Posted:
#1
2011 MLB Record:
90 - 71 @ 56% for +9.89 Units
Fri, 06/17
#1: Minnesota Twins -132
Twins get Mauer back for this one and they're playing much better baseball right now than at the start of the season. Duensing is coming off a 56-pitch performance and I expect him to rebound at home against the worst hitting lineup in baseball. Padres' BP is much better than Minnesota's but Twinkies' pen is well rested so that advantage should be reduced somewhat. Padres are 3-10 in Richard's starts this year and I expect him to struggle here as his road ERA is 3.72 higher than at home.
#2: Arizona Diamondbacks -132
White Sox made a mistake trading Hudson for Jackson last year, as they've gotten a worse pitcher in return. I expect Jackson to get hit hard today with his poor 4.5 tERA and 24% LD%, against a top 6 D-Backs lineup. Diamondbacks have a better starting pitching, better hitting, better BP and better fielding in this one. Plus they're playing at home, as the White Sox had to travel yesterday from Minnesota. These are very affordable odds on a much better home-squad.
#3: UNDER 8 KCR/STL -110
Paulino has never faced the Cards before so he'll have an advantage a couple of times through the rotation. Carpenter is coming off a poor outing and I expect him to 'rebound' here against a KC team that is traveling from a long West Coast trip to play this one. Both pitchers have been pretty unlucky so far this year with BABIP's over .320 and GB% at 50%+. I see a low scoring game here in one of the worst hitting ball-parks in the majors.
90 - 71 @ 56% for +9.89 Units
Fri, 06/17
#1: Minnesota Twins -132
Twins get Mauer back for this one and they're playing much better baseball right now than at the start of the season. Duensing is coming off a 56-pitch performance and I expect him to rebound at home against the worst hitting lineup in baseball. Padres' BP is much better than Minnesota's but Twinkies' pen is well rested so that advantage should be reduced somewhat. Padres are 3-10 in Richard's starts this year and I expect him to struggle here as his road ERA is 3.72 higher than at home.
#2: Arizona Diamondbacks -132
White Sox made a mistake trading Hudson for Jackson last year, as they've gotten a worse pitcher in return. I expect Jackson to get hit hard today with his poor 4.5 tERA and 24% LD%, against a top 6 D-Backs lineup. Diamondbacks have a better starting pitching, better hitting, better BP and better fielding in this one. Plus they're playing at home, as the White Sox had to travel yesterday from Minnesota. These are very affordable odds on a much better home-squad.
#3: UNDER 8 KCR/STL -110
Paulino has never faced the Cards before so he'll have an advantage a couple of times through the rotation. Carpenter is coming off a poor outing and I expect him to 'rebound' here against a KC team that is traveling from a long West Coast trip to play this one. Both pitchers have been pretty unlucky so far this year with BABIP's over .320 and GB% at 50%+. I see a low scoring game here in one of the worst hitting ball-parks in the majors.
_________________
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
'10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100
'10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400
'10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175
'10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
-----------------------------------
TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
0
Really like that Cards under. Took it last night at 8, it's down to 7.5 in my book today
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