Not going with AZ just because of their sub .500 road record. Philly sucks, but not trying to press much.
I'm from Arizona originally. Born, raised and lived there for 26 years before moving to the bean in '09. This might be more of a "homer" move since the Dbacks were my 1st love prior to Boston. I feel strong about only sticking to 2 (a) per series. Maybe it's because I know at least 1 of the 2 sweeps happened when we took an (a) team. WAS was the culprit. Can you jog my memory with the first and if they were (h) or (a)?
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Quote Originally Posted by Big_Tone21:
Not going with AZ just because of their sub .500 road record. Philly sucks, but not trying to press much.
I'm from Arizona originally. Born, raised and lived there for 26 years before moving to the bean in '09. This might be more of a "homer" move since the Dbacks were my 1st love prior to Boston. I feel strong about only sticking to 2 (a) per series. Maybe it's because I know at least 1 of the 2 sweeps happened when we took an (a) team. WAS was the culprit. Can you jog my memory with the first and if they were (h) or (a)?
I'm all over with this one. Wtf lol. Might be a sign for me to stay away.
this. good advice to yourself. you're overthinking the simplicity of the system to try to wedge another game on your ticket. some days there are 3 games, some days 11. make the right plays and if you have to think this much about them, do it outside the system. this is exactly why i'm passing on OAK/NYY tonight. i can make clear arguments for both sides, so that means i'll take no side in it.
Great minds think alike. (Most of the time) :)
No plays for me based on unnerving feelings: CLE@MIN WAS@NYM BOS@HOU
BOL to all for the weekend games!
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Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:
Quote Originally Posted by Boston_Brad:
I'm all over with this one. Wtf lol. Might be a sign for me to stay away.
this. good advice to yourself. you're overthinking the simplicity of the system to try to wedge another game on your ticket. some days there are 3 games, some days 11. make the right plays and if you have to think this much about them, do it outside the system. this is exactly why i'm passing on OAK/NYY tonight. i can make clear arguments for both sides, so that means i'll take no side in it.
Great minds think alike. (Most of the time) :)
No plays for me based on unnerving feelings: CLE@MIN WAS@NYM BOS@HOU
Big.Tone I like your tread. Tailed tonight until I get it all figured out. You had had great success!! Congrats
GBR.
it's a pretty good system as long as you can stomach the big outlay on games 3 or 4 if it gets there, and the occasional loss. long run its been in the black for me.
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Quote Originally Posted by huskertodd:
Big.Tone I like your tread. Tailed tonight until I get it all figured out. You had had great success!! Congrats
GBR.
it's a pretty good system as long as you can stomach the big outlay on games 3 or 4 if it gets there, and the occasional loss. long run its been in the black for me.
Good luck guys, I'm gonna follow TheRealDutch's series right now! Let's get it!
this is Tone's system, so give credit where credit is due. I am just slightly more risk averse in how I play it, so i tend to have fewer series on my card. It has cost me some wins, but i'm OK with it.
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Quote Originally Posted by dudebrent1:
Good luck guys, I'm gonna follow TheRealDutch's series right now! Let's get it!
this is Tone's system, so give credit where credit is due. I am just slightly more risk averse in how I play it, so i tend to have fewer series on my card. It has cost me some wins, but i'm OK with it.
not to get off topic, but have you guys looked at the CLE/MIN series? i was going to stay away from it, but noticed it's a 4 game series w/ a doubleheader tomorrow. did a little digging and here's what i came up with. this year MIN has split both of their home DH'ers. in 2016, MIN was swept in both of their home DH's and CLE split their only road DH. i went a few more years back and the data starts to level out, but those were different teams with different players.
leaning CLE to get one of 4 w/ the double header sandwiched in there. thoughts?
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not to get off topic, but have you guys looked at the CLE/MIN series? i was going to stay away from it, but noticed it's a 4 game series w/ a doubleheader tomorrow. did a little digging and here's what i came up with. this year MIN has split both of their home DH'ers. in 2016, MIN was swept in both of their home DH's and CLE split their only road DH. i went a few more years back and the data starts to level out, but those were different teams with different players.
leaning CLE to get one of 4 w/ the double header sandwiched in there. thoughts?
not to get off topic, but have you guys looked at the CLE/MIN series? i was going to stay away from it, but noticed it's a 4 game series w/ a doubleheader tomorrow. did a little digging and here's what i came up with. this year MIN has split both of their home DH'ers. in 2016, MIN was swept in both of their home DH's and CLE split their only road DH. i went a few more years back and the data starts to level out, but those were different teams with different players.leaning CLE to get one of 4 w/ the double header sandwiched in there. thoughts?
I had some tim
Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:
not to get off topic, but have you guys looked at the CLE/MIN series? i was going to stay away from it, but noticed it's a 4 game series w/ a doubleheader tomorrow. did a little digging and here's what i came up with. this year MIN has split both of their home DH'ers. in 2016, MIN was swept in both of their home DH's and CLE split their only road DH. i went a few more years back and the data starts to level out, but those were different teams with different players.leaning CLE to get one of 4 w/ the double header sandwiched in there. thoughts?
I like it and I've had time to mull it over. I'm going with the play today.
Locked in today: Game 2 NYY (tough loss in game 1 extra innings) **double bet** Game 2 LAA **double bet** Game 1 PIT Game 1 CLE Game 1 AZ Game 1 MIL Game 1 BAL Game 1 TEX Game 1 TOR Also came to my senses and I'm going with game 1 HOU
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Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:
not to get off topic, but have you guys looked at the CLE/MIN series? i was going to stay away from it, but noticed it's a 4 game series w/ a doubleheader tomorrow. did a little digging and here's what i came up with. this year MIN has split both of their home DH'ers. in 2016, MIN was swept in both of their home DH's and CLE split their only road DH. i went a few more years back and the data starts to level out, but those were different teams with different players.leaning CLE to get one of 4 w/ the double header sandwiched in there. thoughts?
I had some tim
Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:
not to get off topic, but have you guys looked at the CLE/MIN series? i was going to stay away from it, but noticed it's a 4 game series w/ a doubleheader tomorrow. did a little digging and here's what i came up with. this year MIN has split both of their home DH'ers. in 2016, MIN was swept in both of their home DH's and CLE split their only road DH. i went a few more years back and the data starts to level out, but those were different teams with different players.leaning CLE to get one of 4 w/ the double header sandwiched in there. thoughts?
I like it and I've had time to mull it over. I'm going with the play today.
Locked in today: Game 2 NYY (tough loss in game 1 extra innings) **double bet** Game 2 LAA **double bet** Game 1 PIT Game 1 CLE Game 1 AZ Game 1 MIL Game 1 BAL Game 1 TEX Game 1 TOR Also came to my senses and I'm going with game 1 HOU
Good luck guys, I'm gonna follow TheRealDutch's series right now! Let's get it!
Your best bet would be to start with following Tone and then start the morphing process with your own plays. No disrespect to Dutch of course! If you don't see the answer to a question on page 1, feel free to bounce it of myself, Tone or Dutch. I feel Dutch and I have been great students when Tone set out on this journey over a month ago.
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Quote Originally Posted by dudebrent1:
Good luck guys, I'm gonna follow TheRealDutch's series right now! Let's get it!
Your best bet would be to start with following Tone and then start the morphing process with your own plays. No disrespect to Dutch of course! If you don't see the answer to a question on page 1, feel free to bounce it of myself, Tone or Dutch. I feel Dutch and I have been great students when Tone set out on this journey over a month ago.
Your best bet would be to start with following Tone and then start the morphing process with your own plays. No disrespect to Dutch of course! If you don't see the answer to a question on page 1, feel free to bounce it of myself, Tone or Dutch. I feel Dutch and I have been great students when Tone set out on this journey over a month ago.
second this. the more that follow this, without all the crazy side parlay talk and keep the focus on this system and the statistical analysis that goes with it, the better.
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Quote Originally Posted by Boston_Brad:
Your best bet would be to start with following Tone and then start the morphing process with your own plays. No disrespect to Dutch of course! If you don't see the answer to a question on page 1, feel free to bounce it of myself, Tone or Dutch. I feel Dutch and I have been great students when Tone set out on this journey over a month ago.
second this. the more that follow this, without all the crazy side parlay talk and keep the focus on this system and the statistical analysis that goes with it, the better.
Had to modify my bets as I realized I lost $135 and $125 so my bet "to win" should be $235 and $225. This way I give my loses and still win $100 on the series. That is the goal. To win $100 per series to a team to not get swept. Mostly home series, a few away. New series start every Mon/Tues and Thurs/Fri.
Sorry for the confusion. Glad I caught that now
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Had to modify my bets as I realized I lost $135 and $125 so my bet "to win" should be $235 and $225. This way I give my loses and still win $100 on the series. That is the goal. To win $100 per series to a team to not get swept. Mostly home series, a few away. New series start every Mon/Tues and Thurs/Fri.
You bet. With LAA now 20-15 at home (.571) and still 2 games to get a win (game 4 is Sun), we will be betting them again later today. It's going to get a little pricey but you have to trust the system.
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You bet. With LAA now 20-15 at home (.571) and still 2 games to get a win (game 4 is Sun), we will be betting them again later today. It's going to get a little pricey but you have to trust the system.
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