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GR8 - Follow System

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Prospect
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Posted: #126
what site do you use to determine line movements. I follow 2 sites and they are never the same. Is it Vegas or offshore. That could make a huge difference. How do you account for that variable, and after all that do you pick the 2 or 3 most solid, of just play them all? I have learned it's about quality, and not quantity... 
 
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Posted: #127
Day #15
8U: BOS rl
xU: tbd
xU: tbd
xU: tbd
xU: tbd

Got one play before the later games. Baltimore is going to be a play too it looks like. I will update the card when it's ready. 

 
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Posted: #128

Quote Originally Posted by TheguyinSanDiego:

what site do you use to determine line movements. I follow 2 sites and they are never the same. Is it Vegas or offshore. That could make a huge difference. How do you account for that variable, and after all that do you pick the 2 or 3 most solid, of just play them all? I have learned it's about quality, and not quantity... 

 

Great question.I use 3 books and yeh they are all over the place.Thanks Gr8 for the work you do sir.Wish you and the people tailing continued success.BOL

 
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Posted: #129

First, I apologize to Gr8nader, my intention is not to take over your thread. Just sharing my experiences with a system very similar to yours.

I use the live odds at sbr to keep track of public % and line movement. I dont play every game. I use the same system that Gr8nader does. I pick the most common selection(s) from top 5 or 6 cappers. What I've deemed acceptable line movement 10 cents from opener.

 
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Posted: #130
No worries JVegas. I like hearing different strategies and systems. Don't think your taking over the thread lol.. However, I agree with Corona in regards to not understanding how line movements and public % are beneficial to cappers.. I haven't researched the subject so perhaps there is some value that I'm unaware.. just seems like a lot of grey area..

The fellars I follow have their list of factors that they consider and prioritize on their own. If they take line movements and such into account then power to them. The only thing I know for sure is their W/L% that I have personally been tracking over time. Facts! 
 
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Posted: #131
Gr8nader










































 
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Posted: #132
Close to having the other 4 picks?  0-1 start but we can bounce back for a day in the profit. 
 
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Posted: #133
What? It's the 6th inning
 
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Posted: #134
Day #15 - Saturday
8U: BOS rl
8U: BAL ml
8U: DET ml
4U: SD o8.5
4U: LAD ml
 
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Posted: #135
Quote Originally Posted by budhatouch:

What? It's the 6th inning


The writing was on the wall.


On the rest with you Gr8nader keep it up man.  Lets book some wins. 
 
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Posted: #136
DET rl*
 
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Posted: #137
Very nice. I had those picks exactly. GL to everyone on board...
 
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Posted: #138
Thanks Gr8nader! GL!
 
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Posted: #139
Thanks GR8

As always I played them! I missed the BOS one but got in on all the rest!!

Good luck tonight!!!!

Corona:)
 
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Posted: #140
Quote Originally Posted by CoronaPicks:

Thanks GR8

As always I played them! I missed the BOS one but got in on all the rest!!

Good luck tonight!!!!

Corona:)


I swear you have a friggin 6th sense or something.  If the rest of his picks go 4-0 i will just

You need to let me know which games to not follow cause whatever your doing its currently working. 
 
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Posted: #141
[Quote: Originally Posted by CoronaPicks] Thanks Vegas.....good post.

I just can't wrap my head around how what the line does in the last 10 minutes means anything towards the outcome of the actual game.  I can see it influencing what % of the public is on what team - last minute betters and such but I just can't see how it effects the game it's self.

If it's a trend and it works I say use it.  Heck if you told me that ATL lost all games that started in the morning after a day of rain when there were less 18 000 people in the stands - and it worked - I would follow you all day.  But this just seems like an arbitrary stat.... I sure hope I am wrong though.  Any edge is an edge worth using.  I will keep my eye on this.

Thanks

Corona:)
[/


Corona-
What the line does in the last 10 minutes has quite a bit of relevance!  It is where many of the wise guys (professional gamblers with a hell of a lot more information than you and I have) place their bets.  This is a lot of money to move the line!  
 
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Posted: #142
Detroit

Padres

Dodgers
 
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Posted: #143
Gonna have to work hard for the W's tonight
 
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Posted: #144
For real. Makes you appreciate the non-stressful days haha. 

Looks like anything could happen in the DET game...
 
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Posted: #145
Hey gr8 can you accept my friend request so I can message ya? Thanks man
 
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Posted: #146
Looking like BALT should have been a u40
 
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Posted: #147
Seems everytime I follow Gr8, its only on the losing days.  I missed friday cause of work.  If balt holds on, and the rest go tits up. it will be like 1-9.  Just picked wrong times to follow you.
 
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Posted: #148
STL will fail to score another run.  Washington will win by 1.
 
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Posted: #149
Quote Originally Posted by JohnnyTazer:

STL will fail to score another run.  Washington will win by 1.
what does that have tondo with his picks?
 
 
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Posted: #150
Quote Originally Posted by budhatouch:

what does that have tondo with his picks?
And to make your stupid post even more useless what does stl have to do with wash?
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