2020 Hot Stove

Send me some baby wipes after game 2

Tyler Mahle UNDER 4.5 K's(-105) *1/.95

Zack Davies OVER 3 K's(+125) *1/1.25

Homer Baily UNDER 4.5 K's(-114) *1.14/1.00

That's all, GL to all.

For Wednesday:

COL@OAK UNDER 8(even) *2.00

Marquez/Montas listed

Drooling

Reds ML(-120) *1/.83

Hendricks/Gray scheduled

Rays ML(+124) *1/1.24

Morton/Soroka scheduled

Sac 

i like it brotha. GL!

Thoughts on Sox for tomorrow sack? Got swept today and Giolito off of a rough start also like the Nats to bounce back tomorrow with Scherzer.

My opinion on the season so far:

You know how much of a Red Sox fan I am so it pains me to watch, but right now they are bad.  JD, Benni, and Jackey are the vets but not leaders.  I can only assume the attitude in the clubhouse is dead and the season was over before it started without having Mookie.  Also, no real pitching, and this season is done.  I will more than likely be betting against them for as long as I can get even to positive lines against them.  Once the rest of the public and books figure it out and begin to adjust the lines, then I will get off.  So, for now, Choo Choo!!

There really are a few that just look to easy but never is.  For now, I am also riding Toronto, Colorado, San Diego, and Arizona when it comes to most matchups.

Overpriced but hard to find any losses so may add into parlays a lot of the time: Dodgers, Yankees, and Twins

The must-plays if a time comes with a good value: Rays, Indians and Braves

Bet against a lot: Pirates, Mariners, and Rangers

The rest is what it is.  A ton of coin-flip type of wagering with the rest of the teams. I may change my mind next week but for the current time this is what I like.

I feel like for the first time we will actually get real baseball and what to expect from the get.  Short season with no days off, playoff atmosphere is the best thing that could happen for MLB with no fans.  Just look at this MLS world cup style tournament in Orlando.  You get real games every time.  I actually enjoyed watching a lot of the games for the first time ever.  Yes, I tend to change the channel with the few games where all they do is dive but for the most part, there have been good games.

Excited to see some of your feedback!

I did not know the Phillies had played Flor.so that was why I did not connect those 2 games out of all of them being canc.also,the only games I have played this year are my Giants at over +300 against the Dodgers and any other time they are getting +300+,would of been a regular season Giants win 100 games and get to smoke those good buds right in front of a cop,just do not let a Fed see you,they will still arrest you.

The funny thing is they have the stores that have the fancy names some from the 60s but they are overpriced so most people I know still buy from the old guys they did before it was legal,a friend just brought me a baggie of Skittles and an advil bottle filled with headache Buds.Rest of year looks like Calif. is going to be shut down rest of year.

SAC KEY WENT BACK TO WORK,TIRED OF SITTING HOME WATCHING GIANTS WIN 100 GAMES.

Yea BDC, I noticed how bad Boston is. Kinda saw it earlier once Sale got hurt and Mookie was dumped. Their pitchers suck.

4-4 yesterday +0.19

17-14(+1.99) YTD

5-0 on K props...

JayJayBee, I mentioned the game on BigD's thread. We should probably bet the sox on pure principle. I might.

GL

Frankie Montas OVER 5.5 K's(-103) *1/.97

German Marquez OVER 5.5 K's(-130) *1/.77

GL

Gl Sac. Absolute beast on the K props as always 

Thanks Nicky

Rich Hill UNDER 5.5 K's(even) *1.00

GL

4-2 Wednesday for +2.60

ML=10-10(-1.18)

O/U=4-4(+0.05)

K's=7-1(+5.72)

YTD=21-15(+4.59)

Thursday:

Royals ML(-120) *1.20/1.00

Royals RL(+125) *.50/.63

Singer/Nova listed

Brady Singer is fine young rookie pitcher. He has a tremendous ground ball rate, just like his counter part in Ivan Nova. The problem is that Nova is a little long in the tooth, and the KC hitters have had success against him. This year the Royals haven't seen any ground ballers yet and will be welcoming Nova to the mound. Vs fly ball pitchers they've hit .217, and vs average fly/ground they've hit .191. Last year vs ground ballers they hit .271, so they like the ball down.

The Detroit Tigers have never seen Singer, a kid who struck out 7 in his debut vs the Tribe. A team who has struck out 22.1% vs RHP thus far. Detroit strikes out a league high 26.6% vs RHP. Detroit is also dead last in wRC+ vs RHP at 74.

KC's wRC+ isn't that great either at 84. But none of those arms were ground ballers.

Good Luck

Thursday:

Reds ML(-119) *1.19/1.00

Darvish/Castillo scheduled

I'll stick to my story about Darvish, he can't pitch, he's just a thrower. He is a fly ball guy, and the Reds have smashed fly ball pitching at .319/1.067 this year. Mike Moustakas is flat out awesome. Too bad for the Reds he missed a couple games because of a cold. 

Louis Castillo CAN pitch. His change up is one of the best around. His ground ball rate is great, and the Cubs have hit those at .242/.773 this year.

The Reds bullpen is 0-3 this year. That's fresh in people's minds. But they are much better than that, and most importantly much better than the Cubs pen who have been saved by good starts and a lot of offense. They are 0-0, but trust me they all suck, real bad. Here's their ugly #'s that have been hidden for the most part.

ERA=9.00, WHIP=1.93, BA=.259, OPS=.986

Good news for the Cubs is that their lead off batter has raised his BA to 0.91, he has struck out 10 times in 24 plate appearances with one walk.

This line is a joke and downright disrespect to Castillo at home.

GL

Orioles 1st 5 ML(+175) *1/1.75

Happ/Means scheduled

Yummy

Castillo today was a play for me, looking at the numbers blind folded. Plus CIN is better than their record and the line is based on their 2-4 record.

But I never bet on or against NYY or CHC unless the numbers are really strong. I am superstitious (read: super unlucky) about these two teams.

Rooting for you on both plays...

BOL

Royals today as well Sac. Great work on the K props. Huge Gators fan here... Brady Singer is a gem. 

I don't see JEG in my threads so I guess I better address him here. I played his pathetic Giants last night and took home the bacon. He probably missed it but that is about as close as the Giants will get to his pipe dream of 100 wins. They may be good as a big dog once a week, but that is about it.

Good luck on your card sac. I am probably playing the O's F5 myself, but patience pays when playing against the Yankees because their fans will throw money at them and drive the price up. I can have +190 now and expect that to hit +200. 

GLTA 

Jeg will come back and claim that SF win as his tip, then not play another game for the rest of the year and boast about his 1-0 year till the bitter end.

No doubt I shot my load on the O's, busy at work where I'm going 100mph. I see the O's as slight favs in the first 5, the line is ridiculous. There is a little concern as Means missed his first start due to "arm fatigue", but I don't think they'd put him in harms way as he is the best thing they have over there.

GL

I hope you boys have the antacids ready when you see righty after righty step to the plate.  Tough bet.  I wish you the best 

It's not like southpaws don't see right handed bats on a regular basis. I'm sure Happ will see the same, and his best days are behind him

Good luck today sac, balls of steel with that orioles play, will be watching it.