Posted:
#1
2011 MLB Record:
95 - 83 @ 53% for +1.29 Units
Fri, 06/24
#1: Chicago White Sox -114
How will Riggleman's abrupt retirement affect this young Nats team? Well, it's a huge distraction and just an overall a fairly uncomfortable situation I can imagine. Going on the road to play the ChiSox the next day won't be easy. Washington has a 16-24 road record this year (40%) and are 0-3 in their last 3 trips there. Home team is the play in this one.
#2: Toronto Blue Jays -105
Big pitching advantage for the Blue Jays. Morrow comes into this one with a 10.62 K/9 ratio (one of the best in the league), 2.49 FIP (#6), 3.48 xFIP (#48) and a 3.3 tERA (#25). His BABIP of .349 is very unlucky and a +2.53 E-F indicates that regression to the mean is to be expected as his ERA is an inflated 5.02. One area of concern is that he's a FB pitcher, but throwing in Busch Stadium, 5th worst park for HR's, should help Morrow keep the ball in the park, as he's only allowed 2 homers in 61+ innings this year. Last year against St Louis, Morrow went 8 innings, giving up 5 hits and 0 ER's. I expect a similar performance today. Westbrook is a 'marginal' pitcher with a poor 1.20 K/BB ratio (that's in the NL as well so it's even worse than it looks), 4.35 FIP (#137) and 4.11 xFIP (#123). He has allowed 10 ER's in his last 3 starts, giving up a total of 4 HR's in those. In addition, he threw 121 pitches his last time on the mound, most in the past 5 years in the league. For a pitcher averaging 94 pitches per start this year, that's a significant increase. I don't see Westbrook lasting past the 6th inning and then the 24th ranked St Louis bullpen will step in. The Blue Jays are 6-2 coming off a day-off this year and I'll gladly back a team that has a clear advantage in the pitching department.
Good luck!
95 - 83 @ 53% for +1.29 Units
Fri, 06/24
#1: Chicago White Sox -114
How will Riggleman's abrupt retirement affect this young Nats team? Well, it's a huge distraction and just an overall a fairly uncomfortable situation I can imagine. Going on the road to play the ChiSox the next day won't be easy. Washington has a 16-24 road record this year (40%) and are 0-3 in their last 3 trips there. Home team is the play in this one.
#2: Toronto Blue Jays -105
Big pitching advantage for the Blue Jays. Morrow comes into this one with a 10.62 K/9 ratio (one of the best in the league), 2.49 FIP (#6), 3.48 xFIP (#48) and a 3.3 tERA (#25). His BABIP of .349 is very unlucky and a +2.53 E-F indicates that regression to the mean is to be expected as his ERA is an inflated 5.02. One area of concern is that he's a FB pitcher, but throwing in Busch Stadium, 5th worst park for HR's, should help Morrow keep the ball in the park, as he's only allowed 2 homers in 61+ innings this year. Last year against St Louis, Morrow went 8 innings, giving up 5 hits and 0 ER's. I expect a similar performance today. Westbrook is a 'marginal' pitcher with a poor 1.20 K/BB ratio (that's in the NL as well so it's even worse than it looks), 4.35 FIP (#137) and 4.11 xFIP (#123). He has allowed 10 ER's in his last 3 starts, giving up a total of 4 HR's in those. In addition, he threw 121 pitches his last time on the mound, most in the past 5 years in the league. For a pitcher averaging 94 pitches per start this year, that's a significant increase. I don't see Westbrook lasting past the 6th inning and then the 24th ranked St Louis bullpen will step in. The Blue Jays are 6-2 coming off a day-off this year and I'll gladly back a team that has a clear advantage in the pitching department.
Good luck!
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0
lets get this $$$$$
are starting to play better! 
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