All Forums | MLB Betting

7/3 - MLB Breakdown Sheets

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 6805
Posts: 67
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 1717
Posted: #26
alot of  respected cappers on Houston I guess I may stay away but Houston is just so freakin bad and Burnett is pitching lights out. I dont think Houston could win if they were getting thrown the ball in batting practice. I know where there is value but I wont bet against a team streaking like Pitt especially with a good pitcher, playing at home and Pitt is actually hitting but what do I know GL sweet picks thanks
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 677
Posted: #27
why is alot of people saying Houston I feel like Pitt has better pitching and has been on a hot streak, any insight Silly?
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by BIGCAT_LSU:

I see value in the Brewers Under 9. Any thoughts? 

Careful with that game.  I thought the same thing but the roof will probably be open and the weather hot and humid in Milwaukee.  The ball is carrying in that park right now and this total is a reflection of the weather conditions and recent offense.  I definitely lean that way statistically, but you could have said a similar thing about yesterday's starters and the game got to 11.  Pass for me.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by RLandy22:

why is alot of people saying Houston I feel like Pitt has better pitching and has been on a hot streak, any insight Silly?

Pitt does have the better pitching and they are on a hot streak.  But their spread is grossly over-inflated and there is significant value in the Houston line at +170
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 677
Posted: #30

Thanks for the quick response, always good posts from you keep it up and lets make some paper

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 677
Posted: #31

Silly whats your take on the NYM, and NYY I feel like they both have favorable lines for their chances of winnning what do you think

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by RLandy22:

Silly whats your take on the NYM, and NYY I feel like they both have favorable lines for their chances of winnning what do you think


I think both lines are extremely sharp in those games.  No reason to be on either side.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #33
Locked in late last night:

SEA (-120)
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 46
Posted: #34
I am hoping Pittsburgh wins easily today because I see value on Houston tomorrow when Keuchel pitches against Correia. Houston team is awful on the road but any can win a game here and there.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 5634
Posted: #35
Sea -140 currently
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by hoopsvader:

Sea -140 currently

Yeah, I'm sorry I decided to lock it in right before I fell asleep.  Didn't get a chance to post it until this morning.  I don't like it at -140 nearly as much.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 5634
Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:


Yeah, I'm sorry I decided to lock it in right before I fell asleep.  Didn't get a chance to post it until this morning.  I don't like it at -140 nearly as much.
Is that the only play today Si1ly
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 888
Posted: #38
Will you be updating breakdown on Detroit game with pitcher change?
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 1560
Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:

Locked in late last night:

SEA (-120)

KING FELIX -120 @ HOME CANT DISAGREE WITH THAT ESPICALLY SINCE ITS UP TO -140 NOW 
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2007
Posts: 20320
Posted: #40

I'll take Seattle -1 RL

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by whisperman:

Will you be updating breakdown on Detroit game with pitcher change?

First start of the season for Scherzer's replacement.  I can tell you just by looking at the data that the total will go up by at least a run.  Minnesota is actually the best offense in the majors against lefties.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 5634
Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:


First start of the season for Scherzer's replacement.  I can tell you just by looking at the data that the total will go up by at least a run.  Minnesota is actually the best offense in the majors against lefties.
take the over?
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 5634
Posted: #43
Det opened at 9.5 and now 10.5
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 12061
Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by hoopsvader:

Det opened at 9.5 and now 10.5

Looks like oddsmakers are seeing what I'm seeing in the data.  I still lean over at 10.5.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2011
Posts: 1254
Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:


Looks like oddsmakers are seeing what I'm seeing in the data.  I still lean over at 10.5.

My local still offering over at 9.5 -105! Pounced on it for 2 units. 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2007
Posts: 4542
Posted: #46
there was value on HOU last night too... and what happened?
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 1717
Posted: #47

You obviously understand the inside of the game much more than me. I am more of a box score player and play on streaks. Like Detroit has the best ERA in the league over the last 30 games at like 2.46 or something like that but they cant hit for anything right now unless Cabrera and Fielder are hitting but because they are Detroit and have some of the big names they get over valued so when a team that is hitting well and those guys dont hit they lose. Pitt still doesnt get the respect they deserve because they aren't the Yankees. Boston is extremely overrated while Oakland is underrated but like I said you know the game much more than me.

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2011
Posts: 9003
Posted: #48
@s1ily

Would you take a chance on the Rangers +126 tonight? I haven't watched Sale pitch this year but the best offense might finally light him up tonight.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 4929
Posted: #49

Solid info as always... GL with whatever you decide to play tonight.

 
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 23354
Posted: #50

Where's the value in taking SEA ????

I understand the angle of worst team being favored over better team,but there's plenty of better options today aren't there ????

All Forums | MLB Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.