950th win for
Charlie. The fans in Philly love Cole
and he loves them. That's why he came
back.
Red Sox club house
wasn't very tight the last 2 years... If
they want to start this season off differently, they need to win this series
for their Manager!
Anything Zito can do,
Cain can do better. Seriously, just
think the teams took advantage of the 5th starter yesterday, back to the norm.
Great Job Gents!
I also liked the Over in Cincy but I am not sure what it means about an Ump that has more Over Games than Under?
0
Musicmatt1 13-4
+893$
PHI Phillies ML -135
BOS Red Sox ML
+107
Under 7 SF Giants - STL Cardinals -125
950th win for
Charlie. The fans in Philly love Cole
and he loves them. That's why he came
back.
Red Sox club house
wasn't very tight the last 2 years... If
they want to start this season off differently, they need to win this series
for their Manager!
Anything Zito can do,
Cain can do better. Seriously, just
think the teams took advantage of the 5th starter yesterday, back to the norm.
Great Job Gents!
I also liked the Over in Cincy but I am not sure what it means about an Ump that has more Over Games than Under?
I believe Iwakuma will get the better of Sale today, Seattle offense will be able to put up a few runs vs. Sale and a few more vs. the bullpen.
Under 7.5 NY Mets - MIA Marlins
I'm pretty much chasing the under since there were two overs in the series already, Marlins young phenom on the hill today , I think he impresses.
MIL Brewers ML +101
I don't believe the d-backs will sweep this series.Gallardo is 6-0 lifetime vs. arizona, plus he excels during the day at home.Strong performance by gallardo leads the brewers to victory.
best of luck today everyone!
0
greengiants 9-7 +293$
SEA Mariners ML +146
I believe Iwakuma will get the better of Sale today, Seattle offense will be able to put up a few runs vs. Sale and a few more vs. the bullpen.
Under 7.5 NY Mets - MIA Marlins
I'm pretty much chasing the under since there were two overs in the series already, Marlins young phenom on the hill today , I think he impresses.
MIL Brewers ML +101
I don't believe the d-backs will sweep this series.Gallardo is 6-0 lifetime vs. arizona, plus he excels during the day at home.Strong performance by gallardo leads the brewers to victory.
Most popular over today...Big step up in competition today for both clubs. I like C.C. and Justin to bring thier A games today.
Under 6.5 MIL Brewers - ARZ D-Backs +165
This is another play on the starting pitchers. Braun is still out and the Brewers are hitting the ball very well. Counting on Gallardo to put out the flames for the Brew Crew and at least give them a chance.
STL Cardinals +116
I like Adam to bounce back in this one. A few Cardinals have had some success vs Cain. We'll see. GL everyone!
0
SickCallREf 9-4 +716
Under 6.5 DET Tigers - NY Yankees +135
Most popular over today...Big step up in competition today for both clubs. I like C.C. and Justin to bring thier A games today.
Under 6.5 MIL Brewers - ARZ D-Backs +165
This is another play on the starting pitchers. Braun is still out and the Brewers are hitting the ball very well. Counting on Gallardo to put out the flames for the Brew Crew and at least give them a chance.
STL Cardinals +116
I like Adam to bounce back in this one. A few Cardinals have had some success vs Cain. We'll see. GL everyone!
Was starting to flatten out in NBA after a solid 3 week run and decided to go at the books gangster style!! I'm back on the horse and galloping since I changed it!!
0
Quote Originally Posted by greengiants:
your new avatar is hilarious CP!
Thx gg.
Was starting to flatten out in NBA after a solid 3 week run and decided to go at the books gangster style!! I'm back on the horse and galloping since I changed it!!
I like this pick, but I have to say, be careful. I was on the under 8 yesterday and that 5th inning by the A's killed me. Peacock left early which wasn't a good sign and then when the score was 3-1, an inning ending double play ball gets booted and another 4 runs, 3 unearned come across. Defence and bullpen highly suspect for Houston. Good luck and keep it rolling SCR!
Yep...nice lay off I don't account for defense like I should in my capping. Thanks for the thought. I put it in my notes. Good Luck today!
0
Quote Originally Posted by natalieportman9:
I like this pick, but I have to say, be careful. I was on the under 8 yesterday and that 5th inning by the A's killed me. Peacock left early which wasn't a good sign and then when the score was 3-1, an inning ending double play ball gets booted and another 4 runs, 3 unearned come across. Defence and bullpen highly suspect for Houston. Good luck and keep it rolling SCR!
Yep...nice lay off I don't account for defense like I should in my capping. Thanks for the thought. I put it in my notes. Good Luck today!
Stupid bets by me again. I always have problems when "aces" on the mound. I need to stop betting against the grain just because a team's #1 takes the mound. Lesson learned.
0
Stupid bets by me again. I always have problems when "aces" on the mound. I need to stop betting against the grain just because a team's #1 takes the mound. Lesson learned.
(Better the record more interest you generate in your thinking process and they want to know why's and how come's. For you too it will better if you reasoned your picks for comparing it to the ones you'd take after the game)
Musicmatt1 13-4 +893$
PHI Phillies ML -135
BOS Red Sox ML +107
Under 7 SF Giants - STL Cardinals -125
SickCallREf 9-4 +716
Under 6.5 DET Tigers - NY Yankees +135
Under 6.5 MIL Brewers - ARZ D-Backs +165
STL Cardinals +116
Jmill33 5-1 +370$
BAL Orioles -170
COL Rockies -150
BOS Red Sox +115
CP74 4-1 +$315
Under 8 TOR Blue Jays-BOS Red Sox -110
WAS Nationals -115
BAL Orioles -1.5 +110
greengiants 9-7 +293$
SEA Mariners ML +146
Under 7.5 NY Mets - MIA Marlins -101
MIL Brewers ML +101
KCsFinest829 9-8 +133
CHI Cubs ML +125
Over 8 BOS Red Sox - TOR Blue Jays +100
NY Yankees ML +176
(leave those decisions to me. Don't make counting decisions - only correct if needed. So, instead of 115 you won 100. No big deal)
KaiserWilhelm 2-1 +75 $
DET Tigers -1.5 +115
Under 7 CIN Reds - WAS Nationals -137
washhead 3-2 +50$
Under 5.0 1st 5 Inn BAL Orioles - MIN Twins -110
0
SimonDog 16-1-1 +1677$
WAS Nationals ML -115
KC Royals ML +108
NY Mets ML -145
(Better the record more interest you generate in your thinking process and they want to know why's and how come's. For you too it will better if you reasoned your picks for comparing it to the ones you'd take after the game)
Musicmatt1 13-4 +893$
PHI Phillies ML -135
BOS Red Sox ML +107
Under 7 SF Giants - STL Cardinals -125
SickCallREf 9-4 +716
Under 6.5 DET Tigers - NY Yankees +135
Under 6.5 MIL Brewers - ARZ D-Backs +165
STL Cardinals +116
Jmill33 5-1 +370$
BAL Orioles -170
COL Rockies -150
BOS Red Sox +115
CP74 4-1 +$315
Under 8 TOR Blue Jays-BOS Red Sox -110
WAS Nationals -115
BAL Orioles -1.5 +110
greengiants 9-7 +293$
SEA Mariners ML +146
Under 7.5 NY Mets - MIA Marlins -101
MIL Brewers ML +101
KCsFinest829 9-8 +133
CHI Cubs ML +125
Over 8 BOS Red Sox - TOR Blue Jays +100
NY Yankees ML +176
(leave those decisions to me. Don't make counting decisions - only correct if needed. So, instead of 115 you won 100. No big deal)
What are everyone's opinions on taking the run line with home teams?
For me it's all about the pitching matchups. If I feel that I have a big enough advantage with the home starter or the bullpen I will risk it. Obviously there is more value in taking a road team -1.5 for you are guaranteed 27 outs as long as the game goes nine. And you don't have to worry about going into the ninth up by one run in need of a miracle. In any event that I like a low scoring game(7 runs or less) I must have supreme confidence in the home staff.
I almost got greedy yesterday with the Whitesox. Something like +410 on the -2.5....-1.5 +270. I liked the game under the total so I laid off the RL. Even with good enough batter history vs Hernandez, I just didn't feel there was a chance of Seattle getting shutout even though historically Felixs' run support is miserable on average.
On the flip side I believe the road dog -1.5 has the best value. If I like the road dog I'm usually taking them -1.5. Or at least adding a little on the -1.5 or -2.5. The increased value will more than make up for the one run loses. Though if the game is smelling like an under I will opt to just stick with the ML unless I feel like I can get a shutout to back me up.
I use similar reasoning in regard to playing unders. If I lean torward the road team I usually stay away unless I feel like the roadies have a good enough chance to shut the homeboys out. I'd rather not worry about the bottom of the ninth when I'm holding an under ticket.
0
Quote Originally Posted by natalieportman9:
What are everyone's opinions on taking the run line with home teams?
For me it's all about the pitching matchups. If I feel that I have a big enough advantage with the home starter or the bullpen I will risk it. Obviously there is more value in taking a road team -1.5 for you are guaranteed 27 outs as long as the game goes nine. And you don't have to worry about going into the ninth up by one run in need of a miracle. In any event that I like a low scoring game(7 runs or less) I must have supreme confidence in the home staff.
I almost got greedy yesterday with the Whitesox. Something like +410 on the -2.5....-1.5 +270. I liked the game under the total so I laid off the RL. Even with good enough batter history vs Hernandez, I just didn't feel there was a chance of Seattle getting shutout even though historically Felixs' run support is miserable on average.
On the flip side I believe the road dog -1.5 has the best value. If I like the road dog I'm usually taking them -1.5. Or at least adding a little on the -1.5 or -2.5. The increased value will more than make up for the one run loses. Though if the game is smelling like an under I will opt to just stick with the ML unless I feel like I can get a shutout to back me up.
I use similar reasoning in regard to playing unders. If I lean torward the road team I usually stay away unless I feel like the roadies have a good enough chance to shut the homeboys out. I'd rather not worry about the bottom of the ninth when I'm holding an under ticket.
Stupid bets by me again. I always have problems when "aces" on the mound. I need to stop betting against the grain just because a team's #1 takes the mound. Lesson learned.
There are no stupid bets and no genius bets. Only importance is the process in a long run. One with ability to see the mistakes and mark them - will always get on top in a long run. Good job
0
Quote Originally Posted by natalieportman9:
Stupid bets by me again. I always have problems when "aces" on the mound. I need to stop betting against the grain just because a team's #1 takes the mound. Lesson learned.
There are no stupid bets and no genius bets. Only importance is the process in a long run. One with ability to see the mistakes and mark them - will always get on top in a long run. Good job
For me it's all about the pitching matchups. If I feel that I have a big enough advantage with the home starter or the bullpen I will risk it. Obviously there is more value in taking a road team -1.5 for you are guaranteed 27 outs as long as the game goes nine. And you don't have to worry about going into the ninth up by one run in need of a miracle. In any event that I like a low scoring game(7 runs or less) I must have supreme confidence in the home staff.
I almost got greedy yesterday with the Whitesox. Something like +410 on the -2.5....-1.5 +270. I liked the game under the total so I laid off the RL. Even with good enough batter history vs Hernandez, I just didn't feel there was a chance of Seattle getting shutout even though historically Felixs' run support is miserable on average.
On the flip side I believe the road dog -1.5 has the best value. If I like the road dog I'm usually taking them -1.5. Or at least adding a little on the -1.5 or -2.5. The increased value will more than make up for the one run loses. Though if the game is smelling like an under I will opt to just stick with the ML unless I feel like I can get a shutout to back me up.
I use similar reasoning in regard to playing unders. If I lean torward the road team I usually stay away unless I feel like the roadies have a good enough chance to shut the homeboys out. I'd rather not worry about the bottom of the ninth when I'm holding an under ticket.
There's not any single strategy viable for a long run as the season is long and dynamic, and we're dealing with people with ups and downs. I suggest to approach every single game with it's own trends and angles and not to generalize all the games or most of them under the same roof. There are viable points you and NP are drawing attention to - but IMO and from an experience - every strategy or eurica will be soon overthrown by new ones and so on. So - it's very important to deal with every game as it's own entity with angles and previous meeting between the teams, series, pitchers matchups and "the code" of what is obviously expected but is not translated into odds and the line.
0
Quote Originally Posted by SickCallREf:
For me it's all about the pitching matchups. If I feel that I have a big enough advantage with the home starter or the bullpen I will risk it. Obviously there is more value in taking a road team -1.5 for you are guaranteed 27 outs as long as the game goes nine. And you don't have to worry about going into the ninth up by one run in need of a miracle. In any event that I like a low scoring game(7 runs or less) I must have supreme confidence in the home staff.
I almost got greedy yesterday with the Whitesox. Something like +410 on the -2.5....-1.5 +270. I liked the game under the total so I laid off the RL. Even with good enough batter history vs Hernandez, I just didn't feel there was a chance of Seattle getting shutout even though historically Felixs' run support is miserable on average.
On the flip side I believe the road dog -1.5 has the best value. If I like the road dog I'm usually taking them -1.5. Or at least adding a little on the -1.5 or -2.5. The increased value will more than make up for the one run loses. Though if the game is smelling like an under I will opt to just stick with the ML unless I feel like I can get a shutout to back me up.
I use similar reasoning in regard to playing unders. If I lean torward the road team I usually stay away unless I feel like the roadies have a good enough chance to shut the homeboys out. I'd rather not worry about the bottom of the ninth when I'm holding an under ticket.
There's not any single strategy viable for a long run as the season is long and dynamic, and we're dealing with people with ups and downs. I suggest to approach every single game with it's own trends and angles and not to generalize all the games or most of them under the same roof. There are viable points you and NP are drawing attention to - but IMO and from an experience - every strategy or eurica will be soon overthrown by new ones and so on. So - it's very important to deal with every game as it's own entity with angles and previous meeting between the teams, series, pitchers matchups and "the code" of what is obviously expected but is not translated into odds and the line.
There's not any single strategy viable for a long run as the season is long and dynamic, and we're dealing with people with ups and downs. I suggest to approach every single game with it's own trends and angles and not to generalize all the games or most of them under the same roof. There are viable points you and NP are drawing attention to - but IMO and from an experience - every strategy or eurica will be soon overthrown by new ones and so on. So - it's very important to deal with every game as it's own entity with angles and previous meeting between the teams, series, pitchers matchups and "the code" of what is obviously expected but is not translated into odds and the line.
I agree...each game is its own. I'm just looking for an advantage somewhere. I don't bet solely on any particular trend or percieved value. But I keep it in mind.
0
Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:
There's not any single strategy viable for a long run as the season is long and dynamic, and we're dealing with people with ups and downs. I suggest to approach every single game with it's own trends and angles and not to generalize all the games or most of them under the same roof. There are viable points you and NP are drawing attention to - but IMO and from an experience - every strategy or eurica will be soon overthrown by new ones and so on. So - it's very important to deal with every game as it's own entity with angles and previous meeting between the teams, series, pitchers matchups and "the code" of what is obviously expected but is not translated into odds and the line.
I agree...each game is its own. I'm just looking for an advantage somewhere. I don't bet solely on any particular trend or percieved value. But I keep it in mind.
My thoughts picks and reasons for selecting is part art and part research What I can tell you is that I was a sportscaster on a regional level for 17 years and have seen trends that may only make sense to me
I don't usually explain things well but I will consider it I so better not e planning and letting the picks speak for themselves -with respect Simon Dog
0
My thoughts picks and reasons for selecting is part art and part research What I can tell you is that I was a sportscaster on a regional level for 17 years and have seen trends that may only make sense to me
I don't usually explain things well but I will consider it I so better not e planning and letting the picks speak for themselves -with respect Simon Dog
My thoughts picks and reasons for selecting is part art and part research What I can tell you is that I was a sportscaster on a regional level for 17 years and have seen trends that may only make sense to me
I don't usually explain things well but I will consider it I so better not e planning and letting the picks speak for themselves -with respect Simon Dog
0
Quote Originally Posted by SimonDog:
My thoughts picks and reasons for selecting is part art and part research What I can tell you is that I was a sportscaster on a regional level for 17 years and have seen trends that may only make sense to me
I don't usually explain things well but I will consider it I so better not e planning and letting the picks speak for themselves -with respect Simon Dog
I agree...each game is its own. I'm just looking for an advantage somewhere. I don't bet solely on any particular trend or percieved value. But I keep it in mind.
0
Quote Originally Posted by SickCallREf:
I agree...each game is its own. I'm just looking for an advantage somewhere. I don't bet solely on any particular trend or percieved value. But I keep it in mind.
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I don't account for defense like I should in my capping. Thanks for the thought. I put it in my notes. Good Luck today!
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