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DK MLB Tuesday 7/28

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Legend
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Joined: Sep, 2013
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Posted: #1
Monday: 5-1
Post All-Star Record: 33-36-1


Been awhile since I won a 4 team parlay almost two months ago, after Memorial day I believe, and my 2nd time winning a 4 teamer this baseball season. This next play may not be a sure winner but here goes...

Play #1 
Philadelphia Phillies +210 ML

ML too juicy to pass up. I feel like there should be a better reason to take the Phillies besides reiterating the "Phillies are hot" mantra... But it's late at night and I have no concrete answer as to why I like them again . There must be something that compelled me to take the Phillies without hesitating , but can't put a finger on it as to why. Maybe I can find out more tommorow after I get some sleeep



 
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Legend
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Posted: #2
More thoughts on the Phillies/Jays game.

The general thought is that Blue Jays hit well against lefties. I checked on my own that their overall record is 14-10 against lefties(15-12 according to another data site.. which is not far from my findings). Ok so you will say Jays are a great lefty hitting team so why are you going against that? And I will say, the Jays bats have been hit or miss this whole month. The Jays may have hit lefties well earlier in the season but...did you know they are just 3-6 against lefties since June 30th? Take the overall record into equation and they were 11-4 against lefties when they were hot  but not anymore. 

Leftie pitching for the Jays has also been suspect as well. Besides Buehrle who has been kind of fade material as of late, there isn't another lefty on the rotation that is worth a damn when you have Matt Boyd and Doubront stinking up the joint. Lefty starters for the Jays are just 4-6 in their last 10 starts. Overall the Jays are 14-15 when a lefty starts
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Veteran
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Posted: #3
 
Legend
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Posted: #4
Bol today
 
Legend
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Posted: #5
Continuing on. 

In comparison, The Phillies are just 3-3 against lefties since June 30th. Those lefties include Kershaw, Bumgarner and Alex Wood. Of course it'll be hard to win against those guys but against Doubront? Who is just 1-2 in games he's started? and he will be going up against a Phillies squad that is batting .300 since the All-Star break

Jays have faced a couple of good lefties like Price and Sale but have faced so-so lefties and lost to guys like John Danks and Duffy. Phillies lefties are 5-5 in their last 10 games, but Cole Hamels and Adam Morgan have been holding the fort being responsible for most of those wins. 

Conclusion: I believe Phillies have a good chance to win 5 straight and 9 out of their last 10 since the All-Star break but also snap their 8 game losing streak against the Blue Jays for the past 4 year or so. It's a longshot but I like Phillies to win!

BOL Everyone
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Captain
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:

More thoughts on the Phillies/Jays game.

The general thought is that Blue Jays hit well against lefties. I checked on my own that their overall record is 14-10 against lefties(15-12 according to another data site.. which is not far from my findings). Ok so you will say Jays are a great lefty hitting team so why are you going against that? And I will say, the Jays bats have been hit or miss this whole month. The Jays may have hit lefties well earlier in the season but...did you know they are just 3-6 against lefties since June 30th? Take the overall record into equation and they were 11-4 against lefties when they were hot  but not anymore. 

Leftie pitching for the Jays has also been suspect as well. Besides Buehrle who has been kind of fade material as of late, there isn't another lefty on the rotation that is worth a damn when you have Matt Boyd and Doubront stinking up the joint. Lefty starters for the Jays are just 4-6 in their last 10 starts. Overall the Jays are 14-15 when a lefty starts

This might be some of the most shallow research I've ever seen. Using record stats is an awful method for R/L matchups. The Blue Jays have a .286 team average and .358 OBP vs lefties, both are good for #1 in the MLB. 

"Buehrle has been fade material of late" 
Marky B has a 1.78 ERA in his last 10 starts 

I love how Matt Boyd is "stinking up the joint" when he's made 2 MLB starts in his career, and Doubront has pitched to a 3.66 FIP in his few starts. 

Im a jays fan and Im biased. I also know more about them almost any other poster on here. Im not saying the Phillies are the wrong play because the line is extremely high. But your research, and your reasoning is garbage dude, you need to evaluate some things a lot more closely 

 
Legend
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Posted: #7
GL
 
Legend
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by steelwill43:


This might be some of the most shallow research I've ever seen. Using record stats is an awful method for R/L matchups. The Blue Jays have a .286 team average and .358 OBP vs lefties, both are good for #1 in the MLB. 

"Buehrle has been fade material of late" 
Marky B has a 1.78 ERA in his last 10 starts 

I love how Matt Boyd is "stinking up the joint" when he's made 2 MLB starts in his career, and Doubront has pitched to a 3.66 FIP in his few starts. 

Im a jays fan and Im biased. I also know more about them almost any other poster on here. Im not saying the Phillies are the wrong play because the line is extremely high. But your research, and your reasoning is garbage dude, you need to evaluate some things a lot more closely 


That's cool. Not saying I have the best scientific analysis and logic in here, but as far as streaks go I will keep riding the hot iron of the Phillies and hope they make me a couple more good Cheesesteaks 

just like I rode the Jays half the time during their impressive winning streak. GL 
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Legend
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Posted: #9
Decidingg about doing another parlay, maybe a 3 teamer "bases loaded" parlay, or just 3 straight bets hmmm

#play 2
Royals +112

#play 3
Giants -150

#play 4
White Sox +120/A's +128
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Legend
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Posted: #10
DK 3 Teamer Bases Loaded Parlay

Royals
Giants
A's

Got extra money to waste. 7/1 payout

BOL
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Legend
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Posted: #11
Mjm, SAC, loot 

BOL
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Legend
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Posted: #12
Good luck Dk!
 
All-Star
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Posted: #13
Want to back the Phillies too but I think you missed the boat...8-1 since ASG.  Time to bet them was 5 or 6 games ago.  BOL
 
Legend
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Posted: #14
HOT PHILLY CHEESESTEAKS COMING RIGHT UP!! 
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Legend
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Posted: #15
Let's go Royals! Let's end this!!!
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Legend
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Posted: #16
Who would of thought the phillies and white sox would be bringing in the dough at such ridiculously good prices...and will the perception alter?

Nice hit 
 
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Posted: #17
solid pick on the phillies. 9-1 since the all star break yet they're constantly +200 or better. 0 respect
 
Legend
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Who would of thought the phillies and white sox would be bringing in the dough at such ridiculously good prices...and will the perception alter?

Nice hit 

Thank u sac. It's crazy man never would have thought but I guess its a long season anything can happen even a bad team can go through a good run. Might as well take advantage until the books start adjusting 
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Legend
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by mabber:

solid pick on the phillies. 9-1 since the all star break yet they're constantly +200 or better. 0 respect

Thank u mabber. Yup no respect given and they are giving away free money. Wonder how many people were on the Blue Jays today? 
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Legend
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Posted: #20
C'mon Giants, let's fight back!!!!!
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Legend
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Who would of thought the phillies and white sox would be bringing in the dough at such ridiculously good prices...and will the perception alter?

Nice hit 

Speaking of White Sox man they are just blazing in the 1st inning! Holy hell where did all this offense come from?!!

Should have taken the Yankees but wasn't sure Capuano on the mound. Do any if u think this will go over 25.5?
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Legend
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Posted: #22
Ack. Damn too late ,  27.5 now should have acted on it lol
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Legend
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Posted: #23
Wooooo Brett Gardner HR, good thing the total came back down to 25.5 at better juice. Cashed. Rangers are trash. Done with this game onto the next game.


C'mon Giants....... Grrr 
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
Legend
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Posted: #24
Josh Reddick homer! Go A's!!
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
 
Legend
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Posted: #25
Giants couldn't finish off my bases loaded 3 teamer but it's cool no sweating it.

3-1 on the day
Sip on that plus money honey!
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