Astros can hit lefties very well, and Sears is only mediocre. The Astros have an edge at the plate but Oakland as an edge in bullpens. BLANCO is VERY GOOD however and A's are not great against righties. A's are starting another slump while Astros starting another good 10 game stretch. I have Houston figured for a solid +1.1 run edge here, but those heavy odds give me pause fo another reason: BLANCO is riding the infamous 7-game hot streak without a bad outing.....yet.
PASS.
1
.
Oakland @Astros
Sears (L) /Blanco
Astros can hit lefties very well, and Sears is only mediocre. The Astros have an edge at the plate but Oakland as an edge in bullpens. BLANCO is VERY GOOD however and A's are not great against righties. A's are starting another slump while Astros starting another good 10 game stretch. I have Houston figured for a solid +1.1 run edge here, but those heavy odds give me pause fo another reason: BLANCO is riding the infamous 7-game hot streak without a bad outing.....yet.
Bassit/Bradish. Despite Jays very luckyass win in extra innings over the heavily favored Orioles yesterday, it's not by reason of being a better team. Same deal today. We start with Orioles having close to a one run edge at the plate PLUS a significant edge on the mound backed up by a much better pullpen. Typically the Jays are far better facing lefties than righties, let alone a GOOD one like Bradish. Only a .658 OPS v. righties. Jays are expected to get back one of their best bats today, so this could be iffy. Evenso, I make this one a solid +1.5 run edge for the O's to rebound.
BALTIMORE -160 *BB
Damn....they ppd this game to late July! I was gonna win this one for sure!
1
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
BlewitJays @Orioles
Bassit/Bradish. Despite Jays very luckyass win in extra innings over the heavily favored Orioles yesterday, it's not by reason of being a better team. Same deal today. We start with Orioles having close to a one run edge at the plate PLUS a significant edge on the mound backed up by a much better pullpen. Typically the Jays are far better facing lefties than righties, let alone a GOOD one like Bradish. Only a .658 OPS v. righties. Jays are expected to get back one of their best bats today, so this could be iffy. Evenso, I make this one a solid +1.5 run edge for the O's to rebound.
BALTIMORE -160 *BB
Damn....they ppd this game to late July! I was gonna win this one for sure!
Weathers (L) /Olson For all their flaws, the Marlins own a good batting avg v. righthanders. Not so good OPS though. But today they face a really good one in OLSON, who is backed up by a significantly better bullpen!....Tiggers start with a thin edge at the plate but expand that with a better starter and better BP. Right now the Marlins (just 5 - 16 on the road) are the weakest team in MLB. Weaker even than the lowly Rockies and WhiteSox. They'll have a good game now and then, sure, but Tiggers look in great shape with the best chance for another win today as they strive to turn around a bad 10 game stretch with this homestand v a weakling... I make Detroit with a +1.4 run edge today.
TIGGERS -169 *BB
BoL with your bets today, fellas!
Shite...
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Marlins @ Tiggers
Weathers (L) /Olson For all their flaws, the Marlins own a good batting avg v. righthanders. Not so good OPS though. But today they face a really good one in OLSON, who is backed up by a significantly better bullpen!....Tiggers start with a thin edge at the plate but expand that with a better starter and better BP. Right now the Marlins (just 5 - 16 on the road) are the weakest team in MLB. Weaker even than the lowly Rockies and WhiteSox. They'll have a good game now and then, sure, but Tiggers look in great shape with the best chance for another win today as they strive to turn around a bad 10 game stretch with this homestand v a weakling... I make Detroit with a +1.4 run edge today.
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Marlins @ Tiggers Weathers (L) /OlsonFor all their flaws, the Marlins own a good batting avg v. righthanders. Not so good OPS though. But today they face a really good one in OLSON, who is backed up by a significantly better bullpen!....Tiggers start with a thin edge at the plate but expand that with a better starter and better BP. Right now the Marlins (just 5 - 16 on the road) are the weakest team in MLB. Weaker even than the lowly Rockies and WhiteSox. They'll have a good game now and then, sure, but Tiggers look in great shape with the best chance for another win today as they strive to turn around a bad 10 game stretch with this homestand v a weakling...I make Detroit with a +1.4 run edge today. TIGGERS -169 *BB BoL with your bets today, fellas! Shite...
Another extra-inning game.....tied 4 - 4 into the bottom of 12th...
Ticks me off though. Earlier I did a big write up - along with all those other games - on how I was taking BoSox, but somehow it didn't get posted.....
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Marlins @ Tiggers Weathers (L) /OlsonFor all their flaws, the Marlins own a good batting avg v. righthanders. Not so good OPS though. But today they face a really good one in OLSON, who is backed up by a significantly better bullpen!....Tiggers start with a thin edge at the plate but expand that with a better starter and better BP. Right now the Marlins (just 5 - 16 on the road) are the weakest team in MLB. Weaker even than the lowly Rockies and WhiteSox. They'll have a good game now and then, sure, but Tiggers look in great shape with the best chance for another win today as they strive to turn around a bad 10 game stretch with this homestand v a weakling...I make Detroit with a +1.4 run edge today. TIGGERS -169 *BB BoL with your bets today, fellas! Shite...
Another extra-inning game.....tied 4 - 4 into the bottom of 12th...
Ticks me off though. Earlier I did a big write up - along with all those other games - on how I was taking BoSox, but somehow it didn't get posted.....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Marlins @ Tiggers Weathers (L) /OlsonFor all their flaws, the Marlins own a good batting avg v. righthanders. Not so good OPS though. But today they face a really good one in OLSON, who is backed up by a significantly better bullpen!....Tiggers start with a thin edge at the plate but expand that with a better starter and better BP. Right now the Marlins (just 5 - 16 on the road) are the weakest team in MLB. Weaker even than the lowly Rockies and WhiteSox. They'll have a good game now and then, sure, but Tiggers look in great shape with the best chance for another win today as they strive to turn around a bad 10 game stretch with this homestand v a weakling...I make Detroit with a +1.4 run edge today. TIGGERS -169 *BB BoL with your bets today, fellas! Shite... Another extra-inning game.....tied 4 - 4 into the bottom of 12th... Ticks me off though. Earlier I did a big write up - along with all those other games - on how I was taking BoSox, but somehow it didn't get posted.....
....and sure enough, the Bosox just won it in the 12th......sigh....
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Marlins @ Tiggers Weathers (L) /OlsonFor all their flaws, the Marlins own a good batting avg v. righthanders. Not so good OPS though. But today they face a really good one in OLSON, who is backed up by a significantly better bullpen!....Tiggers start with a thin edge at the plate but expand that with a better starter and better BP. Right now the Marlins (just 5 - 16 on the road) are the weakest team in MLB. Weaker even than the lowly Rockies and WhiteSox. They'll have a good game now and then, sure, but Tiggers look in great shape with the best chance for another win today as they strive to turn around a bad 10 game stretch with this homestand v a weakling...I make Detroit with a +1.4 run edge today. TIGGERS -169 *BB BoL with your bets today, fellas! Shite... Another extra-inning game.....tied 4 - 4 into the bottom of 12th... Ticks me off though. Earlier I did a big write up - along with all those other games - on how I was taking BoSox, but somehow it didn't get posted.....
....and sure enough, the Bosox just won it in the 12th......sigh....
Pirates upset the Brewers yesterday despite being outgunned and facing a tough opposing starter. Luck happens in baseball. Brewers are the better team, they ouygun the Pirates at the plate by close to a full run avg, have the better starter, and an edge in BP. A 3.86 ERA might not look too bad to many but look at his 4 starts: 3 of them were bad outings, including the last one v. the wweakass Angels If Priester had a proven record as a GOOD pitcher I might expect a rebound performance. But he doesn't. Last year he had a 7.74 ERA and a dreadful 1.70 WHIP. The young guy needs more time and I dunno that he gets better facing these ticked off Brewers on a 2 game skid. ROSS otoh, has put a wonky April behind him and pitched very well his last 2 (@Cubs; @KC) allowing only 11 on in 11 innings and just 4 earned runs. And as a righty, he faces a Pirates team with one of the WORST BA and OPS v righties. I expect he will do well again. I make the Brewers with a solid +1.5 run edge here in a turn-around win.
BREWERS -150 *BB
WINNER!
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Pirates @Brewers
Priester/Ross
Pirates upset the Brewers yesterday despite being outgunned and facing a tough opposing starter. Luck happens in baseball. Brewers are the better team, they ouygun the Pirates at the plate by close to a full run avg, have the better starter, and an edge in BP. A 3.86 ERA might not look too bad to many but look at his 4 starts: 3 of them were bad outings, including the last one v. the wweakass Angels If Priester had a proven record as a GOOD pitcher I might expect a rebound performance. But he doesn't. Last year he had a 7.74 ERA and a dreadful 1.70 WHIP. The young guy needs more time and I dunno that he gets better facing these ticked off Brewers on a 2 game skid. ROSS otoh, has put a wonky April behind him and pitched very well his last 2 (@Cubs; @KC) allowing only 11 on in 11 innings and just 4 earned runs. And as a righty, he faces a Pirates team with one of the WORST BA and OPS v righties. I expect he will do well again. I make the Brewers with a solid +1.5 run edge here in a turn-around win.
Yesterday the Padres were the heaviest fav on the board for the second consecutive day and lost both.
I got suckered in on Monday, but glad I backed off yesterday, even though on paper they held at least a +2.0 run edge in both games over the weakass Rockies...
Sometimes the wisest decisions we make in sports betting are not necessarily the teams we choose to bet on, but rather the teams we choose to PASS on...
0
This week,
Heavy FAVS who OPENED the day at -170 or higher,
went just 4 - 4 ....with some heavy juice losses!
Yesterday the Padres were the heaviest fav on the board for the second consecutive day and lost both.
I got suckered in on Monday, but glad I backed off yesterday, even though on paper they held at least a +2.0 run edge in both games over the weakass Rockies...
Sometimes the wisest decisions we make in sports betting are not necessarily the teams we choose to bet on, but rather the teams we choose to PASS on...
With estimated NET PITCHING factor to be around net zero (ie, neither higher than averages nor lower than averages) I had the run production today est at 8.2 total runs. They combined for 9 runs yesterday with much better pitching anticipated.......... Final score: 2 - 0
BIG FAT LOSER
Overs are only hitting 47.5% according to covers.com
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Nats/CWS ov 7 -118 *BB @pinnacle
With estimated NET PITCHING factor to be around net zero (ie, neither higher than averages nor lower than averages) I had the run production today est at 8.2 total runs. They combined for 9 runs yesterday with much better pitching anticipated.......... Final score: 2 - 0
BIG FAT LOSER
Overs are only hitting 47.5% according to covers.com
Twins bounce back today and tomorrow take series against Yankees/overtake Cleveland for division this weekend!
@Moose6836
I was hoping they might upset NYY with Lopez facing Stroman but the Yankees bullpen is damn good. Meanwhile Yankees are badly outhitting the Twinkies today...
0
Quote Originally Posted by Moose6836:
Twins bounce back today and tomorrow take series against Yankees/overtake Cleveland for division this weekend!
@Moose6836
I was hoping they might upset NYY with Lopez facing Stroman but the Yankees bullpen is damn good. Meanwhile Yankees are badly outhitting the Twinkies today...
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