Posted:
#1
Yesterday: 1-0 +$714.29
Rangers ML -140 ($1000 to win $714.29)
YTD: 50-28 +$26,150.37
Return on Risk: 26.12%
Today:
Twins ML -115 ($750 to win $652.17)
Analysis:
Twins ML -115 ($750 to win $652.17)
The Twins are playing baseball with a purpose, and now find themselves a game out from a wild card spot after winning 10 of their last 12 games. Kyle Gibson didn't have the best August, but his 5.29 ERA in that month and overall 2.92 ERA at home this season is much preferred as the lesser of two evils over Samardzija's 8.82 ERA in August and 4.98 ERA away this season. The Twins went 4-2 in Gibson's 6 starts in August compared to and 0-6 record for the White Sox in Samardzija's 6 starts. Sano is out of the lineup today for the Twins, and I have the starting lineup splits against right at Twins .395/.683 and the White Sox at .400/.711. This shows a slight advantage for the White Sox; however, the Twins batters have fared better against Samardzija than the White Sox batters have against Gibson over the last few years. The White Sox #2, 3 and 5 hitters today (Abreu, Cabrera, and Laroche) have just 2 hits in their last 26 at bats against Gibson. I'll take the Twins superior pitching matchup to win game 3 today.
Will likely have more plays later, but wanted to get this day game locked.
BOL
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