Posted:
#1
2011 MLB Record:
19 - 15 @ 56% for +2.33 Units
Tue, 04/19
#1: Cincinnati Reds -152
LeCure has been spectacular so far this season. In his 2 stars he has allowed 4 hits in 11 innings, with 2 ER's, 0 HR's, 4 BB's and 14 K's. His FIP of 1.73 and xFIP of 2.70 are some of the best #'s in the league. He is opposed by Galarraga, someone I tried to 'fade' unsuccessfully last time but failed to get a win due to his team putting up13 runs for him. In his 2 starts, Galarraga has give up 14 hits, 9 ER's, and 5 HR's in only 14 innings of work. He has 4 BB's and 10 K's in those games. Galarraga has an FIP of 8.14 (1.39 worse than his 6.75 ERA) and 4.58 xFIP. I truly don't know how he has a job. I expect this Cincy lineup to finally 'wake' up against him tonight.
#2: OVER 8.5 NYY/TOR -120
Drabek is a solid young pitcher, but I think he'll struggle in this one. First of all, he was very inefficient in his first start, throwing 52% strikes. He gave up 6 hits, issued 4 BB's in only 5.2 innings of work, and was fairly lucky to give up only 2 ER's. That was against the Mariners. Today, he'll face this potent Yankee lineup. Oh, and Drabek is coming off a 114 pitch performance, so I'm wondering how 'lively' his arm will be tonight. Burnett is a fairly mediocre pitcher, allowing 17 hits in 17 innings pitched with 9 ER's, and 3 HR's this season. This Toronto lineup is batting .262 with OPB of .352 and OPS of .820 off him. I expect some runs to be scored in this one.
#3: Oakland Athletics -113
Boston is coming off a win yesterday and has to travel to the West coast, while the A's had a day off. In addition, the Red Sox are 0-6 in road games this season, and have a very good chance of making it 0-7 after tonight. Anderson has a superb FIP of 2.20 and xFIP of 2.85 so far this young season. His 6.5 K/BB ratio is one of the best also. Current Red Sox batters are hitting .115 off him with an OBP of .148 and OPS of .328 -- spectacular numbers. Lackey, on the other hand has a FIP of 8.14 and xFIP of 6.07. In his 2 games against the A's last year, he gave up 18 hits over 13 innings with 7 ER's and 1 HR. Current A's hitters are batting .235 off him with an OBP of .313 and OPS .692. I see Oakland with an advantage in starting pitching and bullpen in this one. The fact that Oakland is 6-3 at home in the last 9 meetings is just 'icing on the cake'.
19 - 15 @ 56% for +2.33 Units
Tue, 04/19
#1: Cincinnati Reds -152
LeCure has been spectacular so far this season. In his 2 stars he has allowed 4 hits in 11 innings, with 2 ER's, 0 HR's, 4 BB's and 14 K's. His FIP of 1.73 and xFIP of 2.70 are some of the best #'s in the league. He is opposed by Galarraga, someone I tried to 'fade' unsuccessfully last time but failed to get a win due to his team putting up13 runs for him. In his 2 starts, Galarraga has give up 14 hits, 9 ER's, and 5 HR's in only 14 innings of work. He has 4 BB's and 10 K's in those games. Galarraga has an FIP of 8.14 (1.39 worse than his 6.75 ERA) and 4.58 xFIP. I truly don't know how he has a job. I expect this Cincy lineup to finally 'wake' up against him tonight.
#2: OVER 8.5 NYY/TOR -120
Drabek is a solid young pitcher, but I think he'll struggle in this one. First of all, he was very inefficient in his first start, throwing 52% strikes. He gave up 6 hits, issued 4 BB's in only 5.2 innings of work, and was fairly lucky to give up only 2 ER's. That was against the Mariners. Today, he'll face this potent Yankee lineup. Oh, and Drabek is coming off a 114 pitch performance, so I'm wondering how 'lively' his arm will be tonight. Burnett is a fairly mediocre pitcher, allowing 17 hits in 17 innings pitched with 9 ER's, and 3 HR's this season. This Toronto lineup is batting .262 with OPB of .352 and OPS of .820 off him. I expect some runs to be scored in this one.
#3: Oakland Athletics -113
Boston is coming off a win yesterday and has to travel to the West coast, while the A's had a day off. In addition, the Red Sox are 0-6 in road games this season, and have a very good chance of making it 0-7 after tonight. Anderson has a superb FIP of 2.20 and xFIP of 2.85 so far this young season. His 6.5 K/BB ratio is one of the best also. Current Red Sox batters are hitting .115 off him with an OBP of .148 and OPS of .328 -- spectacular numbers. Lackey, on the other hand has a FIP of 8.14 and xFIP of 6.07. In his 2 games against the A's last year, he gave up 18 hits over 13 innings with 7 ER's and 1 HR. Current A's hitters are batting .235 off him with an OBP of .313 and OPS .692. I see Oakland with an advantage in starting pitching and bullpen in this one. The fact that Oakland is 6-3 at home in the last 9 meetings is just 'icing on the cake'.
_________________
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
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'TOTAL: 200-136 @ 60% for +$52,330
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned."
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