Stanton put the hurt on me last night with a big blow vs LA!!
Today's Parlay doesn't have a huge return but it looks pretty reliable using Cubs w/Arrieta and Nats w/Geo! Phils only hitting .173 vs Lefties in last 10 games. Arrieta has a huge advantage over Jungmann and Hellickson has an ERA of 7.62. facing Geo. Betting 21 to hopefully make 24. Small time but still fun.
Jack Ryan
0
Stanton put the hurt on me last night with a big blow vs LA!!
Today's Parlay doesn't have a huge return but it looks pretty reliable using Cubs w/Arrieta and Nats w/Geo! Phils only hitting .173 vs Lefties in last 10 games. Arrieta has a huge advantage over Jungmann and Hellickson has an ERA of 7.62. facing Geo. Betting 21 to hopefully make 24. Small time but still fun.
Good luck all and I like some of the plays posted above. A very nice payout attracted my attention and I wanted to share it with the thread to see your thoughts (especially the ones that handicap soccer). Here's the thing, I used to play soccer very competitively but really struggle to handicap it. Anyway:
12016 Atletico Madrid HT / Draw FT
+1450
12017 Any other result
-2750
(i hope this paste job works)
Atletico vs Bayern - Champions League - 1st Leg - 245pm EST
Atletico is home for the 1st leg in a 2 leg time that sends the winner to the championship final (only 1 match for those who care). The line above jumped out at me as I saw this game ending in 1-1 scoreline. Bayern usually plays open soccer and I feel like Guardiola (sp?) will want to show up barcelona a bit and this will leave them exposed in the 1st half. I expect the game to tighten up in the 2nd half and get a result out of the game. Remember, 1-1 is a great result for both teams so I like having that on our side.
We're getting +1450 on this play... seems to have tremendous value to me... but then again I only cap baseball.
What do you guys think?
0
Hi guys,
Good luck all and I like some of the plays posted above. A very nice payout attracted my attention and I wanted to share it with the thread to see your thoughts (especially the ones that handicap soccer). Here's the thing, I used to play soccer very competitively but really struggle to handicap it. Anyway:
12016 Atletico Madrid HT / Draw FT
+1450
12017 Any other result
-2750
(i hope this paste job works)
Atletico vs Bayern - Champions League - 1st Leg - 245pm EST
Atletico is home for the 1st leg in a 2 leg time that sends the winner to the championship final (only 1 match for those who care). The line above jumped out at me as I saw this game ending in 1-1 scoreline. Bayern usually plays open soccer and I feel like Guardiola (sp?) will want to show up barcelona a bit and this will leave them exposed in the 1st half. I expect the game to tighten up in the 2nd half and get a result out of the game. Remember, 1-1 is a great result for both teams so I like having that on our side.
We're getting +1450 on this play... seems to have tremendous value to me... but then again I only cap baseball.
Well time to end the streak. Gotta stay away from O/U's...Wright for Boston is pitching great, Norris is the opposite, including a lousy last start. Boston has 5 hitters among the hottest in the last week hitting above .310. Wind blowing slightly out toward the green monster and it will be cold. Hanley Ramirez is lifetime .471 off Norris and is due. Home team vs the likely worst in BB means Red Sox take this 6-2 Boston Red Sox-1.5 Run Line
0
Well time to end the streak. Gotta stay away from O/U's...Wright for Boston is pitching great, Norris is the opposite, including a lousy last start. Boston has 5 hitters among the hottest in the last week hitting above .310. Wind blowing slightly out toward the green monster and it will be cold. Hanley Ramirez is lifetime .471 off Norris and is due. Home team vs the likely worst in BB means Red Sox take this 6-2 Boston Red Sox-1.5 Run Line
I hardly ever put 2 full-game picks out in the same day, as I am mainly a 2H bettor as my username would suggest. However, I love both games on tonight's card.
Let me start with the Ducks. I saw many of you on Anaheim for Game 6, and why not? They had totally destroyed the Preds in the previous 3 games. But I will tell you why I stayed away from Anaheim. It was the first time the Ducks had a lead in that series. Some people or teams can't handle prosperity. I was curious to see how Anaheim would play when ahead in the series, and the answer was they were not good. Nashville clearly was the better team on Sunday night.
I live here in Las Vegas, so I am blacked out from watching NBCSN's coverage of Ducks games. I have to watch the Anaheim telecast on Fox Sports West, which is a shame because I don't get to hear the best in the business, Doc Emrick, call tonight's game. In watching the Ducks' telecast before game 3 when they were on the road down 0-2 in the series, Bruce Boudreau was asked what Anaheim was going to do to get back in the series. His answer was a simple one. The Ducks led the NHL in goals allowed this season and he said, "We are going to focus only on our defense and let everything else take care of itself."
I thought they got away from that a little bit in Game 5 even though they won and certainly in Game 6, but I would look for them to definitely have that mindset once again tonight in game 7. It worked for them during the regular season after a horrible start, and it has worked when that has been their focus in this series. Andersen has been great between the pipes, having only allowed 3 goals in 3 games, and with the right mindset by Anaheim goals should once again be very hard to come by for the Predators.
So why not just take the Ducks after saying all that? One reason. Welcome back, Pekka Rinne!! After being mostly pedestrian for the entire series, the old Pekka Rinne came to life on Sunday. He was outstanding and truly looked locked in for the first time during these playoffs. And as we have seen in the NHL playoffs, once a goalie gets locked in, he can stay locked in. You think the Flyers are kicking themselves for having waited so long to start Neuvirth in their series with Washington? Nashville has shown in this series they can shut down the Ducks' offense, having held them to 2 or fewer goals in their 3 wins.
If Anaheim plays the way they should, and the way I think they will, goals will be scarce for the Predators. With a locked in Rinne now in net for Nashville, this should be a great low-scoring Game 7. Enjoy a fun night of hockey, everyone.
0
$$$$ NASHVILLE-ANAHEIM UNDER 5 -115 GAME 7 $$$$
I hardly ever put 2 full-game picks out in the same day, as I am mainly a 2H bettor as my username would suggest. However, I love both games on tonight's card.
Let me start with the Ducks. I saw many of you on Anaheim for Game 6, and why not? They had totally destroyed the Preds in the previous 3 games. But I will tell you why I stayed away from Anaheim. It was the first time the Ducks had a lead in that series. Some people or teams can't handle prosperity. I was curious to see how Anaheim would play when ahead in the series, and the answer was they were not good. Nashville clearly was the better team on Sunday night.
I live here in Las Vegas, so I am blacked out from watching NBCSN's coverage of Ducks games. I have to watch the Anaheim telecast on Fox Sports West, which is a shame because I don't get to hear the best in the business, Doc Emrick, call tonight's game. In watching the Ducks' telecast before game 3 when they were on the road down 0-2 in the series, Bruce Boudreau was asked what Anaheim was going to do to get back in the series. His answer was a simple one. The Ducks led the NHL in goals allowed this season and he said, "We are going to focus only on our defense and let everything else take care of itself."
I thought they got away from that a little bit in Game 5 even though they won and certainly in Game 6, but I would look for them to definitely have that mindset once again tonight in game 7. It worked for them during the regular season after a horrible start, and it has worked when that has been their focus in this series. Andersen has been great between the pipes, having only allowed 3 goals in 3 games, and with the right mindset by Anaheim goals should once again be very hard to come by for the Predators.
So why not just take the Ducks after saying all that? One reason. Welcome back, Pekka Rinne!! After being mostly pedestrian for the entire series, the old Pekka Rinne came to life on Sunday. He was outstanding and truly looked locked in for the first time during these playoffs. And as we have seen in the NHL playoffs, once a goalie gets locked in, he can stay locked in. You think the Flyers are kicking themselves for having waited so long to start Neuvirth in their series with Washington? Nashville has shown in this series they can shut down the Ducks' offense, having held them to 2 or fewer goals in their 3 wins.
If Anaheim plays the way they should, and the way I think they will, goals will be scarce for the Predators. With a locked in Rinne now in net for Nashville, this should be a great low-scoring Game 7. Enjoy a fun night of hockey, everyone.
I was pissed about the dodgers last night. had a 4 team parlay worth 20k and lost it. how does kershaw fall that hard and how did they not get any hits. Frustrating.
I have been following thread for a while and have seen some good pics. I would put mine down but the the odds are not withing regulation.
I have another four teamer tonight
cubs - this should be a blowout national Geo vs phillies horrible BA against lefty red sox Braves are really that bad seattle houston is horrible on the road winning only two all season and mchugh is garbage.
should hit tonight for 16k
maybe better odds to post tomorrow
0
I was pissed about the dodgers last night. had a 4 team parlay worth 20k and lost it. how does kershaw fall that hard and how did they not get any hits. Frustrating.
I have been following thread for a while and have seen some good pics. I would put mine down but the the odds are not withing regulation.
I have another four teamer tonight
cubs - this should be a blowout national Geo vs phillies horrible BA against lefty red sox Braves are really that bad seattle houston is horrible on the road winning only two all season and mchugh is garbage.
No surprise here, but Steph Curry is out of the lineup and that means the Warriors will have to roll with Shaun Livingston. Yes they have played a couple games without the star, but now they are expected to miss him for 2 weeks. More focus will be on the defensive front and Livingston will make it a priority to slow the game down into a half court offense. Livingston is ranked last among the Warriors core players over the L2 years in average possessions per game while Curry is ranked the fastest in average possessions per game.
Biggest difference between the two however is the 3-point shot. Livingston has averaged ONE (1) successful three point attempt per year while Curry is the best 3-point shooter we have EVER seen.
Livingston AVG FG-Made and FG-Attempts (career) = 2.7 - 5.7
Curry AVG FG-Made and FG-Attempts (career) = 7.9 - 16.6
Houston will not be paying much attention to Livingston which will free up their defense down low and force the Warriors to play the perimeter game. I have this game reaching around 206.
$$$$$$Under 212.5 Golden State/Houston$$$$$$$
Other NBA Leans:
5 Units: Portland -2 (no CP3, no Blake)
5 Units: Over Heat 193
0
$$$$$$Under 212.5 Golden State/Houston$$$$$$$
No surprise here, but Steph Curry is out of the lineup and that means the Warriors will have to roll with Shaun Livingston. Yes they have played a couple games without the star, but now they are expected to miss him for 2 weeks. More focus will be on the defensive front and Livingston will make it a priority to slow the game down into a half court offense. Livingston is ranked last among the Warriors core players over the L2 years in average possessions per game while Curry is ranked the fastest in average possessions per game.
Biggest difference between the two however is the 3-point shot. Livingston has averaged ONE (1) successful three point attempt per year while Curry is the best 3-point shooter we have EVER seen.
Livingston AVG FG-Made and FG-Attempts (career) = 2.7 - 5.7
Curry AVG FG-Made and FG-Attempts (career) = 7.9 - 16.6
Houston will not be paying much attention to Livingston which will free up their defense down low and force the Warriors to play the perimeter game. I have this game reaching around 206.
If you can still get it at -133 it's OK. But thats probably as far as I would go personally. Got it early at -108 when i posted it in mondays thread. I see Pinnacle is at -150 now, but 5Dimes should have -133.
Here's the writeup though:
Helsingborg. Decent offense, young and inexperienced defense. Always had good goalkeepers, but not this season as Pär Hansson left for Feyenoord and they are now left with two 'backup goalies' who probably wouldn't be considered first goalies in any other team in the league. To make things worse(?) Matt Pyzdrowski who was backup last year, but started the 5 cup games and 3 first league games this year is injured and so HIS backup Tomer Chencinski has started last two games.
To add to that, captain Peter Larsson, who stands for experience and leadership in defense has been in and out due to injuries and will miss tomorrows game. In midfield, co-captain and defensive midfielder Johan Mårtensson is also out after playing the first 3 games. Two huge blows to Helsingborg defense, who also are without another long-term injured defensive midfielder. Helsingborg has started the season 1-1 1-3 1-5 3-1 3-2, ergo 21 goals in 5 games and over 2.5 in 4 of 5. Last season the over 2.5 was 22-8.
AIK then, some injuries in defensive midfield as well with Ofori and Etuhu out, but with OK backups. Back four has been shaky enough, even though they're very experienced. AIK were lucky to only concede once last game, but also should have scored a couple of times in second half. AIK has started the season 1-1 2-0 3-3 1-4 2-1. 18 goals in 5 games and over in 3 of 5. Last season the over 2.5 was 19-11.
Recent matches between Helsingborg and AIK have been a bunch of goals scored. 3-1 3-1 3-1 2-1 2-1 1-2 2-1. 24 goals in last 7, over 2.5 in all of them and an average of 3.4. AIK is my team but this has been a tough matchup for the away team in the past. I predict both teams score again, my guess is it will go something like 2-1 either way or 2-2.
$$$$ Helsingborg - AIK OVER 2.5 GOALS $$$$
I've got it over 3 (+105) on Bovada *sigh*, less juice but probably pushes knowing my luck.
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Quote Originally Posted by newmi:
=== EARLY KICK OFF THURSDAY 1:00 PM EST ===
$$$$ Helsingborg - AIK OVER 2.5 GOALS $$$$
If you can still get it at -133 it's OK. But thats probably as far as I would go personally. Got it early at -108 when i posted it in mondays thread. I see Pinnacle is at -150 now, but 5Dimes should have -133.
Here's the writeup though:
Helsingborg. Decent offense, young and inexperienced defense. Always had good goalkeepers, but not this season as Pär Hansson left for Feyenoord and they are now left with two 'backup goalies' who probably wouldn't be considered first goalies in any other team in the league. To make things worse(?) Matt Pyzdrowski who was backup last year, but started the 5 cup games and 3 first league games this year is injured and so HIS backup Tomer Chencinski has started last two games.
To add to that, captain Peter Larsson, who stands for experience and leadership in defense has been in and out due to injuries and will miss tomorrows game. In midfield, co-captain and defensive midfielder Johan Mårtensson is also out after playing the first 3 games. Two huge blows to Helsingborg defense, who also are without another long-term injured defensive midfielder. Helsingborg has started the season 1-1 1-3 1-5 3-1 3-2, ergo 21 goals in 5 games and over 2.5 in 4 of 5. Last season the over 2.5 was 22-8.
AIK then, some injuries in defensive midfield as well with Ofori and Etuhu out, but with OK backups. Back four has been shaky enough, even though they're very experienced. AIK were lucky to only concede once last game, but also should have scored a couple of times in second half. AIK has started the season 1-1 2-0 3-3 1-4 2-1. 18 goals in 5 games and over in 3 of 5. Last season the over 2.5 was 19-11.
Recent matches between Helsingborg and AIK have been a bunch of goals scored. 3-1 3-1 3-1 2-1 2-1 1-2 2-1. 24 goals in last 7, over 2.5 in all of them and an average of 3.4. AIK is my team but this has been a tough matchup for the away team in the past. I predict both teams score again, my guess is it will go something like 2-1 either way or 2-2.
$$$$ Helsingborg - AIK OVER 2.5 GOALS $$$$
I've got it over 3 (+105) on Bovada *sigh*, less juice but probably pushes knowing my luck.
Afternoon from Vegas and Pimp Nation: Happy Ho's everywhere today. Wish we could have pulled in Royals late night, but still an awesome day. Thanks to everyone on their feedback.
Early observations:
1. Sometimes when you read others work product, you see things a little more clearly than the writer. Ex: I can't name you a player on Tampa or NYI, not a player, coach, etc. Unless Mike Bossy is still on the team? But just from reading a great write up...I am on Tampa Puck Line. I am not afraid of a 1 run game and based on his info, this looks like a great play with great value.
2. Dr 2 Half sold me on Anaheim/Nash Under...Again, I am just reading their opinions and other write up about the games.
Thanks boys. My hockey record is about 5-1 on here and I know ZERO. Legggoooooo!
San Francisco Run Line Today:
I have looked at this game from several sides and I actually played Cashner last outing v STL and he has been very solid since opening day. SD is 3-1 in his starts and he will give you 6 innings of 4-5 hits and 1-2 runs. However, Samardja has been roc steady and I see the trend of SF hitting well when he starts and every year, we get a pitcher who they score some runs for. 2 wins 15 runs, 2 losses 4 runs.
Cashner never won at SF and their offense is simply dreadful. Upton looked to tweak a knee last night and I just don't see them scoring too much today. I think there is some value in RUN LINE ONLY today. I feel this is either 5-1 5-2 or nothing gets home like last night.
1/2 Unit for the Nation mainly targeting JS as a PLAY ON guy. I like Cashners consistency but 0-5 is 0-5 Sorry, Cash, maybe ext time.
SF -1.5 for the Nation (1/2 Unit)
0
Afternoon from Vegas and Pimp Nation: Happy Ho's everywhere today. Wish we could have pulled in Royals late night, but still an awesome day. Thanks to everyone on their feedback.
Early observations:
1. Sometimes when you read others work product, you see things a little more clearly than the writer. Ex: I can't name you a player on Tampa or NYI, not a player, coach, etc. Unless Mike Bossy is still on the team? But just from reading a great write up...I am on Tampa Puck Line. I am not afraid of a 1 run game and based on his info, this looks like a great play with great value.
2. Dr 2 Half sold me on Anaheim/Nash Under...Again, I am just reading their opinions and other write up about the games.
Thanks boys. My hockey record is about 5-1 on here and I know ZERO. Legggoooooo!
San Francisco Run Line Today:
I have looked at this game from several sides and I actually played Cashner last outing v STL and he has been very solid since opening day. SD is 3-1 in his starts and he will give you 6 innings of 4-5 hits and 1-2 runs. However, Samardja has been roc steady and I see the trend of SF hitting well when he starts and every year, we get a pitcher who they score some runs for. 2 wins 15 runs, 2 losses 4 runs.
Cashner never won at SF and their offense is simply dreadful. Upton looked to tweak a knee last night and I just don't see them scoring too much today. I think there is some value in RUN LINE ONLY today. I feel this is either 5-1 5-2 or nothing gets home like last night.
1/2 Unit for the Nation mainly targeting JS as a PLAY ON guy. I like Cashners consistency but 0-5 is 0-5 Sorry, Cash, maybe ext time.
Afternoon from Vegas and Pimp Nation: Happy Ho's everywhere today. Wish we could have pulled in Royals late night, but still an awesome day. Thanks to everyone on their feedback.
Early observations:
1. Sometimes when you read others work product, you see things a little more clearly than the writer. Ex: I can't name you a player on Tampa or NYI, not a player, coach, etc. Unless Mike Bossy is still on the team? But just from reading a great write up...I am on Tampa Puck Line. I am not afraid of a 1 run game and based on his info, this looks like a great play with great value.
2. Dr 2 Half sold me on Anaheim/Nash Under...Again, I am just reading their opinions and other write up about the games.
Thanks boys. My hockey record is about 5-1 on here and I know ZERO. Legggoooooo!
San Francisco Run Line Today:
I have looked at this game from several sides and I actually played Cashner last outing v STL and he has been very solid since opening day. SD is 3-1 in his starts and he will give you 6 innings of 4-5 hits and 1-2 runs. However, Samardja has been roc steady and I see the trend of SF hitting well when he starts and every year, we get a pitcher who they score some runs for. 2 wins 15 runs, 2 losses 4 runs.
Cashner never won at SF and their offense is simply dreadful. Upton looked to tweak a knee last night and I just don't see them scoring too much today. I think there is some value in RUN LINE ONLY today. I feel this is either 5-1 5-2 or nothing gets home like last night.
1/2 Unit for the Nation mainly targeting JS as a PLAY ON guy. I like Cashners consistency but 0-5 is 0-5 Sorry, Cash, maybe ext time.
SF -1.5 for the Nation (1/2 Unit)
Pimp, so you like tampa -1.5, ana/nash under, & sf -1.5?
0
Quote Originally Posted by PimpNation:
Afternoon from Vegas and Pimp Nation: Happy Ho's everywhere today. Wish we could have pulled in Royals late night, but still an awesome day. Thanks to everyone on their feedback.
Early observations:
1. Sometimes when you read others work product, you see things a little more clearly than the writer. Ex: I can't name you a player on Tampa or NYI, not a player, coach, etc. Unless Mike Bossy is still on the team? But just from reading a great write up...I am on Tampa Puck Line. I am not afraid of a 1 run game and based on his info, this looks like a great play with great value.
2. Dr 2 Half sold me on Anaheim/Nash Under...Again, I am just reading their opinions and other write up about the games.
Thanks boys. My hockey record is about 5-1 on here and I know ZERO. Legggoooooo!
San Francisco Run Line Today:
I have looked at this game from several sides and I actually played Cashner last outing v STL and he has been very solid since opening day. SD is 3-1 in his starts and he will give you 6 innings of 4-5 hits and 1-2 runs. However, Samardja has been roc steady and I see the trend of SF hitting well when he starts and every year, we get a pitcher who they score some runs for. 2 wins 15 runs, 2 losses 4 runs.
Cashner never won at SF and their offense is simply dreadful. Upton looked to tweak a knee last night and I just don't see them scoring too much today. I think there is some value in RUN LINE ONLY today. I feel this is either 5-1 5-2 or nothing gets home like last night.
1/2 Unit for the Nation mainly targeting JS as a PLAY ON guy. I like Cashners consistency but 0-5 is 0-5 Sorry, Cash, maybe ext time.
SF -1.5 for the Nation (1/2 Unit)
Pimp, so you like tampa -1.5, ana/nash under, & sf -1.5?
I just read my writeup and obviously I didnt proof read because it was awful. I reworded it a little better.
$$$$ Cubs RL -150 $$$$ Arrietta must start
Jake Arrieta need I say more? Last year in 3 starts post all star break Arrieta went 2-0 0.86 ERA over 18 innings of shutout ball vs Milwaukee. In their last outing back in september he struck out 11 in a 4-0 win over the Brewers at Wrigley. Taylor Jungman is 0-3 with an 8.47 ERA this year and it doesn't look to improve with cubs averaging almost 7 runs/9 vs righties. He went 0-2 4.32 ERA against the cubs last season in which he surrendered 7 runs in 8? innings.
$$$$ Cubs RL -150 $$$$
0
I just read my writeup and obviously I didnt proof read because it was awful. I reworded it a little better.
$$$$ Cubs RL -150 $$$$ Arrietta must start
Jake Arrieta need I say more? Last year in 3 starts post all star break Arrieta went 2-0 0.86 ERA over 18 innings of shutout ball vs Milwaukee. In their last outing back in september he struck out 11 in a 4-0 win over the Brewers at Wrigley. Taylor Jungman is 0-3 with an 8.47 ERA this year and it doesn't look to improve with cubs averaging almost 7 runs/9 vs righties. He went 0-2 4.32 ERA against the cubs last season in which he surrendered 7 runs in 8? innings.
Cleveland: We played against the youngster from Tampa last weekend and won with Yankees (albeit a walk off) and I think we have a very similar spot tonight. Berries "could be" a monster one day but at 21 years, he has a lot to learn. Very risky bringing him up but he has dominated at AAA Rochester. But I really like Tomlin tonight and the Indians are simply better everywhere than Minnesota (offensively) and these 2 walk off wins were a little fluky to me. Great value on CLE vs Rookie with a hot pitcher for us.
Clippers: Look, while I agree Paul is a devastating loss for the Clippers, Griffin is not and I do not see the big stir about him. The Clippers were one of the deeper teams in the league. Rivers will likely slide into the starting point guard slot versus Lillard and Jeff Green and Crawford likely to get more minutes. Adding Mboute, Paul Pierce and Johnson and I still think you have a good bench. If you think the Clippers lose tonight, then bet the Series -200 because there is no way they win 2 in a row if they lose Game 5.
For me, I am putting a play in on the Clippers +190 to win the series and $ Line Play tonight. This is a still a really good NBA team with PROFESSIONAL athletes...this is not a Griz situation or Mavs situation. I think the game seems to be an over play to me as you lose one of the best defensive players in the league.
Again, this does not apply to Game 6 or game 7 but I am telling you, teams rally around things like this and if this was Game 1, I would say no way in hell they win the series. But 2 out of 3 at home and Portlands horrendous shot selection...gimme some Clips tonight.
0
Other early thoughts:
Cleveland: We played against the youngster from Tampa last weekend and won with Yankees (albeit a walk off) and I think we have a very similar spot tonight. Berries "could be" a monster one day but at 21 years, he has a lot to learn. Very risky bringing him up but he has dominated at AAA Rochester. But I really like Tomlin tonight and the Indians are simply better everywhere than Minnesota (offensively) and these 2 walk off wins were a little fluky to me. Great value on CLE vs Rookie with a hot pitcher for us.
Clippers: Look, while I agree Paul is a devastating loss for the Clippers, Griffin is not and I do not see the big stir about him. The Clippers were one of the deeper teams in the league. Rivers will likely slide into the starting point guard slot versus Lillard and Jeff Green and Crawford likely to get more minutes. Adding Mboute, Paul Pierce and Johnson and I still think you have a good bench. If you think the Clippers lose tonight, then bet the Series -200 because there is no way they win 2 in a row if they lose Game 5.
For me, I am putting a play in on the Clippers +190 to win the series and $ Line Play tonight. This is a still a really good NBA team with PROFESSIONAL athletes...this is not a Griz situation or Mavs situation. I think the game seems to be an over play to me as you lose one of the best defensive players in the league.
Again, this does not apply to Game 6 or game 7 but I am telling you, teams rally around things like this and if this was Game 1, I would say no way in hell they win the series. But 2 out of 3 at home and Portlands horrendous shot selection...gimme some Clips tonight.
Lanyard- Yes...But FOR ME, I am only putting a 1/2 unit on my handicapping. I am tailing Philly and Dr 2 Half for their hockey plays. Nothing huge, but I like their write ups and think there is value
0
Lanyard- Yes...But FOR ME, I am only putting a 1/2 unit on my handicapping. I am tailing Philly and Dr 2 Half for their hockey plays. Nothing huge, but I like their write ups and think there is value
Good luck all and I like some of the plays posted above. A very nice payout attracted my attention and I wanted to share it with the thread to see your thoughts (especially the ones that handicap soccer). Here's the thing, I used to play soccer very competitively but really struggle to handicap it. Anyway:
12016 Atletico Madrid HT / Draw FT
+1450
12017 Any other result
-2750
(i hope this paste job works)
Atletico vs Bayern - Champions League - 1st Leg - 245pm EST
Atletico is home for the 1st leg in a 2 leg time that sends the winner to the championship final (only 1 match for those who care). The line above jumped out at me as I saw this game ending in 1-1 scoreline. Bayern usually plays open soccer and I feel like Guardiola (sp?) will want to show up barcelona a bit and this will leave them exposed in the 1st half. I expect the game to tighten up in the 2nd half and get a result out of the game. Remember, 1-1 is a great result for both teams so I like having that on our side.
We're getting +1450 on this play... seems to have tremendous value to me... but then again I only cap baseball.
What do you guys think?
Yes a draw is very likely final result n Atletico is great but Bayern is a whole different beast
0
Quote Originally Posted by SocrAndrew7:
Hi guys,
Good luck all and I like some of the plays posted above. A very nice payout attracted my attention and I wanted to share it with the thread to see your thoughts (especially the ones that handicap soccer). Here's the thing, I used to play soccer very competitively but really struggle to handicap it. Anyway:
12016 Atletico Madrid HT / Draw FT
+1450
12017 Any other result
-2750
(i hope this paste job works)
Atletico vs Bayern - Champions League - 1st Leg - 245pm EST
Atletico is home for the 1st leg in a 2 leg time that sends the winner to the championship final (only 1 match for those who care). The line above jumped out at me as I saw this game ending in 1-1 scoreline. Bayern usually plays open soccer and I feel like Guardiola (sp?) will want to show up barcelona a bit and this will leave them exposed in the 1st half. I expect the game to tighten up in the 2nd half and get a result out of the game. Remember, 1-1 is a great result for both teams so I like having that on our side.
We're getting +1450 on this play... seems to have tremendous value to me... but then again I only cap baseball.
What do you guys think?
Yes a draw is very likely final result n Atletico is great but Bayern is a whole different beast
In other news, i just played the real lotto. Houston to win the nba championship +111,000. Wow
Never know like the first score in the superbowl is a safety prop bet. I got $5 holla on it pays $5,700 around there. With curry out, houston got that small window of opportunity to advance and if they do, watch out.
$5 is what? Tip money? Some of us loses more than this on any given gambling day.
Balls to the walls bet
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Pitts line movement no effing good.
In other news, i just played the real lotto. Houston to win the nba championship +111,000. Wow
Never know like the first score in the superbowl is a safety prop bet. I got $5 holla on it pays $5,700 around there. With curry out, houston got that small window of opportunity to advance and if they do, watch out.
$5 is what? Tip money? Some of us loses more than this on any given gambling day.
Random thoughts from brutal joe with no extensive write ups. While drinking a "Perfect Manhattan" ... Not as sweet as a regular "Manhattan". I Hit the over big in TOR tilt and the under in ATL slate ( wow that 3rd quarter almost blew it for me) Last night Good for me. Going forward. Tonite No way that POR game goes over 197. Unless they do the "foul the brutal free throw shooter thing". But I think POR MIGHT win this one. The under will be moderately played. TOR-CWS in bases. I really don't see them not scoring 7.5 runs Over. TOR coming out of their hitting funk. Sales pitched yesterday. Not a tougher lefty and now another lefty. TOR will adjust. 2 lefties in two days?? I love pounding it when that happens. teams adjust to the second inferior lefty. Also TOR can pound lefty s. They did last year. Also MIA TT over 99.5-125 . As was already said very eloquently in a previous post , MIA always scores over 100 at home. This will be no different and lastly tomorrow GS 212 way under. Do we forget how good GS defense is? And now even better without Curry. And who replaces this 3 point machine? Livingston... who doesnt know what a 3 pointer is. Pound it. Lastly IND- TOR under. This will be a $$$$ play for me but Bubba wants a more extensive write up so suffice it to say that right now this will be pounded like a short stay hooker. No way it hits 195.5. My thoughts Brutaljoe
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Random thoughts from brutal joe with no extensive write ups. While drinking a "Perfect Manhattan" ... Not as sweet as a regular "Manhattan". I Hit the over big in TOR tilt and the under in ATL slate ( wow that 3rd quarter almost blew it for me) Last night Good for me. Going forward. Tonite No way that POR game goes over 197. Unless they do the "foul the brutal free throw shooter thing". But I think POR MIGHT win this one. The under will be moderately played. TOR-CWS in bases. I really don't see them not scoring 7.5 runs Over. TOR coming out of their hitting funk. Sales pitched yesterday. Not a tougher lefty and now another lefty. TOR will adjust. 2 lefties in two days?? I love pounding it when that happens. teams adjust to the second inferior lefty. Also TOR can pound lefty s. They did last year. Also MIA TT over 99.5-125 . As was already said very eloquently in a previous post , MIA always scores over 100 at home. This will be no different and lastly tomorrow GS 212 way under. Do we forget how good GS defense is? And now even better without Curry. And who replaces this 3 point machine? Livingston... who doesnt know what a 3 pointer is. Pound it. Lastly IND- TOR under. This will be a $$$$ play for me but Bubba wants a more extensive write up so suffice it to say that right now this will be pounded like a short stay hooker. No way it hits 195.5. My thoughts Brutaljoe
I was pissed about the dodgers last night. had a 4 team parlay worth 20k and lost it. how does kershaw fall that hard and how did they not get any hits. Frustrating.
I have been following thread for a while and have seen some good pics. I would put mine down but the the odds are not withing regulation.
I have another four teamer tonight
cubs - this should be a blowout national Geo vs phillies horrible BA against lefty red sox Braves are really that bad seattle houston is horrible on the road winning only two all season and mchugh is garbage.
should hit tonight for 16k
maybe better odds to post tomorrow
You're a bookies wet dream
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Quote Originally Posted by reeseta:
I was pissed about the dodgers last night. had a 4 team parlay worth 20k and lost it. how does kershaw fall that hard and how did they not get any hits. Frustrating.
I have been following thread for a while and have seen some good pics. I would put mine down but the the odds are not withing regulation.
I have another four teamer tonight
cubs - this should be a blowout national Geo vs phillies horrible BA against lefty red sox Braves are really that bad seattle houston is horrible on the road winning only two all season and mchugh is garbage.
It has been a while since I posted my only play. (during the NCAA tournament). I appreciate this thread and value everyone's write ups. Thanks to SC for starting and Bubba for keeping it going.
My play for tonight is on the $$$ OVER 194 Miami/Char game $$$.
Someone posted earlier about being on the TT over for Miami and another lean on the over at 193. Here are some things that stick out regarding this series. Game #1 total at this court closed at 199, at the game produced a 214. Game #2 total at this court closed at 198, and produced 218. In Game #1 Miami shot 57% to Charlottes 43% and in Game #2 Miami shot 58% to Charlottes 43%. Both games Miami shot better than 50% from 3pt, while Charlotte shot an average of 21% from 3pt for both games (Game #2 they shot 6%). Games #3 and #4 produced UNDERS, but lets take a look at the statistics. Miami shot an average of 37% FG for both games, while Charlotte shot 39%. From 3pt, Miami shot 35% and Charlotte averaged 26%. The statistic that sticks out the most during the playoffs have to do with FTA and FT%. During the 4 games of these playoffs Miami has gone to the line, 22, 21, 30, 21, while Charlotte, 37, 33, 22, 30. Charlotte has been the better team averaging 84% versus Miami's 72%. However, at home, Miami does carry a 79% FT and Charlotte on the road is at 79% as well. I believe their is good value with this line, especially with Batum likely to see action. At this price we don't need any kind of explosion, just two teams attacking aggressively with the ball, and that is what I expect to see this evening.
Thank you and BOL to those that follow...
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It has been a while since I posted my only play. (during the NCAA tournament). I appreciate this thread and value everyone's write ups. Thanks to SC for starting and Bubba for keeping it going.
My play for tonight is on the $$$ OVER 194 Miami/Char game $$$.
Someone posted earlier about being on the TT over for Miami and another lean on the over at 193. Here are some things that stick out regarding this series. Game #1 total at this court closed at 199, at the game produced a 214. Game #2 total at this court closed at 198, and produced 218. In Game #1 Miami shot 57% to Charlottes 43% and in Game #2 Miami shot 58% to Charlottes 43%. Both games Miami shot better than 50% from 3pt, while Charlotte shot an average of 21% from 3pt for both games (Game #2 they shot 6%). Games #3 and #4 produced UNDERS, but lets take a look at the statistics. Miami shot an average of 37% FG for both games, while Charlotte shot 39%. From 3pt, Miami shot 35% and Charlotte averaged 26%. The statistic that sticks out the most during the playoffs have to do with FTA and FT%. During the 4 games of these playoffs Miami has gone to the line, 22, 21, 30, 21, while Charlotte, 37, 33, 22, 30. Charlotte has been the better team averaging 84% versus Miami's 72%. However, at home, Miami does carry a 79% FT and Charlotte on the road is at 79% as well. I believe their is good value with this line, especially with Batum likely to see action. At this price we don't need any kind of explosion, just two teams attacking aggressively with the ball, and that is what I expect to see this evening.
McHugh at Seattle 3-0 ERA 1.66 at site based on 21.2 innings no history with ump Iwakuma at home vs Houston 1-3. Lot last 3 giving up 4 runs in each start Iwakuma with ump 6 innings 7.5 ERA Seattle: 3-12 SU in home games after allowing 1 run or less
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McHugh at Seattle 3-0 ERA 1.66 at site based on 21.2 innings no history with ump Iwakuma at home vs Houston 1-3. Lot last 3 giving up 4 runs in each start Iwakuma with ump 6 innings 7.5 ERA Seattle: 3-12 SU in home games after allowing 1 run or less
Tonights 1H total of 98 is too high coupled with the unders hitting about 70% in the first round makes this my $$$$ play today. I am going to ride this 1H trend again tonight. I don't see how it can hit 98 points with Paul, Griffin out and Reddick playing hurt.
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LAC under 98 1H is my $$$$ play today.
Here are the last 6 games results:
4/25/16 1H points = 90 Portland home team
4/23/16 1H points = 89 Portland home team
4/20/16 1H points = 90 LAC home team
4/17/16 1H points = 92 LAC home team
3/24/16 1H points = 85 LAC home team
1/6/16 1H points = 103 Portland home team
Tonights 1H total of 98 is too high coupled with the unders hitting about 70% in the first round makes this my $$$$ play today. I am going to ride this 1H trend again tonight. I don't see how it can hit 98 points with Paul, Griffin out and Reddick playing hurt.
Tonights 1H total of 98 is too high coupled with the unders hitting about 70% in the first round makes this my $$$$ play today. I am going to ride this 1H trend again tonight. I don't see how it can hit 98 points with Paul, Griffin out and Reddick playing hurt.
This is a good find, I might tail this
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Quote Originally Posted by HoopsStar:
LAC under 98 1H is my $$$$ play today.
Here are the last 6 games results:
4/25/16 1H points = 90 Portland home team
4/23/16 1H points = 89 Portland home team
4/20/16 1H points = 90 LAC home team
4/17/16 1H points = 92 LAC home team
3/24/16 1H points = 85 LAC home team
1/6/16 1H points = 103 Portland home team
Tonights 1H total of 98 is too high coupled with the unders hitting about 70% in the first round makes this my $$$$ play today. I am going to ride this 1H trend again tonight. I don't see how it can hit 98 points with Paul, Griffin out and Reddick playing hurt.
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