🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

YTD:   158 - 102   +41.80u    (63 - 39 *BB)

Just now I refreshed the weather page at Swish Analytics for a second time and see the wind at COORS FIELD has been upgraded AGAIN by an additional 1/2 more MPH *IN* from left....

No guarantees it stays UNDER 12 though but I see absolutely NO REASON whatsover to make a case for it to go OVER 12

Milly @Philly?

My capping stats sheets show Phillies have a confirmed 1/2 run edge AT THE PLATE over the Brewskys and the Nola/Ashby matchup should theoretically extend that edge to roughly +1.2 net runs for Philly......BUT......While a solid edge, and I do like Philly to prevail, Heavy favs have not fared well this year and that +1.2 run edge is NOT LARGE ENOUGH to justify risking -185 on a fav inflated by steam bets.......PASS!

BUT.....I believe the low scoring the first 2 games are akin to a one-off and very unlikely to repeat a 3rd consecutive day.....These are two teams with good offenses waiting to erupt and the odds are good they bat closer to their respective averages than not....NOLA is very good but his stats have been fortunate to escape the best bats against righties.....and Brewskys are arguably one of the TOP 2 best offenses in the league v. righties (like Nola)....and there's a nice breeze blowing out to left center for teams that have good OPS numbers!!  I have this total figured to be between  8.7 and 9.7 runs....

So I grabbed a decent price on an alt-total at pinnacle:

Mil/PHIL ov 8 -131

              • My Totals, OVERS posted pre-game:  30 - 13 +13.13u

So far only capped the first few games as I now have my second cup of coffee....LOL

Much more BS to come, you can count on that

@fubah2

 Best of luck on the over play today fubah. 

@fubah2

 Let’s get some W’s today. 

...unless they knock in 4  runs in the first inning?       There it goes.....

Adding: GIANTS -106

Lets go Over 

@fubah2

Was leaning heavily METS earlier until I saw  a very good bat for them is OUT....MARTE.

That status lowers the edge for METS down to just +0.5 runs and that is not enough in my handicapping to justify the current ML...

ASTROS bet LOST.

Rockies game under 12 *BB is definitely on the way to a LOSS as well.   Already 8 runs with more threatening in less than half the game.... Violated my rule about betting UNDERS and sure enough....

@fubah2

I violated my rule of not betting on bad teams.  I took bets on the Reds and the Astros, but I probably won't do that again any time soon.  Even the Astros are not a particularly good team.

Thanks    ....but unlikely to happen today.... No biggie; gotta take a certain percentage of lossses in stride and continue on...

BoL with your bets today!!

Yeah, self-discipline is crucial to a bankroll.

@pointguard

 Thank you!

I do have a coin-flipper marked for the Dodger/Pirates game EXCEPT neither team is getting good plus money to make it worthwhile...Still working on the late games...

BoL with your bets today!!

So....the game featuring two very mediocre offenses (Cinci @COL) and a fairly strong breeze blowing IN from left toward homeplate gets 19+ runs, while the game featuring two very good offenses v.s righthanders (Milly @Philly) scores just 2 runs...

of course!

Yankees -165 *BB

@fubah2

 Hey there pal, well we split  1-1 last night fading the streak pitchers but the  Mets were favorites so I lost some juice.. but I’ll keep a record.. Glasgow also lost but not due to him..

Mighty Dodgers getting ROUTED early by the mediocre Pirates!

6 runs in and they're still batting with 2 on base!!!!!

@fubah2

Yeah, I just broke my rule again not to bet on bad teams at took the Dodgers.  Why is Paxton in the Major League?

@fubah2

 Thanks for the giants win. 

@OO7CRUSHER

@Premian 

@bravo911 

@Coloneljim

Thanks, fellas and BoL with your bets this evening!!

Wednesday: 

my capping sheets identify the Det/Texas games as a 50-50, "coin-flipper"

And one team is getting SIGNIFICANT plus money, making it a decent bet:

TIGGERS +132  (pinnacle)

If this coin-flip goes against me (and it could!) I lose  -1.00 unit

If the coin-flip is in my favor, I win +1.32 units

@insatiable

Ahh good,  you got it!