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Mavin's MLB Contest

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SimonDog  13-1-1  +1346 $

Musicmatt1  11-4  +693 $

SickCallREf   8-3 +685 $
 
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Posted: #277
Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

1    33-28    +335$

2    24-18       +337$

3    16-18        -349$

4    17-4-1    +1476$

5    20-11-1    +992$
----------------------------
Total   110-79-1    +2791$


I know you guys are doing great. The best record on the thread here or anywhere. But, please remember that every day begins with 0-0 record and stay humble. Most importantly - don't lose focus and embrace the losses as you do with the wins. That is the only way to keep learning and getting better. And please get used to discussions about the games and sharing valuable insights and info that you know but is not publicly common.
And again 
 
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Posted: #278
 
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Posted: #279
Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

IOf the loss was -120    - you're -120$, if -125 - then you stand at -125$.  American system is pretty easy to figure those things out. Straighbetting is for that purposes a perfect counting tool

Okay sorry then I indicated false odds. In decimal it was 1.8, I was not really familiar with the American odds but now I understand its -125 not -120. So the count was still right. 
As of today, I will continue to fade the Yankees as they are facing Schwarzer und have called upon Phil Hughes, who barely got any throws during Spring Training. He pitched three innings and allowed 3 runs against a minor league team and that's it.
Further, he is still listed on the 15-day disabled list I will continue to fade the Yankees until they prove me wrong. Scherzer is a very solid pitcher who should be able to control the Yankee bats.

KaiserWilhelm   1-1 -25 $

DET Tigers (-1.5) - NY Yankees +120
 
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Posted: #281
SimonDog... I let the dogs out...

Saturday Baseball

CHI White Sox ML  +131

NY  Mets         ML  -160

WAS Nationals ML  -102
 
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Posted: #282
Quote Originally Posted by KaiserWilhelm:


Okay sorry then I indicated false odds. In decimal it was 1.8, I was not really familiar with the American odds but now I understand its -125 not -120. So the count was still right. 
As of today, I will continue to fade the Yankees as they are facing Schwarzer und have called upon Phil Hughes, who barely got any throws during Spring Training. He pitched three innings and allowed 3 runs against a minor league team and that's it.
Further, he is still listed on the 15-day disabled list I will continue to fade the Yankees until they prove me wrong. Scherzer is a very solid pitcher who should be able to control the Yankee bats.

KaiserWilhelm   1-1 -25 $

DET Tigers (-1.5) - NY Yankees +120
Drop the parenthesis and the second team when picking one.

DET Tigers -1.5+120

 
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Posted: #283
Quote Originally Posted by SimonDog:

SimonDog... I let the dogs out...

Saturday Baseball

CHI White Sox ML  +131



In the spirit of discussion and debate, I'm curious why you're taking the Sox today.  I see these two teams as roughly even offensively, and Hernandez is definitely the better pitcher.  What do you like about Chicago today?
 
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Posted: #284
What are everyone's opinions on taking the run line with home teams? 

 
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Posted: #285
Quote Originally Posted by washhead:



In the spirit of discussion and debate, I'm curious why you're taking the Sox today.  I see these two teams as roughly even offensively, and Hernandez is definitely the better pitcher.  What do you like about Chicago today?
I know it isn't my pick, but I do know that Felix historically has struggled on the south side.  Also, "The Bartender" Wilhelmsen threw a lot last night, in the cold.  Edge to Chicago bullpen tonight.  White Sox have seen primarily ALL right handed throwers this year with only 1 AB vs Lefties.  On the flip, Axelrod is a question mark.  Had a nice spring this year, but did struggle last year at home and during the day.  Hard to cap, I would love simon's input as well.  Just my 0.02$
 
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Posted: #286
natalieportman9 7-7  +120$

KC Royals ML +110

The Royals have smacked around lefties so far this year, including exploding against the Phillies bullpen yesterday.  The Phillies bats are not the problem, it's their pitching.  Fading Lannan and hoping the royals can get to the bullpen early again.  Mendoza earned his spot with a strong spring for the royals.  Edge to Kansas City's bullpen too.  They can hold a lead if given one I believe. I will take the AL squad in this interleague matchup.

ARI Diamondbacks ML +100

Young lefty taking the mound for Arizona.  Corbin pitched very well all spring.  Arizona's bats are hot right now.  Edge to Diamondbacks' bullpen and I like their lineup matchup vs Fiers.  Fading the brewers bullpen as well.

ATL Braves -1.5 +125

Villaneuva is no slouch.  He pitches smart with a chip on his shoulder.  Mixes it up.  He was very vocal last year in Toronto about being a quality starter, had a very good spring, but...  I don't like the Cubs' lineup matchup vs Teheran.  Teheran had a stellar spring and Chicago just can't hit right now.  I love the Atlanta's bullpen and their ability to hold leads, big or small.  I will take the run line for value.


 
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Posted: #287
KCsFinest829 6-8 -180$

Took some chances with some big dogs yesterday. I like the road teams today.

SEA Mariners 1.5 +115 

Going against Simondog. I like having the better pitcher in this one and what I believe to be a better lineup and bullpen. Taking the run line as an away team is more favorable than taking it as a home team so I decided to do it here instead of laying the juice.

WAS Nationals ML +113

After the way washington got embarrassed yesterday I expect them to bounce back. In professional sports everyone is good and in spots like these I will always take the team that just got embarrassed.

Over 7 STL Cardinals - SF Giants +100

I think we see some bats come alive here for San Fran. I don't think it will be an explosive game but that we should squeak over the number in a 6-3 ball game.
 
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Happ took the #5 with a spectacular spring, 23.2 inn and giving up only 5ER (1.90ERA) a K rate of 6.8/9IP and K/BB of 2.57 and Lackey a year removed after TJ at 34 yrs old had a mediocre spring. Jays bats are awake, 14 runs and 22 hits last 2 gms. Lackey's career line vs Jays is 5.4/1.41/.275 and even more encouraging as a Red Sox hurler going 2-4 with a 9.14ERA.

Hanson will be making an effort to correct last yrs problem of too many walks with his new team in his debut and Harrison may be a little overrated with less potent Ranger line up. Situation for angels is favourable  with + money.

The king with a superior offence vs a late replacement of Danks. . Axelrod made seven starts in 14 appearances last season, but started in 40 of his past 42 minor-league games dating back to 2011. Axelrod has never faced the Mariners, run line looks good.


CP74   2-0

TOR Blue Jays -155

LAA Angels +110

SEA Mariners -1.5 +115

BOL EVERYONE!
Lets get this gents, Keep this train moving!!
Excellent job here guys, hope to contribute but am still learning MLB.
 
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Posted: #289
Quote Originally Posted by CP74:

Happ took the #5 with a spectacular spring, 23.2 inn and giving up only 5ER (1.90ERA) a K rate of 6.8/9IP and K/BB of 2.57 and Lackey a year removed after TJ at 34 yrs old had a mediocre spring. Jays bats are awake, 14 runs and 22 hits last 2 gms. Lackey's career line vs Jays is 5.4/1.41/.275 and even more encouraging as a Red Sox hurler going 2-4 with a 9.14ERA.

Hanson will be making an effort to correct last yrs problem of too many walks with his new team in his debut and Harrison may be a little overrated with less potent Ranger line up. Situation for angels is favourable  with + money.

The king with a superior offence vs a late replacement of Danks. . Axelrod made seven starts in 14 appearances last season, but started in 40 of his past 42 minor-league games dating back to 2011. Axelrod has never faced the Mariners, run line looks good.


CP74   2-0

TOR Blue Jays -155

LAA Angels +110

SEA Mariners -1.5 +115

BOL EVERYONE!
Lets get this gents, Keep this train moving!!
Excellent job here guys, hope to contribute but am still learning MLB.

CP74 2-0 +205
 
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Posted: #290

Jmill33 3-0 +$310

NY Mets -170

Niese has impressed me with his pitching. Before yesterdays game, the Marlins had only 1 run in their first 3 games combined, they will struggle scoring runs here today.

SEA Mariners -140

KING FELIX, enough said. I did read at times he struggles in this ball park, so I shyed away from the RL and decided to go ML, not bad value. Seattle may actually be able to back King Felix up and score some runs for him this season.

ATL Braves -170

Just fading what seems to be a bad Cubs team here, hope it works out. Braves have only had trouble putting up runs in one game, where they were shutout by Cliff Lee. I don't see the same result with Chicago throwing Villanueva and Tehran for Atlanta had 1.04 ERA in the spring

 

 
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Musicmatt1  11-3  +668$

 

WAS Nationals TT Over 4  -115

 

NY Mets  ML  -171

 

Nationals with 0 runs last night?  Leake doesn't impress me so I'm hoping they get to him, as the Reds bullpen should be pretty rested after last night.

 

Marlins may win 2 game in a row during this season since it is so long, but I can't see them winning many series and especially not this early on.

 
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Posted: #292
MikeTizzy    7-6  +50$

OVER 9 TOR Bluejays - BOS Redsox -110

Lackey will give up his share, as so will Happ. Jays pen seems taxed and just not talented enough vs bosox hot hitting as well.

SEA Mariners ML -140 

Only edge sox hav whole matchup is bullpen, and it isnt much. SEA has a deep pen, sox lineup is filled with strikeout holes today as well. 


 
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Musicmatt1  11-4  +668$

 

WAS Nationals TT Over 4  -115

 

NY Mets  ML  -171

 

Nationals with 0 runs last night?  Leake doesn't impress me so I'm hoping they get to him, as the Reds bullpen should be pretty rested after last night.

 

Marlins may win 2 game in a row during this season since it is so long, but I can't see them winning many series and especially not this early on.

 
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Posted: #294
for all Mia/Mets players today. Info id like to share, both teams hav dreadful bullpens. Talent-wise and have been taxed. So if u want to lay value on starters, go right ahead, but this info is as concrete as it gets. 
 
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PHL-1'+165
CWS+1'-135
ATLu8-112
 
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SickCallREf 8-3 +685

CHI Whitesox +131

Least popular home team today. Fading the public with batter/pitcher history and the home field to back me up.

Under 7  HOU Astros - Oakland A's +165

3-1 game either way how I see it. Two subpar lineups vs. two starting pitchers eager to prove themselves. We'll see. GL

 

 
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AshyLarryMP 7-7 -$152:

CHI Whitesox +1.5 -135

COL Rockies -1.5 +130

LA Dodgers +100
 
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greengiants 6-7 -37$

TOR BlueJays  -1 -101

Happ has pitched very well since being traded to Toronto, and hashad a great spring winning the 5th spot in the rotation from romero.Lackey is old and on his last legs, Taking the young and hungry pitcher with something to prove here.

had to get this one in before game time, will add a few in a bit.
 
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AshyLarryMP 7-7 -$152:

CHI Whitesox +1.5 -135

COL Rockies -1.5 +130

LA Dodgers -1.5 +100


white sox feel will bounceback today, mariners wont hit axelrod well 1st 2 times around the order and that could squeak out a low scoring win, as mariners fans know felix doesn't love run support.

rockies offense is loaded, i'm fading the padres knowing  that their offense cant keep up in coors field

dodgers kershaw is amazing, and burnett has struggled vs LA his last few starts.. my only worry is if LA can actually score some runs! such an over rated offense, but kershaw will bring it, so hoping burnett continues to struggle vs LAD.

 
 
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6/1

SimonDog  13-1-1  +1346 $

CHI White Sox ML  +131

NY  Mets         ML  -160

WAS Nationals ML  -102

Musicmatt1  11-4  +693 $

WAS Nationals TT Over 4  -115

 

NY Mets  ML  -171


SickCallREf   8-3 +685 $


CHI Whitesox +131


Under 7  HOU Astros - Oakland A's +165


Jmill33 3-0 +$310

NY Mets -170

SEA Mariners -140

ATL Braves -170

CP74 2-0 +205$

TOR Blue Jays -155

LAA Angels +110

SEA Mariners -1.5 +115

washhead 3-1 +190$

SEA Mariners ML -140

natalieportman9 7-7  +120$

KC Royals ML +110

ARI Diamondbacks ML +100

ATL Braves -1.5 +125

MikeTizzy    7-6  +50$

OVER 9 TOR Bluejays - BOS Redsox -110

SEA Mariners ML -140 


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