@fubah2 The line on the Reds has dropped to -105, and the line on the Orioles to -108. Does that make them more attractive or are they still too high?
I'm backing off those and backing off GIANTS too, and will just watch for in-game possibilities.
I'm backing off those and backing off GIANTS too, and will just watch for in-game possibilities.
I'm backing off those and backing off GIANTS too, and will just watch for in-game possibilities.
@fubah2
What's wierd is all of my picks are away teams. Cardinals, Giants, Tigers, Reds, Orioles. Can that still work out in the long run, or do I have to mix in some home teams?
@fubah2
What's wierd is all of my picks are away teams. Cardinals, Giants, Tigers, Reds, Orioles. Can that still work out in the long run, or do I have to mix in some home teams?
Hi! Good Q for any capper actually,
....but "units" are a measure of $$$ betting amount -- not a "rating" or evaluation of confidence per se.
My higher "rated" bets, ie, *Best Bets I feel more confident in their chances of winning could contain wagers from as little as 1.25 X my usual $$ amount to maybe even as high as 10 X my usual $$ amount. It's highly subjective based on separate individual cases.
That said, I typically bet my usual $$ amount consistently on all bets including the 50-50 coinflipper "value" bets, roughly risking 3% of my bankroll on each, but significantly more $$$ on higher rated bets - completely dependent on how much stronger I feel on any given *Best Bet...
I have bets every week which are evaluated as stronger than normal plays but fall just short of making the grade as *Best Bets per se, and I will still bet a little more on those too.
If I was to offer advice on bet amounts, crucial to the issue is one's personally documented WIN-LOSS record in every sub-category of bet. I will NOT wager more $$$ on any bet unless I KNOW FOR A FACT (documented) that my actual win rate % is consistently good in that category (ie, totals, sides, props, etc.)
Hi! Good Q for any capper actually,
....but "units" are a measure of $$$ betting amount -- not a "rating" or evaluation of confidence per se.
My higher "rated" bets, ie, *Best Bets I feel more confident in their chances of winning could contain wagers from as little as 1.25 X my usual $$ amount to maybe even as high as 10 X my usual $$ amount. It's highly subjective based on separate individual cases.
That said, I typically bet my usual $$ amount consistently on all bets including the 50-50 coinflipper "value" bets, roughly risking 3% of my bankroll on each, but significantly more $$$ on higher rated bets - completely dependent on how much stronger I feel on any given *Best Bet...
I have bets every week which are evaluated as stronger than normal plays but fall just short of making the grade as *Best Bets per se, and I will still bet a little more on those too.
If I was to offer advice on bet amounts, crucial to the issue is one's personally documented WIN-LOSS record in every sub-category of bet. I will NOT wager more $$$ on any bet unless I KNOW FOR A FACT (documented) that my actual win rate % is consistently good in that category (ie, totals, sides, props, etc.)
Hi! Good Q for any capper actually,
....but "units" are a measure of $$$ betting amount -- not a "rating" or evaluation of confidence per se.
My higher "rated" bets, ie, *Best Bets I feel more confident in their chances of winning could contain wagers from as little as 1.25 X my usual $$ amount to maybe even as high as 10 X my usual $$ amount. It's highly subjective based on separate individual cases.
That said, I typically bet my usual $$ amount consistently on all bets including the 50-50 coinflipper "value" bets, roughly risking 3% of my bankroll on each, but significantly more $$$ on higher rated bets - completely dependent on how much stronger I feel on any given *Best Bet...
I have bets every week which are evaluated as stronger than normal plays but fall just short of making the grade as *Best Bets per se, and I will still bet a little more on those too.
If I was to offer advice on bet amounts, crucial to the issue is one's personally documented WIN-LOSS record in every sub-category of bet. I will NOT wager more $$$ on any bet unless I KNOW FOR A FACT (documented) that my actual win rate % is consistently good in that category (ie, totals, sides, props, etc.)
Hi! Good Q for any capper actually,
....but "units" are a measure of $$$ betting amount -- not a "rating" or evaluation of confidence per se.
My higher "rated" bets, ie, *Best Bets I feel more confident in their chances of winning could contain wagers from as little as 1.25 X my usual $$ amount to maybe even as high as 10 X my usual $$ amount. It's highly subjective based on separate individual cases.
That said, I typically bet my usual $$ amount consistently on all bets including the 50-50 coinflipper "value" bets, roughly risking 3% of my bankroll on each, but significantly more $$$ on higher rated bets - completely dependent on how much stronger I feel on any given *Best Bet...
I have bets every week which are evaluated as stronger than normal plays but fall just short of making the grade as *Best Bets per se, and I will still bet a little more on those too.
If I was to offer advice on bet amounts, crucial to the issue is one's personally documented WIN-LOSS record in every sub-category of bet. I will NOT wager more $$$ on any bet unless I KNOW FOR A FACT (documented) that my actual win rate % is consistently good in that category (ie, totals, sides, props, etc.)
Check out this covers.com page for clues:
https://www.covers.com/sport/baseball/mlb/league-trends/seasontodate
We see that home teams barely win more than roadies! Actually this is typically true in MLB - as the homefield advantage is apparently incredibly small, especially compared to sports like football or college hoops. So the fact that one might have a lot of roadies selected on any given day shouldn't be alarming...
Check out this covers.com page for clues:
https://www.covers.com/sport/baseball/mlb/league-trends/seasontodate
We see that home teams barely win more than roadies! Actually this is typically true in MLB - as the homefield advantage is apparently incredibly small, especially compared to sports like football or college hoops. So the fact that one might have a lot of roadies selected on any given day shouldn't be alarming...
@the_grind
Thank you! Appreciated! Nice of you to say.....but we should note that there are a number of very experienced baseball cappers on this forum who can also provide excellent insights into capping baseball, perhaps differing from mine, and I recommend newbies visit their threads too and query them for insights on aspects of betting MLB or specific games.
These experienced MLB forum members come to mind but not limited to them (as I apologize in advance if I miss anyone but I've been away for 3 years and I don't recognize a lot of names)......but one would be remiss if he did not follow/check these guys out (no particular order):
steveA2009
KeyElement
wolfeman3
coloneljim
weeble5672
@the_grind
Thank you! Appreciated! Nice of you to say.....but we should note that there are a number of very experienced baseball cappers on this forum who can also provide excellent insights into capping baseball, perhaps differing from mine, and I recommend newbies visit their threads too and query them for insights on aspects of betting MLB or specific games.
These experienced MLB forum members come to mind but not limited to them (as I apologize in advance if I miss anyone but I've been away for 3 years and I don't recognize a lot of names)......but one would be remiss if he did not follow/check these guys out (no particular order):
steveA2009
KeyElement
wolfeman3
coloneljim
weeble5672
Thank you! Appreciated! Nice of you to say.....but we should note that there are a number of very experienced baseball cappers on this forum who can also provide excellent insights into capping baseball, perhaps differing from mine, and I recommend newbies visit their threads too and query them for insights on aspects of betting MLB or specific games.
These experienced MLB forum members come to mind but not limited to them (as I apologize in advance if I miss anyone but I've been away for 3 years and I don't recognize a lot of names)......but one would be remiss if he did not follow/check these guys out (no particular order):
steveA2009
KeyElement
wolfeman3
coloneljim
weeble5672
Thank you! Appreciated! Nice of you to say.....but we should note that there are a number of very experienced baseball cappers on this forum who can also provide excellent insights into capping baseball, perhaps differing from mine, and I recommend newbies visit their threads too and query them for insights on aspects of betting MLB or specific games.
These experienced MLB forum members come to mind but not limited to them (as I apologize in advance if I miss anyone but I've been away for 3 years and I don't recognize a lot of names)......but one would be remiss if he did not follow/check these guys out (no particular order):
steveA2009
KeyElement
wolfeman3
coloneljim
weeble5672
You can add Kaufee to that list although he is a bit cold at the moment and doesn’t pick every single day. His perspective and insight is as good as gets.
You can add Kaufee to that list although he is a bit cold at the moment and doesn’t pick every single day. His perspective and insight is as good as gets.
MILLER (Lefty!!reliever) just finally got inserted as starter for GIANTS, although I suspect HOWARD (R) may get a lot of relief duty too...
DBACKS typically hit lefties VERY WELL!!!!! I'm passing...
Also, there are no HOT STREAK pitchers to be concerned about today...
MILLER (Lefty!!reliever) just finally got inserted as starter for GIANTS, although I suspect HOWARD (R) may get a lot of relief duty too...
DBACKS typically hit lefties VERY WELL!!!!! I'm passing...
Also, there are no HOT STREAK pitchers to be concerned about today...
Of course it goes without saying you are definitely on that list FUBAH. I come in your thread everyday and love all the information you provide. The quality and dedication is unmatched here. It’s much appreciated and keep up the good work man.
Of course it goes without saying you are definitely on that list FUBAH. I come in your thread everyday and love all the information you provide. The quality and dedication is unmatched here. It’s much appreciated and keep up the good work man.
Of course it goes without saying you are definitely on that list FUBAH. I come in your thread everyday and love all the information you provide. The quality and dedication is unmatched here. It’s much appreciated and keep up the good work man.
@Adram805
Thank you!!!
@yourpalhal
@OO7CRUSHER
@Im_Chasing
@Premian
@the_grind
Of course it goes without saying you are definitely on that list FUBAH. I come in your thread everyday and love all the information you provide. The quality and dedication is unmatched here. It’s much appreciated and keep up the good work man.
@Adram805
Thank you!!!
@yourpalhal
@OO7CRUSHER
@Im_Chasing
@Premian
@the_grind
@fubah2
Spencer Howard is pitching now in the bottom of the second, but the Giants haven't gotten a hit yet against Nelson. Looks pretty bad. Probably best to avoid, like you did.
@fubah2
Spencer Howard is pitching now in the bottom of the second, but the Giants haven't gotten a hit yet against Nelson. Looks pretty bad. Probably best to avoid, like you did.
@Premian
Yeah....... I have this thing about "puzzling uncertainty" such as who the SP will be..... When that happens, or FTM, other puzzling uncertainties like injuries/player status, etc, I just say to myself
"I don't need this; there are other games to look at"
In my rookie past I used to make the mistake (stubbornly and often, I am ashamed to admit) of trying to outsmart "uncertainty" and make a correct GUESS......Well, once "guessing" gets involved and overrides common sense, you can quickly figure out that did not end well for me. And yet, after reloading my bankroll with more money from my savings account, sure enough I INSISTED on shoving my fingers into a LIVE electrical socket again and again and again before it finally dawned on me to STOP .... and either bet when I am confident with my choices or PASS....no guessing!!!!.....an often overlooked tool in the capper's arsenal that can save him from a lot of unnecessary losses (passing!!)
@Premian
Yeah....... I have this thing about "puzzling uncertainty" such as who the SP will be..... When that happens, or FTM, other puzzling uncertainties like injuries/player status, etc, I just say to myself
"I don't need this; there are other games to look at"
In my rookie past I used to make the mistake (stubbornly and often, I am ashamed to admit) of trying to outsmart "uncertainty" and make a correct GUESS......Well, once "guessing" gets involved and overrides common sense, you can quickly figure out that did not end well for me. And yet, after reloading my bankroll with more money from my savings account, sure enough I INSISTED on shoving my fingers into a LIVE electrical socket again and again and again before it finally dawned on me to STOP .... and either bet when I am confident with my choices or PASS....no guessing!!!!.....an often overlooked tool in the capper's arsenal that can save him from a lot of unnecessary losses (passing!!)
@fubah2
Yeah, the Cards might lose though. Thanks for all the info. I'll try to pass on too much uncertainty from now on.
I doubled on the Cards and went 1.5x on the Reds. From now on, I'll either go 1 Unit or 1.5 Units.
Nelson absolutely crushed the Giants. That I don't understand.
@fubah2
Yeah, the Cards might lose though. Thanks for all the info. I'll try to pass on too much uncertainty from now on.
I doubled on the Cards and went 1.5x on the Reds. From now on, I'll either go 1 Unit or 1.5 Units.
Nelson absolutely crushed the Giants. That I don't understand.
Thank you, sir Appreciate the compliment!
All the best to you with your bets this week!
Thank you, sir Appreciate the compliment!
All the best to you with your bets this week!
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