detroit 1st 5 ML(-130) *1.00/.77

GL

 
Legend
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Posted: #246

Adding:

Reds 1st 5 ML(+125) *1/1.25

Hope to split the Reds or better. GL

 
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Posted: #247

Nice REDS pick...very impressive start! I didn’t follow..but maybe tomorrow.

 
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Posted: #248
2-1 for  (+1.30) Monday
 
10-5-1 (+5.24) YTD
 
an_cheers
 
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Posted: #249

Tuesday:

Arizona ML(even) *1.00

GL

 
 
Legend
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Posted: #250

Quote Originally Posted by Unclebenelli:

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Tuesday: Arizona ML(even) *1.00 GL
  You got sac betting the dbacks,  What do you see?

 

I'm a Weaver fan. He is a ground baller, Junis is rough around the edges and is a pop em out pitcher. Strong winds blowing out in the thin desert air.

 

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