August Chalk laying -200

Question

In the month of August...Faves laying -200 or greater went 104-22....Crazy...$100 better would be up close $5K&#x2B; justing betting on the big chalk....Big Chalk went 4-0 today.......Baseball has changed with so many bad teams....Proof is in the pudding...I remember a few years ago there were posters that said you would be losing better if all you played was big chalk...

davemsh · Answer

In the month of August...Faves laying -200 or greater went 104-22....Crazy...$100 better would be up close $5K&#x2B; justing betting on the big chalk....Big Chalk went 4-0 today.......Baseball has changed with so many bad teams....Proof is in the pudding...I remember a few years ago there were posters that said you would be losing better if all you played was big chalk...

davemsh · Answer

Also there were 12 days where there were at least 3&#x2B; games of chalk laying -200 or greater...Those 12 days all chalk won = Parlays won...

GTD · Answer

Squares doing jumping jacks all over the place so gey

GTD · Answer

Chalk over -140 is 15-0 thus far..is this real life

TheSquare · Answer

&#xA;Be nice... I&#x27;m reading this.. &#xA;&#xA;You know, I love my daily dose of "chalk.." &#xA;Thanks for the trend davemsh.. &#xA;Also, good ol&#x27;e "Jasper Laguitao" started a "Jasper&#x27;s legacy starts here" thread in the NBA forums..

a123Jennifer · Answer

&#xA;Well, if you lay -200 on average, you have to win more than 67% of the time to break-even.....&#xA;Seems like this happened big-time in August, lol........&#xA;-200 requires hitting about 70 % to make it worthwhile.........

a123Jennifer · Answer

&#xA;No kidding !

aaironworks · Answer

I got 8-1 for -140 or better yesterday

ParlayBuster · Answer

This is an incredible stat!I remember a few years ago someone making a thread about how -200 or better was a sure way to make long-term profit.2017 &#x2B;$6,2852018 &#x2B;$8,185 2019 &#x2B;$8,385Some say it&#x27;s the dogs that make the money in MLB. But, it&#x27;s not the ONLY way to get ahead.You just have to play every single day and catch every HEAVY favorite for this to work.GREAT THREAD!

kimoinsd808 · Answer

Big faves swept the board to start off September.  Gonna happen again today.  Why get in front of the money train trying to get lucky with crap teams once every 4-5 games? Lots lots of tight playoff races and meaningful games for HFA.  Top teams going to be taking care of business to close the season.

ParlayBuster · Answer

Today&#x27;s games, at -180 odds...------ SU --------/ RLATL &#x2B;0.8% ---/ -27.2%CLE &#x2B;20.7% / &#x2B;33.7%CHC &#x2B;7.2% -/ -11.8%LAD &#x2B;15.4% / &#x2B;8.2%MIN &#x2B;17.7% / &#x2B;29.7%NYY &#x2B;7.1% -/ &#x2B;4.7%STL &#x2B;6.9% --/ &#x2B;42.9%TBR &#x2B;3.5 ----/ -4.6%SUCLE is the best investment.ATL is the worst.RLSTL is the best investmentATL is the worst AND a money loser.

smacksmiter · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by a123Jennifer]  &#xD;&#xA;Well, if you lay -200 on average, you have to win more than 67% of the time to break-even.....&#xD;&#xA;Seems like this happened big-time in August, lol........&#xD;&#xA;-200 requires hitting about 70 % to make it worthwhile.........  [/Quote]Before I even read this thread I had an inkling this was going on...went and checked the last week of games..Favorites of -180 or higher went 26-6... 81.3%...Definitely &#x2B;EV...

GTD · Answer

Was counting WNBA and college football All faves again today

davemsh · Answer

-200 chalk 5-0 to start the day...Will it go 8-0..Pretty high probability...

a123Jennifer · Answer

&#xA;Motivation for home-field advantage HFA is a very strong valid point.&#xA;No more all-star-game homefield bs....gotta earn home-field advantage baby ! And this gives plenty of motivation even for top teams against bottom-feeders in September...much better for baseball imo.

a123Jennifer · Answer

&#xA;Cole at -180 is winning 2-1 in the 7th inning....although Cole got to over 100 pitches so now it is up to a rested Astros bullpen to protect it......

a123Jennifer · Answer

&#xA;Yup, &#x2B; EV for sure !&#xA;Will it continue ?

ParlayBuster · Answer

That LAD ML is up to -361! When the line gets this high, it is not a good bet.I checked alltime, month of August, at Home.When it gets to these numbers, it is either a losing bet, or breakeven.

culinguru · Answer

I don&#x27;t have much time usually to post often, but I bet the favorite money lines all the time mostly on parlays and  I make a very good profit, it also works even better on tennis at the beginning of tournaments, like this week I have cashed very well on the US Open. Good money to be made to build up a bankroll to bet the spreads and overs/unders

J_Dash_Score · Answer

you can&#x27;t take 1 month and say its the new trend.. smh. overall put 1 or 2 full seasons together, and everything will pretty much be 50/50 at the end, every single "trend, dog, favorites" covering not.. only the most adaptable will survive like darwin said. its a fact.

davemsh · Answer

&#xA; &#xA;Read Post #9...I have been wagering MLB a long time..15 years...It has definitely changed the last few years...More heavy chalk is winning. I use to be a big dog player and changed my approach..

davemsh · Answer

Big Chalk cleanup again...7-1..Keep fading those awful teams...11-1 in September...Tomorrow we have 8 massive faves......

smacksmiter · Answer

I believe this time of the year is contributing to the heavy chalk winners...teams that are out of it are bringing up new players...teams fighting to stay relevant are battling and the books are inflating lines for probable winners..especially for the Houston&#x27;s, LA Dodgers, NYYs...etc...Definitely not like this all year, but might be for the rest of the year...