Posted:
#1
Morning everyone (good evening to Norseman)....
2-2 yesterday; but a little profit cause 2 winners were doggies....
I've been thinking (a dangerous thing to do)...If there is anyone in this thread/forum that would like to work on playing 1st half football the way that we bet 5 innings, I'd like to hear from you. If anyone has been successful in the past and can help all of us with a "starting point" for making a 1st half side bet...that would be great.
On to Sunday...these are the games that I find interesting:
LAA/NYY: .276 vs .376.....What's that, you ask?.....That's John Lackey's on-base-percentage vs Darrell Rasner's OBP. Yes, Lackey has been bad game/good game recently and he is "due" for a bad game....But, he is the far superior SP, Rasner is just a serviceable 5th-6th starter...Yes, the Yankees scored more runs yesterday, Moose had his one inning and then pitched very well....but LAA is still the superior team offensively and should have an easier time against Rasner. We get, once again, a real nice fave price cause we have the visiting team, and that's value.
MIL/ATL: Ben Sheets has not had a 5-inning win for a while now...not since before he had that little problem in early July. Campillo has a superb .274 OBP and an era of .276. If Sheets can give ATL a couple of runs, that might be enough for a 5-inning win from the home doggie...ATL should lose the game, as they did yesterday; but have a strong chance to win the 5-inning bet...as they did yesterday.
NYM/HOU: First, an observation on that play at home plate yesterday...I watched that play a dozen times and I'm convinced that Ramon Castro forgot that it was a force play at home and tried to tag the first runner coming to the plate. If you get to watch it, look at how he moves toward the runner after catching the ball instead of moving his body toward first base and keeping just his left foot on home plate...that's what allowed the two runs to score because he dropped the ball..which was a perfect throw. The talking heads on ESPN never said a thing. As for today, I see another 5-inning win for the Mets with Perez keeping the Stros bats quiet while the Mets put up 2-4 runs against a bad Wolf.
That's it for Sunday.....let's talk
MrO
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of a day yesterday - Oz rugby league helped me clean up, though. 
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