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Bob's MLB Wednesday *** 7.08.15 ***

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MLB 2015 --- Overall
YTD: 183-162-18 (53%) *** +5.18% Return on Risk ***
ML: 117-103 (53%)
F5: 4-5-4 (44%)
RL: 15-16-9 (48%)
O/U: 45-34-5 (57%)
Parlays: 2-4-0 (33%)
Starting / Current Bankroll: $5,216 / $6,281.11 (+$1,065.11, +20.42%)

MLB 2015 --- Picks of the Day
YTD: 62-56-8 (53%) *** +3.92% Return on Risk ***
ML: 38-31 (55%)
F5: 0-2-1 (0%)
RL: 8-11-5 (42%)
O/U: 16-12-2 (657%)

Month (2015)
April: 53-53-5 (50%) *** -1.89 Return on Risk ***
May: 70-52-6 (57%) *** +14.25% Return on Risk ***
June: 46-45-6 (51%) *** +0.93% Return on Risk ***
July: 14-12-1 (54%) *** +7.80% Return on Risk ***

MLB 2014
Overall: 826-685-112 (55%) *** +4.13% Return on Risk ***
PODs: 121-72-16 (63%) *** +16.60% Return on Risk ***

Tuesday's Results
Record: 3-1-0 (75%)
Risked: 5.00% of Bankroll ($306) --- WA line of -105
Profit / Return on Risk: +$165.44 / +54.07%
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102138074&page=1

Wednesday's Card

959 St. Louis Cardinals (M. Wacha) FG -102 (5dimes)

965 Detroit Tigers (A. Sanchez) FG, +108 (5dimes)

979 Los Angeles Angels (M. Shoemaker) FG, -130 (5dimes)
 
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Something tells me you're going to have a rough day.GL 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

Something tells me you're going to have a rough day.GL 


Can you elaborate as to WHY you think so? 

Thanks in advance. 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Charlie_X:



Can you elaborate as to WHY you think so? 

Thanks in advance. 
Hammel is twice as good as Wacha,that's why you don't go by win loss records.
Sanchez is coming off a no hit bid and now has to pitch against a team that likes to hit HR's.
Shoemaker is only in the rotation because of injuries,counting on the team to score DD's runs everyday can prove futile.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

Hammel is twice as good as Wacha,that's why you don't go by win loss records.
Sanchez is coming off a no hit bid and now has to pitch against a team that likes to hit HR's.
Shoemaker is only in the rotation because of injuries,counting on the team to score DD's runs everyday can prove futile.


Wow, now that's insight I can appreciate!  Thanks for taking the time to explain to me (and others) these plays in greater detail! 
 
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GL
 
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Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

Quote Originally Posted by Charlie_X:

Can you elaborate as to WHY you think so? Thanks in advance. 
Hammel is twice as good as Wacha,that's why you don't go by win loss records.Sanchez is coming off a no hit bid and now has to pitch against a team that likes to hit HR's.Shoemaker is only in the rotation because of injuries,counting on the team to score DD's runs everyday can prove futile.

Maybe you should post your picks and track a record rather than come into others threads trashing their picks like you always do? But I bet you're not up to it
 
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On ST Louis & LOS Angels for now  
 
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Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

Quote Originally Posted by Charlie_X:

Can you elaborate as to WHY you think so? Thanks in advance. 
Hammel is twice as good as Wacha,that's why you don't go by win loss records.Sanchez is coming off a no hit bid and now has to pitch against a team that likes to hit HR's.Shoemaker is only in the rotation because of injuries,counting on the team to score DD's runs everyday can prove futile.



Hey dickhead, start your own thread. People like you is why people who post leave. Let's see your record and start posting your picks if you have such a knack for baseball capping.

Clown.

Good luck today BOB
 
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Love all 3 first off hammels numbers vs cards are a joke 0 and 1 this year and 1 and 3 lifetime the Rockies are garbage and the angels are on fire lately bol
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Charlie_X:



Wow, now that's insight I can appreciate!  Thanks for taking the time to explain to me (and others) these plays in greater detail! 




I hope that you don't actually feel that his statements pass the logic test.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by BirdsOnBat:





I hope that you don't actually feel that his statements pass the logic test.


he just loves to post BOL on your plays!
 
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Best of luck!
 
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Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

Hammel is twice as good as Wacha,that's why you don't go by win loss records.
Sanchez is coming off a no hit bid and now has to pitch against a team that likes to hit HR's.
Shoemaker is only in the rotation because of injuries,counting on the team to score DD's runs everyday can prove futile.


OK Scorpio, I will take the bait...

(i) Hammel is twice as good as Wacha,that's why you don't go by win loss records.

Twice as good by what measure?

Wacha: 2.66 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 6.3 innings per start (16 starts)
Hammel: 2.89 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 6.4 innings per start (16 starts)

Wacha has a better record bc (a) he plays for a better team and (b) has a better bullpen behind him.

I am taking the Cardinals bc I believe they have a win probability of approximately 55% (i.e., -130 line).

(ii) Sanchez is coming off a no hit bid and now has to pitch against a team that likes to hit HR's.

I am not superstitious and don't wager based on blanket generalizations (e.g., pitcher coming off a no-hit bid).

Nor do I wager on a team bc I feel they "like" to hit HRs. Regardless, if the Mariners like hitting bombs so much... then why do they (a) fail to make the top 5 in HRs, (b) rank second to last in OPS, and (c) rank 2nd to last in runs scored? Riddle me that.

Also, I like how you left out how dominant the Tigers have been vs. lefties this year.

I have the Tigers at a 56% win probability.

(iii) Shoemaker is only in the rotation because of injuries,counting on the team to score DD's runs everyday can prove futile.

That is not true. Shoemaker was slated for a spot in the rotation this season. Regardless, why did Andrew Heaney start last night? Did the Angels win? Did they need 10+ runs to win?

You're right, we should avoid Shoemaker and the Angels, who have won 4 straight and 8 of 10, and take the Rockies, one of the worst teams in baseball, behind Chris Rusin. Makes perfect sense.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Julespussy:

Hammel is twice as good as Wacha,that's why you don't go by win loss records.Sanchez is coming off a no hit bid and now has to pitch against a team that likes to hit HR's.Shoemaker is only in the rotation because of injuries,counting on the team to score DD's runs everyday can prove futile.
Maybe you should post your picks and track a record rather than come into others threads trashing their picks like you always do? But I bet you're not up to it


He did briefly. This is his last thread. He is 18-29 (38%) on posted plays.

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102133516

It's easy to express strong opinions without putting your own balls on the table.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by BirdsOnBat:





I hope that you don't actually feel that his statements pass the logic test.


Well, BOB, I didn't mean to ruffle your's or anyone's feathers with my question and subsequent comment of gratitude to KingScorpio. I apologize for sure if I did. Not my intentions.

I'm always looking for insight. I don't know MLB like you or the other thread starters here at Covers. Looks like you feel he was posting garbage, so I'll respect your take and wish you luck on the plays on your card today! 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Mailmaaan:



he just loves to post 


I suppose I do since I enjoy having fun during my visits here! 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

Something tells me you're going to have a rough day.GL 

KingScorpio is the KIng of talking Trash
Always have Negative comments to others
Do it in your own thread

B.o.B Just ignored that azzzzhole
 
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Nevermind the bullocks B.o.B. Solid as always. GL today 
 
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Posted: #21
 GL Bob.  I see you're still dropping that great knowledge & insight on them here.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

Hammel is twice as good as Wacha,that's why you don't go by win loss records.
Sanchez is coming off a no hit bid and now has to pitch against a team that likes to hit HR's.
Shoemaker is only in the rotation because of injuries,counting on the team to score DD's runs everyday can prove futile.


This line of reasoning is laughable even to the novice handicapper.


 
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BoB 

On the Tigers myself, too 
 
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Like the Angels again B.o.B. 
 
 
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Wednesday's Card *** Updated ***

959 St. Louis Cardinals (M. Wacha) FG -102 (5dimes)

965 Detroit Tigers (A. Sanchez) FG, +108 (5dimes)

979 Los Angeles Angels (M. Shoemaker) FG, -130 (5dimes)

New York (deGrom) / San Francisco (Peavy) Under 7, -125 (5dimes)
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