Posted:
#1
2011 MLB Record:
30 - 22 @ 58% for +5.26 Units
Tue, 04/26
San Francisco Giants -135
Cain is coming off a really poor performance and I expect him to rebound here. In his last 3 starts against the Pirates he has given up 13 hits and 4 ER's in 22 innings pitched. He has 15K's to 6 BB's in those starts with his team going 2-1. The current Pirates lineup is batting .203 off him with .266 OBP and .571 OPS. On the season Cain has a 3.81 FIP and 3.99 xFIP with a 2.67 K/BB ratio and a BABIP of .280. Morton, on the other hand, has a FIP of 4.79 (almost a full run higher) and xFIP of 4.56. His .247 BABIP is the 22nd luckiest in the league. What's really scary about Morton is that his BB/9 ratio of 5.0 is higher than his K/9 ratio of 4.0. With his E-F of -1.45 (15th to the negative), regression to the mean is expected. He got rocked his last time out and I wouldn't be surprised if the Giants put up a few runs on him, since they're batting .348 with OBP of .400 and OPS of 1.096 off him. Giants had a day off, and I see them ending their 4-game losing streak against a team that is 2-6 at home.
30 - 22 @ 58% for +5.26 Units
Tue, 04/26
San Francisco Giants -135
Cain is coming off a really poor performance and I expect him to rebound here. In his last 3 starts against the Pirates he has given up 13 hits and 4 ER's in 22 innings pitched. He has 15K's to 6 BB's in those starts with his team going 2-1. The current Pirates lineup is batting .203 off him with .266 OBP and .571 OPS. On the season Cain has a 3.81 FIP and 3.99 xFIP with a 2.67 K/BB ratio and a BABIP of .280. Morton, on the other hand, has a FIP of 4.79 (almost a full run higher) and xFIP of 4.56. His .247 BABIP is the 22nd luckiest in the league. What's really scary about Morton is that his BB/9 ratio of 5.0 is higher than his K/9 ratio of 4.0. With his E-F of -1.45 (15th to the negative), regression to the mean is expected. He got rocked his last time out and I wouldn't be surprised if the Giants put up a few runs on him, since they're batting .348 with OBP of .400 and OPS of 1.096 off him. Giants had a day off, and I see them ending their 4-game losing streak against a team that is 2-6 at home.
_________________
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
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'TOTAL: 200-136 @ 60% for +$52,330
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned."
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