LA Dodgers/NY Mets (Game 4, 10/17/24)

Hi my friends! I want to thank those of you that stopped by yesterday's thread with your kind comments. I read them all and I really do appreciate you. I only hope that you feel the same way about me when I post an inevitable L. I mean, I can't win em all..... or can I

I approached this game looking for angles to support a case for the Mets. Unfortunately, the only angle I could come up with is NY has been in comeback mode for 2 months. And when I think about that, I wonder how many holes can they dig before they get buried?

There are plenty of ways NY can win tonight. However, the most plausible would be for Quintana to pitch well for 7+ innings and then get the ball to Diaz, without having to rely on the rest of the pen for much. While this could happen, it isn't likely. In 31 starts, Quintana is averaging 5.4 innings and has pitched through the 7th just five times. So, where are the Mets going to get 8-9 outs from before they hand the ball to Diaz? I don't know, but if I were on the Mets, I would be very concerned about this.

Keep in mind, those 8-9 outs assume Quintana gets through the 5th. When I look at LA's career stats against, I'm not fully convinced he will. In a 154 ABs, they're slashing 299 AVG/368 OBP/481 SLG/849 OPS. It's also worth noting that Quintana's 2024 xFIP is 4.56. I was surprised to find it so high. This would indicate he benefited from great defense and of course, some good fortune.

The 2nd most likely way the Mets can win tonight is for Yamamoto to pitch poorly. In a previous write-up, I discussed his advanced metrics. They suggest he's one of the best pitchers in the game, who keeps the ball on the ground, and has elite command. I think I'll take my chances that he pitches to his ability. If he doesn't, then the Dodgers can turn to the biggest advantage they have, their 4th ranked bullpen.

The Mets are a scrappy, likeable team. However, the cream always rises. I believe Yamamoto and the Dodgers will be too much for them tonight.

Heading back to the well. I have the Dodgers taking a 3-1 series lead. I'm on them at -131

Cheers and BOL

P.S. I have no play on the NY/Clev game. It should be a good one though

@Kaufee

@Kaufee

Same, Boyz in Blue with the Unicorn Shotime 

Let’s do it again 

@Kaufee

Good luck  You have been on fire but I’m taking the Mets. I said yesterday that the 1st four games were a classic zig zag and this series will be determined by who won game 5 to take a 3-2 series lead. I believe we get a big Mets bounce back tonight. Quintana will have a very strong start.

Let's add some more  to the vault  A+ writeup and reasoning as usual. 

gracias 

Let's go Dodgers !

 Keep riding the Money Train Kaufeeeee Choo choo

Have to agree Kaufee. Mets bats are as cold as ice.

Good Luck Kaufee!!

@Kaufee

 You’ve been spot on with your plays!

BOL 

Let’s go LAD!

Hope you’re right 

good luck K   

Great job.  I haven't really tailed you b/c I've had my own plays and tbh had life happenings thrown at me so not in the forum as often as usual.

But just wanted to say really appreciate how you help people, that's why I post myself and do my best to, as you said, "win em all...".  Though I do have 6 losses to my 10 wins so I clearly haven't mastered that.

As for tonight, really like the Dodgers but I also really like what Quintana has done of late.  I'm not sure he can hold off the Dodgers the entire game b/c for me it's a factor of the Mets bullpen having been used last night and who follows him into the game.  David Peterson would make sense but he has NOT been great of late and the Dodgers have already gotten to him.  So I'm a bit torn and haven't posted in my own thread b/c of that.

Good luck either way 

@OO7CRUSHER

@sandique

@kidd22

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@lik122

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@Heyam

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@Bay2LA

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@Jaserz

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@Eprince

Thank you all, Cheers

@Bay2LA - Originally, I was thinking the same. Although, I just couldn't build a case for NY tonight. Wishing you luck either way bud

@GrandpaW

@baseball467

@LAGameofInches - Thank you, LA. Appreciate the kind words. I imagine Peterson is an option. Like you stated, he hasn't been his best lately. Also important to note that the Dodgers lead the league against lefties. So, Quintana and Peterson (if he pitches) will have their hands full. And 10-6 is nothing to hang your head over. Good job! Cheers and BOL with whatever you decide

@Kaufee

 Nice write up. Good luck 

Kaufee Time!