M.
Leake, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 3.95 (#104 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.6 (#59 in MLB), and tERA of 4.53 (#127 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .274, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.33. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.09, with
a WHIP of 1.18, and opponent BA of .244. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 33% for a 1.42 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
12%.
J. McDonald, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of
4.73 (#174 in MLB), xFIP of 4.5 (#168 in MLB), and tERA of 4.94 (#156 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .313, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.3. He has a K/BB
ratio of 1.59, with a WHIP of 1.57, and opponent BA of .272. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 42% for a 0.91
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Cincinnati Reds have the #19
bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding. They have a road
record of 22-27 (45%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Pittsburgh
Pirates have the #10 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #8 in
fielding. They have a home record of 24-22 (52%), ranked #16 in MLB and
have Won 2 in a row.
Pirates are 22-13 against the division.
Leake has ERA of 4.26 / WHIP 1.5 against PITT. McDonald has ERA of 5.73
/ WhIP 1.7 against Cincy. Allowed 16 hits and 7 ER's in 11 innings
this year (2 starts: 1-1).
San Diego Padres 41-55 (43%) @ Florida Marlins 47-49 (49%)
T.
Stauffer, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 3.29 (#45 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.26 (#25 in MLB), and tERA of 3.6 (#42 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .294, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.31. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.9, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .248. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 25% for a 2.19 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
A. Sanchez, starting for Florida Marlins, has a
FIP of 3.27 (#44 in MLB), xFIP of 3.13 (#20 in MLB), and tERA of 3.6
(#42 in MLB), with a BABIP of .3, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of 0.28. He has a
K/BB ratio of 3.32, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .237. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 37% for a 1.18
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
San Diego Padres have the #2
bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a road
record of 21-25 (46%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Florida
Marlins have the #11 bullpen, #20 offense, and are rated #14 in
fielding. They have a home record of 21-26 (45%), ranked #26 in MLB and
have Won 3 in a row.
Padres are averaging 2.6 rpg last 7. They
had a day off yesterday and the O/U is 13-30 with a day off in their
games for the last couple of years. When the total is 7 or less the O/U
is 7-13 this year and 17-26 over the last couple. Stauffer's last start
against Florida was in 2009. Sanchez has allowed 3 ER's and 11 hits in
12.1 innings of work last year.
Odds: SDP +127 (44%) FLA -135 (57%) O/U = 7
Lean: UNDER =======================================
St Louis Cardinals 50-45 (53%) @ New York Mets 47-48 (50%)
K.
Lohse, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 3.69 (#76 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.88 (#91 in MLB), and tERA of 4.11 (#89 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .249, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.38. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.86,
with a WHIP of 1.06, and opponent BA of .233. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 37% for a 1.18 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
D. Gee, starting for New York Mets, has a FIP
of 3.69 (#76 in MLB), xFIP of 4.15 (#133 in MLB), and tERA of 4.06 (#80
in MLB), with a BABIP of .25, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of -0.17. He has a
K/BB ratio of 1.81, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .218. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 35% for a 1.29
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
St Louis Cardinals have the #23
bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a road
record of 25-24 (51%), ranked #14 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
New
York Mets have the #20 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #22 in
fielding. They have a home record of 20-25 (44%), ranked #27 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
Both pitchers are coming off games where
they got 'rocked' prior to ASB. Gee has never faced this St Louis lineup
before (unfamiliarity factor in his advantage). He is 4-2 at home with
a 2.89 ERA (4.71 road ERA). Cards lost 5 of Lohse's last 6 starts. He
has allowed 22 ER's in those 6 starts (35 innings) with 7 HR's. How is
going to perform after getting some much needed break? Reyes should be
back in the lineup for the Mets.
Philadelphia Phillies 59-36 (62%) @ Chicago Cubs 39-58 (40%)
C.
Lee, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 2.78 (#16 in
MLB), xFIP of 2.76 (#5 in MLB), and tERA of 3.24 (#19 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .284, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of 0.03. He has a K/BB ratio of
4.72, with a WHIP of 1.06, and opponent BA of .225. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 35% for a 1.25 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
M. Garza, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP
of 2.92 (#21 in MLB), xFIP of 2.96 (#11 in MLB), and tERA of 3.74 (#54
in MLB), with a BABIP of .321, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 1.05. He has a
K/BB ratio of 2.92, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of .249. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 50%, FB%: 29% for a 1.73
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Philadelphia Phillies have the
#21 bullpen, #16 offense, and are rated #21 in fielding. They have a
road record of 25-21 (54%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Chicago
Cubs have the #22 bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding.
They have a home record of 22-29 (43%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
Wind is supposed to be blowing-in slightly for this
one. Lee is 4-0 against the Cubs with a 1.59 ERA / 1.05 WHIP. Garza
has a 2.70 ERA against Philly with a 1.1 WHIP. Garza 2.88 ERA at home
(5.48 on the road). Lee 4.73 ERA on the road (1.61 home).
Odds: PHI -145 (59%) CHC +136 (42%) O/U =
Lean: UNDER (pending the total) =======================================
M.
Leake, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 3.95 (#104 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.6 (#59 in MLB), and tERA of 4.53 (#127 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .274, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.33. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.09, with
a WHIP of 1.18, and opponent BA of .244. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 33% for a 1.42 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
12%.
J. McDonald, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of
4.73 (#174 in MLB), xFIP of 4.5 (#168 in MLB), and tERA of 4.94 (#156 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .313, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.3. He has a K/BB
ratio of 1.59, with a WHIP of 1.57, and opponent BA of .272. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 42% for a 0.91
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Cincinnati Reds have the #19
bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding. They have a road
record of 22-27 (45%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Pittsburgh
Pirates have the #10 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #8 in
fielding. They have a home record of 24-22 (52%), ranked #16 in MLB and
have Won 2 in a row.
Pirates are 22-13 against the division.
Leake has ERA of 4.26 / WHIP 1.5 against PITT. McDonald has ERA of 5.73
/ WhIP 1.7 against Cincy. Allowed 16 hits and 7 ER's in 11 innings
this year (2 starts: 1-1).
San Diego Padres 41-55 (43%) @ Florida Marlins 47-49 (49%)
T.
Stauffer, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 3.29 (#45 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.26 (#25 in MLB), and tERA of 3.6 (#42 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .294, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.31. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.9, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .248. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 25% for a 2.19 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
A. Sanchez, starting for Florida Marlins, has a
FIP of 3.27 (#44 in MLB), xFIP of 3.13 (#20 in MLB), and tERA of 3.6
(#42 in MLB), with a BABIP of .3, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of 0.28. He has a
K/BB ratio of 3.32, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .237. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 37% for a 1.18
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
San Diego Padres have the #2
bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a road
record of 21-25 (46%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Florida
Marlins have the #11 bullpen, #20 offense, and are rated #14 in
fielding. They have a home record of 21-26 (45%), ranked #26 in MLB and
have Won 3 in a row.
Padres are averaging 2.6 rpg last 7. They
had a day off yesterday and the O/U is 13-30 with a day off in their
games for the last couple of years. When the total is 7 or less the O/U
is 7-13 this year and 17-26 over the last couple. Stauffer's last start
against Florida was in 2009. Sanchez has allowed 3 ER's and 11 hits in
12.1 innings of work last year.
Odds: SDP +127 (44%) FLA -135 (57%) O/U = 7
Lean: UNDER =======================================
St Louis Cardinals 50-45 (53%) @ New York Mets 47-48 (50%)
K.
Lohse, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 3.69 (#76 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.88 (#91 in MLB), and tERA of 4.11 (#89 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .249, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.38. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.86,
with a WHIP of 1.06, and opponent BA of .233. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 37% for a 1.18 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
D. Gee, starting for New York Mets, has a FIP
of 3.69 (#76 in MLB), xFIP of 4.15 (#133 in MLB), and tERA of 4.06 (#80
in MLB), with a BABIP of .25, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of -0.17. He has a
K/BB ratio of 1.81, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .218. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 35% for a 1.29
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
St Louis Cardinals have the #23
bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a road
record of 25-24 (51%), ranked #14 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
New
York Mets have the #20 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #22 in
fielding. They have a home record of 20-25 (44%), ranked #27 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
Both pitchers are coming off games where
they got 'rocked' prior to ASB. Gee has never faced this St Louis lineup
before (unfamiliarity factor in his advantage). He is 4-2 at home with
a 2.89 ERA (4.71 road ERA). Cards lost 5 of Lohse's last 6 starts. He
has allowed 22 ER's in those 6 starts (35 innings) with 7 HR's. How is
going to perform after getting some much needed break? Reyes should be
back in the lineup for the Mets.
Philadelphia Phillies 59-36 (62%) @ Chicago Cubs 39-58 (40%)
C.
Lee, starting for Philadelphia Phillies, has a FIP of 2.78 (#16 in
MLB), xFIP of 2.76 (#5 in MLB), and tERA of 3.24 (#19 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .284, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of 0.03. He has a K/BB ratio of
4.72, with a WHIP of 1.06, and opponent BA of .225. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 35% for a 1.25 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
M. Garza, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP
of 2.92 (#21 in MLB), xFIP of 2.96 (#11 in MLB), and tERA of 3.74 (#54
in MLB), with a BABIP of .321, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 1.05. He has a
K/BB ratio of 2.92, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of .249. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 50%, FB%: 29% for a 1.73
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Philadelphia Phillies have the
#21 bullpen, #16 offense, and are rated #21 in fielding. They have a
road record of 25-21 (54%), ranked #5 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Chicago
Cubs have the #22 bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding.
They have a home record of 22-29 (43%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
Wind is supposed to be blowing-in slightly for this
one. Lee is 4-0 against the Cubs with a 1.59 ERA / 1.05 WHIP. Garza
has a 2.70 ERA against Philly with a 1.1 WHIP. Garza 2.88 ERA at home
(5.48 on the road). Lee 4.73 ERA on the road (1.61 home).
Odds: PHI -145 (59%) CHC +136 (42%) O/U =
Lean: UNDER (pending the total) =======================================
Washington Nationals 48-48 (50%) @ Houston Astros 31-65 (32%)
J.
Zimmermann, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 2.59 (#8 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.64 (#65 in MLB), and tERA of 2.68 (#8 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .279, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.07. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.9,
with a WHIP of 1.07, and opponent BA of .233. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 42% for a 0.96 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 3%.
J. Happ, starting for Houston Astros, has a
FIP of 4.55 (#156 in MLB), xFIP of 4.47 (#165 in MLB), and tERA of 4.94
(#156 in MLB), with a BABIP of .312, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 1.21. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.66, with a WHIP of 1.57, and opponent BA of .265.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 32%, FB%: 46% for a 0.69
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Washington Nationals have the
#15 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #23 in fielding. They have a
road record of 20-30 (40%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Houston
Astros have the #26 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #28 in
fielding. They have a home record of 15-36 (29%), ranked #30 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
Astros have lost 10 games in a row in which
Happ started, and 15 of his 18 starts overall. Happ has given up 5 ER's
in 4 straight games. He is 1-0 lifetime against the Nats with a 1.62
ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Last year he allowed 6 hits in 11.1 innings and 0
ER's in 2 starts. He did have 6 K's to 9 BB's in those. Zimm has a
2.18 ERA on the road (3.31 at home)
Atlanta Braves 57-39 (59%) @ Colorado Rockies 45-51 (47%)
B.
Beachy, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a FIP of 3.23 (#43 in MLB),
xFIP of 2.95 (#9 in MLB), and tERA of 3.47 (#35 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.288, LOB% of 81%, and E-F of -0.02. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.2, with a
WHIP of 1.08, and opponent BA of .226. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 20%, GB%: 31%, FB%: 49% for a 0.64 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
11%.
U. Jimenez, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 3.42
(#50 in MLB), xFIP of 3.59 (#58 in MLB), and tERA of 4.27 (#106 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .297, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.66. He has a K/BB
ratio of 2.3, with a WHIP of 1.31, and opponent BA of .24. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 33% for a 1.39
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Atlanta Braves have the #1
bullpen, #22 offense, and are rated #29 in fielding. They have a road
record of 27-20 (57%), ranked #4 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Colorado
Rockies have the #17 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #12 in
fielding. They have a home record of 24-25 (49%), ranked #18 in MLB and
have Lost 3 in a row.
As bad as Jimenez' ERA is at home (5.89 to
2.28 away), he has only allowed 9 ER's in his last 4 home starts for a
3.47 ERA. ATL are 7-3 their last 10. COL are 4-7 their last 11.
Rockies have never faced Beachy before.
Y.
Gallardo, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 3.83 (#89 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.48 (#44 in MLB), and tERA of 4.06 (#80 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .313, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.25. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.41, with a WHIP of 1.41, and opponent BA of .264. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 33% for a 1.5 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 12%.
B. Enright, starting for Arizona Diamondbacks,
has a FIP of 5.88 (#205 in MLB), xFIP of 4.97 (#195 in MLB), and tERA of
6.66 (#206 in MLB), with a BABIP of .308, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.61.
He has a K/BB ratio of 1.27, with a WHIP of 1.67, and opponent BA of
.301. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 43% for a
0.86 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 14%.
Milwaukee Brewers have the
#9 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road
record of 18-32 (36%), ranked #26 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Arizona
Diamondbacks have the #13 bullpen, #11 offense, and are rated #3 in
fielding. They have a home record of 26-20 (57%), ranked #11 in MLB and
have Won 3 in a row.
Will Braun play?!? Gallardo is coming off
his 2nd 'stinker' in the past 3 starts. He is 4-0 against Arizona with a
1.13 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Enright is making his first MLB start since
May, when he was sent down to the minors. He faced MIL only once, in
2010, allowing 1 ER on 3 hit sin 6 innings. Milwaukee is 6-0 in Arizona
their last 6 games there.
Los Angeles Dodgers 42-54 (44%) @ San Francisco Giants 56-41 (58%)
R.
De La Rosa, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 3.63 (#68 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.56 (#53 in MLB), and tERA of 4.38 (#116 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .292, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.35. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.77, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of .23. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 30% for a 1.54 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
M. Bumgarner, starting for San Francisco
Giants, has a FIP of 2.46 (#4 in MLB), xFIP of 3.11 (#18 in MLB), and
tERA of 3.36 (#27 in MLB), with a BABIP of .341, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of
1.28. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.56, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA
of .273. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 32%
for a 1.42 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 4%.
Los Angeles Dodgers
have the #14 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #11 in fielding. They
have a road record of 19-27 (41%), ranked #23 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a
row.
San Francisco Giants have the #3 bullpen, #26 offense, and
are rated #10 in fielding. They have a home record of 29-16 (64%),
ranked #3 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Bum-G has a home ERA of
5.36 (road 2.54) while De La Rosa has a road ERA of 2.50 (4.55 at
home). This will be Rubby's first start against the Giants
('unfamiliarity factor in his favor). De La Rosa gave up 4 ER's in his
last 3 starts on 12 hits in 20 innings of work with 0 HR"s and 17 K's to
7 BB's (2.42 K/BB). Bumgarner has an ERA of 3.26 against the Dodgers
in his 3 career starts.
Odds: LAD +128 (44%) SFG -136 (58%) O/U = 6.5
Lean: UNDER
=======================================
0
Washington Nationals 48-48 (50%) @ Houston Astros 31-65 (32%)
J.
Zimmermann, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 2.59 (#8 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.64 (#65 in MLB), and tERA of 2.68 (#8 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .279, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.07. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.9,
with a WHIP of 1.07, and opponent BA of .233. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 42% for a 0.96 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 3%.
J. Happ, starting for Houston Astros, has a
FIP of 4.55 (#156 in MLB), xFIP of 4.47 (#165 in MLB), and tERA of 4.94
(#156 in MLB), with a BABIP of .312, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 1.21. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.66, with a WHIP of 1.57, and opponent BA of .265.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 32%, FB%: 46% for a 0.69
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Washington Nationals have the
#15 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #23 in fielding. They have a
road record of 20-30 (40%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Houston
Astros have the #26 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #28 in
fielding. They have a home record of 15-36 (29%), ranked #30 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
Astros have lost 10 games in a row in which
Happ started, and 15 of his 18 starts overall. Happ has given up 5 ER's
in 4 straight games. He is 1-0 lifetime against the Nats with a 1.62
ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Last year he allowed 6 hits in 11.1 innings and 0
ER's in 2 starts. He did have 6 K's to 9 BB's in those. Zimm has a
2.18 ERA on the road (3.31 at home)
Atlanta Braves 57-39 (59%) @ Colorado Rockies 45-51 (47%)
B.
Beachy, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a FIP of 3.23 (#43 in MLB),
xFIP of 2.95 (#9 in MLB), and tERA of 3.47 (#35 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.288, LOB% of 81%, and E-F of -0.02. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.2, with a
WHIP of 1.08, and opponent BA of .226. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 20%, GB%: 31%, FB%: 49% for a 0.64 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
11%.
U. Jimenez, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 3.42
(#50 in MLB), xFIP of 3.59 (#58 in MLB), and tERA of 4.27 (#106 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .297, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.66. He has a K/BB
ratio of 2.3, with a WHIP of 1.31, and opponent BA of .24. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 33% for a 1.39
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Atlanta Braves have the #1
bullpen, #22 offense, and are rated #29 in fielding. They have a road
record of 27-20 (57%), ranked #4 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Colorado
Rockies have the #17 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #12 in
fielding. They have a home record of 24-25 (49%), ranked #18 in MLB and
have Lost 3 in a row.
As bad as Jimenez' ERA is at home (5.89 to
2.28 away), he has only allowed 9 ER's in his last 4 home starts for a
3.47 ERA. ATL are 7-3 their last 10. COL are 4-7 their last 11.
Rockies have never faced Beachy before.
Y.
Gallardo, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 3.83 (#89 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.48 (#44 in MLB), and tERA of 4.06 (#80 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .313, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.25. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.41, with a WHIP of 1.41, and opponent BA of .264. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 33% for a 1.5 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 12%.
B. Enright, starting for Arizona Diamondbacks,
has a FIP of 5.88 (#205 in MLB), xFIP of 4.97 (#195 in MLB), and tERA of
6.66 (#206 in MLB), with a BABIP of .308, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.61.
He has a K/BB ratio of 1.27, with a WHIP of 1.67, and opponent BA of
.301. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 43% for a
0.86 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 14%.
Milwaukee Brewers have the
#9 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road
record of 18-32 (36%), ranked #26 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Arizona
Diamondbacks have the #13 bullpen, #11 offense, and are rated #3 in
fielding. They have a home record of 26-20 (57%), ranked #11 in MLB and
have Won 3 in a row.
Will Braun play?!? Gallardo is coming off
his 2nd 'stinker' in the past 3 starts. He is 4-0 against Arizona with a
1.13 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Enright is making his first MLB start since
May, when he was sent down to the minors. He faced MIL only once, in
2010, allowing 1 ER on 3 hit sin 6 innings. Milwaukee is 6-0 in Arizona
their last 6 games there.
Los Angeles Dodgers 42-54 (44%) @ San Francisco Giants 56-41 (58%)
R.
De La Rosa, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 3.63 (#68 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.56 (#53 in MLB), and tERA of 4.38 (#116 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .292, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of 0.35. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.77, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of .23. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 30% for a 1.54 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
M. Bumgarner, starting for San Francisco
Giants, has a FIP of 2.46 (#4 in MLB), xFIP of 3.11 (#18 in MLB), and
tERA of 3.36 (#27 in MLB), with a BABIP of .341, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of
1.28. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.56, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA
of .273. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 32%
for a 1.42 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 4%.
Los Angeles Dodgers
have the #14 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #11 in fielding. They
have a road record of 19-27 (41%), ranked #23 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a
row.
San Francisco Giants have the #3 bullpen, #26 offense, and
are rated #10 in fielding. They have a home record of 29-16 (64%),
ranked #3 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Bum-G has a home ERA of
5.36 (road 2.54) while De La Rosa has a road ERA of 2.50 (4.55 at
home). This will be Rubby's first start against the Giants
('unfamiliarity factor in his favor). De La Rosa gave up 4 ER's in his
last 3 starts on 12 hits in 20 innings of work with 0 HR"s and 17 K's to
7 BB's (2.42 K/BB). Bumgarner has an ERA of 3.26 against the Dodgers
in his 3 career starts.
Odds: LAD +128 (44%) SFG -136 (58%) O/U = 6.5
Lean: UNDER
=======================================
Seattle Mariners 43-52 (45%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 47-49 (49%)
M.
Pineda, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 3.18 (#39 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.51 (#46 in MLB), and tERA of 3.29 (#23 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .246, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.15. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.14,
with a WHIP of 1.04, and opponent BA of .197. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 31%, FB%: 50% for a 0.63 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 7%.
B. Cecil, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a
FIP of 4.71 (#172 in MLB), xFIP of 4.52 (#171 in MLB), and tERA of 5.16
(#168 in MLB), with a BABIP of .315, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.95. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.74, with a WHIP of 1.57, and opponent BA of .277.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 31%, FB%: 47% for a 0.65
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Seattle Mariners have the #12
bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #17 in fielding. They have a road
record of 18-25 (42%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Lost 9 in a row.
Toronto
Blue Jays have the #15 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #25 in
fielding. They have a home record of 21-24 (47%), ranked #22 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
Bautista should be able to play in this
one. Seattle is 6-17 against lefty-starters and 48-83 over the last
couple of years. Blue Jays are 7-2 this season when playing with a
day-off. Seattle is on a 9-game losing streak. Cecil is 0-3 at home
with a 7.71 ERA (4.32 on the road) this year. Pineda faced TOR earlier
this year alloing 1 ER on 5 hits in 7.1 innings.
Odds: SEA +102 (50%) TOR -108 (52%) O/U = 8
Lean: OVER
=======================================
Oakland Athletics 42-54 (44%) @ Detroit Tigers 50-45 (53%)
G.
Moscoso, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 4.48 (#150 in
MLB), xFIP of 5.21 (#206 in MLB), and tERA of 3.99 (#75 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .175, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of -2.37. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.41, with a WHIP of 1, and opponent BA of .174. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 25%, FB%: 58% for a 0.43 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 6%.
R. Porcello, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a
FIP of 4.15 (#124 in MLB), xFIP of 4.16 (#135 in MLB), and tERA of 4.6
(#132 in MLB), with a BABIP of .311, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.63. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2, with a WHIP of 1.45, and opponent BA of .284. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 34% for a 1.34
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Oakland Athletics have the #4
bullpen, #28 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding. They have a road
record of 16-32 (33%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Detroit
Tigers have the #27 bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding.
They have a home record of 28-21 (57%), ranked #10 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
First start for Moscoso against the Tigers. He has
allowed 1 ER in his last 4 starts. Porcello gave up 3 ER's on 14 hits
in 12.3 innings of work against Oakland in his last 2 starts against
them (1 in 2010 and 1 this year). Porcello has a 6.41 home ERA (3.65
away).
Boston Red Sox 58-36 (62%) @ Baltimore Orioles 38-55 (41%)
K.
Weiland, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a FIP of 8.22 (#222 in MLB),
xFIP of 6.72 (#222 in MLB), and tERA of 7.42 (#216 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .467, LOB% of 57%, and E-F of 5.28. He has a K/BB ratio of 1, with a
WHIP of 2.5, and opponent BA of .444. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 13%, GB%: 50%, FB%: 38% for a 1.33 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 17%.
J.
Guthrie, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a FIP of 4.39 (#142 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.24 (#147 in MLB), and tERA of 5.21 (#172 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .292, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.14. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.24, with a WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .269. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 42% for a 0.86 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 10%.
Boston Red Sox have the #5 bullpen, #1
offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a road record of 30-19
(61%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Baltimore
Orioles have the #28 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #30 in
fielding. They have a home record of 24-25 (49%), ranked #18 in MLB and
have Lost 1 in a row.
Weiland made his MLB debut on 07/10 --
against the Orioles! He gave up 8 hits and 6 ER's in 4 innings of work
prior to getting ejected for hitting Vlad. He had a 2.67 K/BB ratio in
AAA this year with a 3.26 FIP in 92 innings of work. O/U is 9-1 in
Baltimore's last 10 games and 6-2 in Boston's last 8. Guthrie is 1-7
against Boston with a 4.6 ERA and 1.6 WHIP. The O/U in all of his
starts against Boston is 9-3.
Odds: BOS -108 (52%) BAL +102 (50%) O/U = 9.5
Lean: OVER
=======================================
New York Yankees 56-37 (60%) @ Tampa Bay Rays 50-44 (53%)
B.
Colon, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 3.77 (#85 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.37 (#31 in MLB), and tERA of 3.77 (#57 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .288, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.37. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.14,
with a WHIP of 1.22, and opponent BA of .249. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 35% for a 1.34 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 12%.
J. Hellickson, starting for Tampa Bay Rays,
has a FIP of 4.32 (#136 in MLB), xFIP of 4.48 (#167 in MLB), and tERA of
4.4 (#119 in MLB), with a BABIP of .224, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -1.1.
He has a K/BB ratio of 1.74, with a WHIP of 1.15, and opponent BA of
.209. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 33%, FB%: 48% for a
0.7 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
New York Yankees have the #6
bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a road
record of 26-18 (59%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Tampa
Bay Rays have the #25 bullpen, #16 offense, and are rated #5 in
fielding. They have a home record of 22-24 (48%), ranked #21 in MLB and
have Lost 3 in a row.
Colon has allowed 16 hits and 8 ER's in his
lat 6.2 innings pitched. He has 1 K and 6 BB's in those 2 starts. Is
this a sign that he's done or are we to expect him to rebound?
Hellicson has a 2.94 ERA at home and a 0.98 WHIP. He has never faced
the 'Bombers' before.
Seattle Mariners 43-52 (45%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 47-49 (49%)
M.
Pineda, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 3.18 (#39 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.51 (#46 in MLB), and tERA of 3.29 (#23 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .246, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.15. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.14,
with a WHIP of 1.04, and opponent BA of .197. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 31%, FB%: 50% for a 0.63 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 7%.
B. Cecil, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a
FIP of 4.71 (#172 in MLB), xFIP of 4.52 (#171 in MLB), and tERA of 5.16
(#168 in MLB), with a BABIP of .315, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.95. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.74, with a WHIP of 1.57, and opponent BA of .277.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 31%, FB%: 47% for a 0.65
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Seattle Mariners have the #12
bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #17 in fielding. They have a road
record of 18-25 (42%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Lost 9 in a row.
Toronto
Blue Jays have the #15 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #25 in
fielding. They have a home record of 21-24 (47%), ranked #22 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
Bautista should be able to play in this
one. Seattle is 6-17 against lefty-starters and 48-83 over the last
couple of years. Blue Jays are 7-2 this season when playing with a
day-off. Seattle is on a 9-game losing streak. Cecil is 0-3 at home
with a 7.71 ERA (4.32 on the road) this year. Pineda faced TOR earlier
this year alloing 1 ER on 5 hits in 7.1 innings.
Odds: SEA +102 (50%) TOR -108 (52%) O/U = 8
Lean: OVER
=======================================
Oakland Athletics 42-54 (44%) @ Detroit Tigers 50-45 (53%)
G.
Moscoso, starting for Oakland Athletics, has a FIP of 4.48 (#150 in
MLB), xFIP of 5.21 (#206 in MLB), and tERA of 3.99 (#75 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .175, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of -2.37. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.41, with a WHIP of 1, and opponent BA of .174. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 25%, FB%: 58% for a 0.43 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 6%.
R. Porcello, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a
FIP of 4.15 (#124 in MLB), xFIP of 4.16 (#135 in MLB), and tERA of 4.6
(#132 in MLB), with a BABIP of .311, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.63. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2, with a WHIP of 1.45, and opponent BA of .284. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 34% for a 1.34
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Oakland Athletics have the #4
bullpen, #28 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding. They have a road
record of 16-32 (33%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Detroit
Tigers have the #27 bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #18 in fielding.
They have a home record of 28-21 (57%), ranked #10 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
First start for Moscoso against the Tigers. He has
allowed 1 ER in his last 4 starts. Porcello gave up 3 ER's on 14 hits
in 12.3 innings of work against Oakland in his last 2 starts against
them (1 in 2010 and 1 this year). Porcello has a 6.41 home ERA (3.65
away).
Boston Red Sox 58-36 (62%) @ Baltimore Orioles 38-55 (41%)
K.
Weiland, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a FIP of 8.22 (#222 in MLB),
xFIP of 6.72 (#222 in MLB), and tERA of 7.42 (#216 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .467, LOB% of 57%, and E-F of 5.28. He has a K/BB ratio of 1, with a
WHIP of 2.5, and opponent BA of .444. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 13%, GB%: 50%, FB%: 38% for a 1.33 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 17%.
J.
Guthrie, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a FIP of 4.39 (#142 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.24 (#147 in MLB), and tERA of 5.21 (#172 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .292, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.14. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.24, with a WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .269. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 42% for a 0.86 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 10%.
Boston Red Sox have the #5 bullpen, #1
offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a road record of 30-19
(61%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Baltimore
Orioles have the #28 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #30 in
fielding. They have a home record of 24-25 (49%), ranked #18 in MLB and
have Lost 1 in a row.
Weiland made his MLB debut on 07/10 --
against the Orioles! He gave up 8 hits and 6 ER's in 4 innings of work
prior to getting ejected for hitting Vlad. He had a 2.67 K/BB ratio in
AAA this year with a 3.26 FIP in 92 innings of work. O/U is 9-1 in
Baltimore's last 10 games and 6-2 in Boston's last 8. Guthrie is 1-7
against Boston with a 4.6 ERA and 1.6 WHIP. The O/U in all of his
starts against Boston is 9-3.
Odds: BOS -108 (52%) BAL +102 (50%) O/U = 9.5
Lean: OVER
=======================================
New York Yankees 56-37 (60%) @ Tampa Bay Rays 50-44 (53%)
B.
Colon, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 3.77 (#85 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.37 (#31 in MLB), and tERA of 3.77 (#57 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .288, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.37. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.14,
with a WHIP of 1.22, and opponent BA of .249. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 35% for a 1.34 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 12%.
J. Hellickson, starting for Tampa Bay Rays,
has a FIP of 4.32 (#136 in MLB), xFIP of 4.48 (#167 in MLB), and tERA of
4.4 (#119 in MLB), with a BABIP of .224, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -1.1.
He has a K/BB ratio of 1.74, with a WHIP of 1.15, and opponent BA of
.209. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 33%, FB%: 48% for a
0.7 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
New York Yankees have the #6
bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a road
record of 26-18 (59%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Tampa
Bay Rays have the #25 bullpen, #16 offense, and are rated #5 in
fielding. They have a home record of 22-24 (48%), ranked #21 in MLB and
have Lost 3 in a row.
Colon has allowed 16 hits and 8 ER's in his
lat 6.2 innings pitched. He has 1 K and 6 BB's in those 2 starts. Is
this a sign that he's done or are we to expect him to rebound?
Hellicson has a 2.94 ERA at home and a 0.98 WHIP. He has never faced
the 'Bombers' before.
J.
Masterson, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 2.98 (#24 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.54 (#49 in MLB), and tERA of 3.23 (#18 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .3, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.16. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.41,
with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .247. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 54%, FB%: 28% for a 1.94 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 4%.
F. Liriano, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a
FIP of 4.3 (#134 in MLB), xFIP of 4.23 (#145 in MLB), and tERA of 4.21
(#101 in MLB), with a BABIP of .269, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.46. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.62, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .228.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 48%, FB%: 36% for a 1.33
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Cleveland Indians have the #8
bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a road
record of 24-26 (48%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Minnesota
Twins have the #29 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding.
They have a home record of 23-22 (51%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Lost 2
in a row.
Indians are 12-14 against lefties this year and 48-66
over the last couple of years. Twins are 8-3 as home favorites in the
-125 to -150 range this year and 50-16 (76%) over the last couple of
seasons. Liriano has a 6.09 ERA at home this season. He held Indians
to 3 hits and 0 ER's in 5 innings of work earlier this year. Masterson
is 0-3 against the Twinkies wiht a 4.59 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. MInny is
14-6 at home in this series.
Chicago White Sox 47-49 (49%) @ Kansas City Royals 38-58 (40%)
J.
Peavy, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 3.5 (#59 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.93 (#99 in MLB), and tERA of 4.09 (#85 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .303, LOB% of 58%, and E-F of 2.19. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.69, with
a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of .265. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 39% for a 1.05 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
6%.
D. Duffy, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 5.31
(#193 in MLB), xFIP of 4.21 (#140 in MLB), and tERA of 5.94 (#192 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .333, LOB% of 81%, and E-F of -0.47. He has a K/BB
ratio of 1.72, with a WHIP of 1.65, and opponent BA of .296. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 39% for a 1.05
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 16%.
Chicago White Sox have the #7
bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a road
record of 26-24 (52%), ranked #10 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Kansas
City Royals have the #24 bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #15 in
fielding. They have a home record of 24-28 (46%), ranked #23 in MLB and
have Lost 3 in a row.
Peavy has an ERA of 7.72 and WHIP of 1.8 in
his last 3 starts. He allowed 6 hits and 5 ER's to KC on July 5th.
Duffy has an ERA of 4.85 and WHIP of 1.8 at home. He has never faced
ChiSox before.
A.
Ogando, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 3.52 (#61 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.71 (#71 in MLB), and tERA of 4.11 (#89 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .24, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.39, with a
WHIP of 1.01, and opponent BA of .212. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 22%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 41% for a 0.91 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
T.
Chatwood, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 4.39 (#142 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.82 (#189 in MLB), and tERA of 5.39 (#180 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .303, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.77. He has a K/BB ratio of 1, with a
WHIP of 1.55, and opponent BA of .272. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 24%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 33% for a 1.33 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
Texas
Rangers have the #30 bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding.
They have a road record of 24-23 (51%), ranked #13 in MLB and have Won
11 in a row.
LAA Angels have the #18 bullpen, #18 offense, and
are rated #1 in fielding. They have a home record of 26-22 (54%), ranked
#13 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Ogando has allowed 1 ER on 5
hits in 6.1 innings against the Angels this year. He has a 3.51 ERA on
the road (2.54 at home). Rangers have won 11 straight games. Chatwood
has never seen Texas before ('unfamiliarity' factor).
J.
Masterson, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 2.98 (#24 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.54 (#49 in MLB), and tERA of 3.23 (#18 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .3, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.16. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.41,
with a WHIP of 1.24, and opponent BA of .247. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 54%, FB%: 28% for a 1.94 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 4%.
F. Liriano, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a
FIP of 4.3 (#134 in MLB), xFIP of 4.23 (#145 in MLB), and tERA of 4.21
(#101 in MLB), with a BABIP of .269, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.46. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.62, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .228.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 48%, FB%: 36% for a 1.33
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Cleveland Indians have the #8
bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a road
record of 24-26 (48%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Minnesota
Twins have the #29 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding.
They have a home record of 23-22 (51%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Lost 2
in a row.
Indians are 12-14 against lefties this year and 48-66
over the last couple of years. Twins are 8-3 as home favorites in the
-125 to -150 range this year and 50-16 (76%) over the last couple of
seasons. Liriano has a 6.09 ERA at home this season. He held Indians
to 3 hits and 0 ER's in 5 innings of work earlier this year. Masterson
is 0-3 against the Twinkies wiht a 4.59 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. MInny is
14-6 at home in this series.
Chicago White Sox 47-49 (49%) @ Kansas City Royals 38-58 (40%)
J.
Peavy, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 3.5 (#59 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.93 (#99 in MLB), and tERA of 4.09 (#85 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .303, LOB% of 58%, and E-F of 2.19. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.69, with
a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of .265. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 39% for a 1.05 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
6%.
D. Duffy, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 5.31
(#193 in MLB), xFIP of 4.21 (#140 in MLB), and tERA of 5.94 (#192 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .333, LOB% of 81%, and E-F of -0.47. He has a K/BB
ratio of 1.72, with a WHIP of 1.65, and opponent BA of .296. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 39% for a 1.05
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 16%.
Chicago White Sox have the #7
bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a road
record of 26-24 (52%), ranked #10 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Kansas
City Royals have the #24 bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #15 in
fielding. They have a home record of 24-28 (46%), ranked #23 in MLB and
have Lost 3 in a row.
Peavy has an ERA of 7.72 and WHIP of 1.8 in
his last 3 starts. He allowed 6 hits and 5 ER's to KC on July 5th.
Duffy has an ERA of 4.85 and WHIP of 1.8 at home. He has never faced
ChiSox before.
A.
Ogando, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 3.52 (#61 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.71 (#71 in MLB), and tERA of 4.11 (#89 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .24, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.39, with a
WHIP of 1.01, and opponent BA of .212. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 22%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 41% for a 0.91 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
T.
Chatwood, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 4.39 (#142 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.82 (#189 in MLB), and tERA of 5.39 (#180 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .303, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.77. He has a K/BB ratio of 1, with a
WHIP of 1.55, and opponent BA of .272. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 24%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 33% for a 1.33 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
Texas
Rangers have the #30 bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding.
They have a road record of 24-23 (51%), ranked #13 in MLB and have Won
11 in a row.
LAA Angels have the #18 bullpen, #18 offense, and
are rated #1 in fielding. They have a home record of 26-22 (54%), ranked
#13 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Ogando has allowed 1 ER on 5
hits in 6.1 innings against the Angels this year. He has a 3.51 ERA on
the road (2.54 at home). Rangers have won 11 straight games. Chatwood
has never seen Texas before ('unfamiliarity' factor).
I like to copy/paste your write ups into my Word docs as the main bases of information, then after adding comments from various posters, from the Covers Experts free picks, Covers' Hot Lines and other commentaries, I print them out and take them to the casino with me.
I like to bet as I go along -- that way if I'm starting out bad, I stop, cut my losses and don't chase losses; if I'm doing good with the early games, I keep on going.
Your awesome write-ups are VALUABLE, man!
Especially the bullpen ratings... that one alone has saved me from many bad bets. I consider any good bullpen information to be vitally important, even more so than starting pitchers, especially when certain starting pitchers tend to leave the game early.
0
You DA MAN, Bodio, for all your write-ups!
I like to copy/paste your write ups into my Word docs as the main bases of information, then after adding comments from various posters, from the Covers Experts free picks, Covers' Hot Lines and other commentaries, I print them out and take them to the casino with me.
I like to bet as I go along -- that way if I'm starting out bad, I stop, cut my losses and don't chase losses; if I'm doing good with the early games, I keep on going.
Your awesome write-ups are VALUABLE, man!
Especially the bullpen ratings... that one alone has saved me from many bad bets. I consider any good bullpen information to be vitally important, even more so than starting pitchers, especially when certain starting pitchers tend to leave the game early.
Thanks for analysis as always MASTER Nice to see u favour my system play MIL on the road
What do you think about the Angels today, and the series against TEX? If LA want to reduce 4 game deficit they should win this series. They are red hot at home 11-2, while Rangers are streaking, very interesting series. Saw ur pass but i think LAA is the play, if u force to chose what would u play?
GL
0
Thanks for analysis as always MASTER Nice to see u favour my system play MIL on the road
What do you think about the Angels today, and the series against TEX? If LA want to reduce 4 game deficit they should win this series. They are red hot at home 11-2, while Rangers are streaking, very interesting series. Saw ur pass but i think LAA is the play, if u force to chose what would u play?
I like to copy/paste your write ups into my Word docs as the main bases of information, then after adding comments from various posters, from the Covers Experts free picks, Covers' Hot Lines and other commentaries, I print them out and take them to the casino with me.
I like to bet as I go along -- that way if I'm starting out bad, I stop, cut my losses and don't chase losses; if I'm doing good with the early games, I keep on going.
Your awesome write-ups are VALUABLE, man!
Especially the bullpen ratings... that one alone has saved me from many bad bets. I consider any good bullpen information to be vitally important, even more so than starting pitchers, especially when certain starting pitchers tend to leave the game early.
Nice...I'd be careful with using most of these Covers Experts though. Someone has posted their long-term records at sbr, and they are atrocious, especially guys like nick parsons and mark lawrence. If someone is hitting below 50% long-term, it's probably not a good idea to use the information and analysis they provide
0
Quote Originally Posted by Mozart:
You DA MAN, Bodio, for all your write-ups!
I like to copy/paste your write ups into my Word docs as the main bases of information, then after adding comments from various posters, from the Covers Experts free picks, Covers' Hot Lines and other commentaries, I print them out and take them to the casino with me.
I like to bet as I go along -- that way if I'm starting out bad, I stop, cut my losses and don't chase losses; if I'm doing good with the early games, I keep on going.
Your awesome write-ups are VALUABLE, man!
Especially the bullpen ratings... that one alone has saved me from many bad bets. I consider any good bullpen information to be vitally important, even more so than starting pitchers, especially when certain starting pitchers tend to leave the game early.
Nice...I'd be careful with using most of these Covers Experts though. Someone has posted their long-term records at sbr, and they are atrocious, especially guys like nick parsons and mark lawrence. If someone is hitting below 50% long-term, it's probably not a good idea to use the information and analysis they provide
Thanks for analysis as always MASTER Nice to see u favour my system play MIL on the road
What do you think about the Angels today, and the series against TEX? If LA want to reduce 4 game deficit they should win this series. They are red hot at home 11-2, while Rangers are streaking, very interesting series. Saw ur pass but i think LAA is the play, if u force to chose what would u play?
GL
Definitely a big series for the Angels here. They need to win this series. If I had to choose, I'd back Angels at pretty good odds at home, especially with a pitcher that the Rangers haven't seen before. But the again, I'm a little biased as I have Angels winning the division as one of my 2nd half 'futures' bets
0
Quote Originally Posted by fuxy008:
Thanks for analysis as always MASTER Nice to see u favour my system play MIL on the road
What do you think about the Angels today, and the series against TEX? If LA want to reduce 4 game deficit they should win this series. They are red hot at home 11-2, while Rangers are streaking, very interesting series. Saw ur pass but i think LAA is the play, if u force to chose what would u play?
GL
Definitely a big series for the Angels here. They need to win this series. If I had to choose, I'd back Angels at pretty good odds at home, especially with a pitcher that the Rangers haven't seen before. But the again, I'm a little biased as I have Angels winning the division as one of my 2nd half 'futures' bets
Curious why your lean is OVER in the SEA/TOR game. Stats are screaming under to me. Pineda is nasty and Seattle couldn't hit a volleyball.
Major 'hitters park', Bautista is back, and this is the 2nd time Toronto will see Pineida this year. Cecil is garbage and both teams are bottom half in fielding. As nasty as Pineda is, his GB-rate is very subpar and his 50% FB rate doesn't bode well in a 'hitters park' like Rogers Centre. With a very lucky .246 BABIP and a good amount of innings under his belt in his first season, expect Pineda's #'s to regress a bit in the 2nd half. With O/U at only 8, there's solid 'value' here. My model has this one at 9.4 total runs....
0
Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:
Curious why your lean is OVER in the SEA/TOR game. Stats are screaming under to me. Pineda is nasty and Seattle couldn't hit a volleyball.
Major 'hitters park', Bautista is back, and this is the 2nd time Toronto will see Pineida this year. Cecil is garbage and both teams are bottom half in fielding. As nasty as Pineda is, his GB-rate is very subpar and his 50% FB rate doesn't bode well in a 'hitters park' like Rogers Centre. With a very lucky .246 BABIP and a good amount of innings under his belt in his first season, expect Pineda's #'s to regress a bit in the 2nd half. With O/U at only 8, there's solid 'value' here. My model has this one at 9.4 total runs....
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Beware the Stros today!
and the reason? 
Hot Forum Topics
