All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

It's the economy, stupid. The Cubs economy.

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 2078
Posts: 47
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 3083
Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by tonyturf:

I just played Stros ML and Over for a unit each - this should be a real shit-show 
Gonna be an old fashioned slobber-knocker Tony Personally I would rather have my eye lids taped open than have to watch these teams duke it out If I were to actually lose money on this garbage I would put serious thought in jumping off a cliff. I mean, how do you cap garbage
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 23750
Posted: #27
weeble5672, not surprisingly, got the drift. There is no value in playing the Cubs for 63 cents on the dollar when their opponent is paying 2.38 times that for the same risk. If you think the Cubs are 2.38 times more likely to win than the Astros you shouldn't be betting baseball in the first place. You need a better than 61.5% chance of winning to win a profit that is 63% of your risk, and you need it with a loser. Far better teams lose even with that kind of edge, the Cubs are suddenly masters of the game?
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 761
Posted: #28
dude cubs are 5-1 with Garza ATS past 6 games ... loser??? what the heck are you smoking?
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 761
Posted: #29
Last time I checked, the Astros are ultimate losers. They do have the WORST record in the majors. They should be demoted with all the minor leaguers they have called up to start. 

I understand your play the value here, but dude you're going on a + on the worst team in MLB last time I checked vs. a very good Matt Garza at home (2.34 ERA at home).
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 761
Posted: #30
You're lucky Wandy got that b.s. double play or you'd be salty right now.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 416
Posted: #31
ASTROS 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2010
Posts: 1439
Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by Dimachkaa:

Last time I checked, the Astros are ultimate losers. They do have the WORST record in the majors. They should be demoted with all the minor leaguers they have called up to start. 

I understand your play the value here, but dude you're going on a + on the worst team in MLB last time I checked vs. a very good Matt Garza at home (2.34 ERA at home).

You're a douche 

He's not saying the Astros are a good team, however they are playing .500 ball over the last 30 games, he's saying that you shouldn't be laying that much juice on another bad team...

Some people just don't get it.
 
Covers Referee
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 97234
Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

weeble5672, not surprisingly, got the drift. There is no value in playing the Cubs for 63 cents on the dollar when their opponent is paying 2.38 times that for the same risk. If you think the Cubs are 2.38 times more likely to win than the Astros you shouldn't be betting baseball in the first place. You need a better than 61.5% chance of winning to win a profit that is 63% of your risk, and you need it with a loser. Far better teams lose even with that kind of edge, the Cubs are suddenly masters of the game?



 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 911
Posted: #34

Quote Originally Posted by Cao75:

u got some points. Goin large on Astros 5 Innings

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2011
Posts: 573
Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by bmcquilkin:


You're a douche 

He's not saying the Astros are a good team, however they are playing .500 ball over the last 30 games, he's saying that you shouldn't be laying that much juice on another bad team...

Some people just don't get it.

Really?? Call a guy a douche because he bet the Cubs?

Bottom line is this. The people that bet the Astros will lose their money and the Cub backers will now be happy and have more money. I personally felt comfortable enough with this game that thought it was worth the shot even with the odds how they were. If you look closely there were a lot of things going in the Cubs favor on this one.  

 
Covers Referee
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 97234
Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by E-Muffin:

Really?? Call a guy a douche because he bet the Cubs?

Bottom line is this. The people that bet the Astros will lose their money and the Cub backers will now be happy and have more money. I personally felt comfortable enough with this game that thought it was worth the shot even with the odds how they were. If you look closely there were a lot of things going in the Cubs favor on this one.  



Yes...the douche call was unnecessary. I'll give you that.

However, the bottom line of this thread isn't what you just stated. At the risk of sounding like a broken record, Key created his thread to show the value of betting the Astros and the LACK of value of betting the Cubs. He didn't go off all cocky, like most, and insist that you're an idiot if you bet the Cubs.

Unfortunately, for Key, people can't handle when someone disagrees with them and they only hear/read what they want to hear/read. Thus, "The Cubs don't justify this line" becomes "You're a stupid twat if you bet the Cubs".
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 4538
Posted: #37

BASEBALL CRUSHER
25-5 Run (83%)
17 Aug 1-0
18 Aug 1-0
19 Aug 1-0
20 Aug 1-0
21 Aug 1-0
22 Aug 0-1
23 Aug 1-0
24 Aug 1-0
25 Aug 0-1
26 Aug 1-0
27 Aug 1-0
28 Aug 1-0
29 Aug 1-0
30 Aug 1-0
31 Aug 1-0
01 Sept 1-0
02 Sept 0-1
03 Sept 1-0
04 Sept 1-0
05 Sept 1-0
06 Sept 0-1
07 Sept 1-0
08 Sept 1-0
09 Sept 1-0
10 Sept 0-1
11 Sept 1-0
12 Sept 1-0
13 Sept 1-0
14 Sept 1-0
15 Sept 1-0
16 Sept
Cubs -160 over Astros

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2011
Posts: 573
Posted: #38

Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:



Yes...the douche call was unnecessary. I'll give you that.

However, the bottom line of this thread isn't what you just stated. At the risk of sounding like a broken record, Key created his thread to show the value of betting the Astros and the LACK of value of betting the Cubs. He didn't go off all cocky, like most, and insist that you're an idiot if you bet the Cubs.

Unfortunately, for Key, people can't handle when someone disagrees with them and they only hear/read what they want to hear/read. Thus, "The Cubs don't justify this line" becomes "You're a stupid twat if you bet the Cubs".

 

I hear ya.

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 416
Posted: #39

SHIP IT!!  Cubs win!!  $$$$ 

 

ML and RL

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 16408
Posted: #40
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2003
Posts: 24854
Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by Pac12Insider:

SHIP IT!!  Cubs win!!  $$$$ 

 

ML and RL


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 2324
Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by Pac12Insider:

SHIP IT!!  Cubs win!!  $$$$ 

 

ML and RL

 

i believe your "ship" is sinking

 
Covers Referee
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 97234
Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by Pac12Insider:

SHIP IT!!  Cubs win!!  $$$$ 

 

ML and RL



Yikes
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2011
Posts: 2337
Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by Pac12Insider:

SHIP IT!!  Cubs win!!  $$$$ 

 

ML and RL




 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2010
Posts: 1439
Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by E-Muffin:

Really?? Call a guy a douche because he bet the Cubs?

Bottom line is this. The people that bet the Astros will lose their money and the Cub backers will now be happy and have more money. I personally felt comfortable enough with this game that thought it was worth the shot even with the odds how they were. If you look closely there were a lot of things going in the Cubs favor on this one.  


I didn't call him a douche because he bet the Cubs I called him a douche because he wasn't getting the point. 
Either way probably not the nicest thing to say, sorry dimachkaa
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 23750
Posted: #46
Well, that certainly provided some entertainment for this afternoon. Game results show just how tight these things are and the importance of playing value lines. That was the point in the first place (thanx weeble). If the Cubs manage a one run win in twelve innings, do you honestly think they win this exact matchup 616 times out of 1,000? Remember, if they only win 615 you only break even.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2005
Posts: 22110
Posted: #47
I thought it was a good match up.
All Forums | MLB Betting Forum
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.