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Mavin's MLB Contest

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Posted: #1351
mavin what happen with simon dog ? did he get banned ??
 
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Posted: #1352
Quote Originally Posted by natalieportman9:

natalieportman9 38-38 +43$

TB Rays ML -140

Paying the juice to back Price against a struggling lineup.  Chicago strikes out a lot lately and Tampa should be able to give Price a couple run cushion off of Axelrod.

TOR Blue Jays ML -105

Dickey is getting better with his strike throwing.  Should be able to keep Yankee bats whiffing enough to win this one.  Phil Hughes and sweep fade.  Edge to Toronto bullpen.

SEA Mariners ML -120

Seattle is a dangerous team when their lineup gets hot, like it has the past week.  Iwakuma will get plenty of K's in this one.  Fading Vargas.


Lines are leaning me to the other side of Rays and Jays.... I always bring it back to when my write up read something like, "taking Cain on this value line."

He got wrecked and I got suckered by the too good to be true line.

The line on a Price start seems low.  It opened at -136 according to Odds Insider App.

There are a few thing that come in to play. Is the line a gift because Price's recent losses? Does Axelrod deserve this respect? Is it believable the Rays tie up this 4 game series with their struggles on the road?

Also, the total of 8 in Chi is begging for an Under bet with these pitchers...

The Jays line is one that I've spoken of within 20. The small favorite tends to win and that's the Yankees.

Maybe this is where to go 1st 5 since your picks involved starting pitcher match ups.
 
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Posted: #1353

why  NO one is answering me ??

 

 
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Posted: #1354
I will say the Rays are favored 1st 5 and 2H... 

Maybe the line is lower from some of my previous assumptions. On another note, the Total is now 7.5 on BM.
 
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Posted: #1355
What you got in store tonight Mr. Music??? I Would be really thankful if you could post a little time before game start. That way i could analyse them myself before placing my wager- Thanks
 
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Posted: #1356
Quote Originally Posted by true_legend:

What you got in store tonight Mr. Music??? I Would be really thankful if you could post a little time before game start. That way i could analyse them myself before placing my wager- Thanks

I wait for TT's to come out on BM before I confirm picks. Looking at all favorites of ML's within 20. I'm staying away from TB/CHI game and pull for my guy Mr. Natalie Portman.

Let me know what you think?

 
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Posted: #1357

SimonDog Sunday

 

TEX Rangers  ML -135

Rangers have not lost two days in a row all season, Will stick with that trend today.

 

NY Yankees  ML +100

Dickey is having back and neck problems.. If he gets in trouble early Yankees could blow it open...

 

WAS Nationals  ML -116

Bring out the broom.> Washington playing consistent ball and Cinfrani Throws fire..

 
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Posted: #1358
AshlyLarry, 

Your answer to Sunday's may be rest... Yankees sitting Gardner for sure, others I think. Line jumped.

May need to tread lightly until we can figure out a way to gear the line ups...
 
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Posted: #1359
Quote Originally Posted by SimonDog:

SimondDog  46-25-3 +1800$

TEX Rangers  ML -135

Rangers have not lost two days in a row all season, Will stick with that trend today.

 

NY Yankees  ML +100

Dickey is having back and neck problems.. If he gets in trouble early Yankees could blow it open...

 

WAS Nationals  ML -116

Bring out the broom.> Washington playing consistent ball and Cinfrani Throws fire..

 
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Posted: #1360
I can't contribute much, I'm fairly new in the baseball world. I do know i'm not a big fan of Over/Under games. I look forward to your picks.

And good to see you back Simondog
 
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Posted: #1361
Simon Dog I added your record and earnings, make sure I got it correct
 
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Posted: #1362
ya arrencibia benched same game matt.. good point never thought of that, but weekends are managers favorite days to give a guy off it seems.
 
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Posted: #1363

Thanks Big Daddy.. I forgot..

Been a long weekend..

 

 
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Posted: #1364
Quote Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:

ya arrencibia benched same game matt.. good point never thought of that, but weekends are managers favorite days to give a guy off it seems.

arencibia is benched because blanco is dickey's catcher for the season, we all saw how well arencibia handled the knuckeball in the home opener ....was it 3 passed balls?...
 
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Posted: #1365

Musicmatt1  52-24-3  +2112$

 

PHI Phillies  ML  -118

 

WAS Nationals  ML  -116

 

Both of these games are within the 20 I talk about.  Since they are both teams in my local market I feel more comfortable with their line ups today.  Ruiz will be back for the Phillies and most importantly that is good for the pitching staff.  Chemistry amongst Pitchers and Catchers are the type of things that defy stats and need to be taken in to account.

 

I always feel pretty comfortable with the Nationals at home.  The Reds are a good team but I think they are tired from the Chicago series and ready to get out of Washington.  The Nats have a great starting rotation and I can't see the Reds getting on track this afternoon.

 
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Posted: #1366
Good Luck today Gents!

 
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Posted: #1367
AshyLarryMP 38-38-4 -$519

NY Yankees ML +104

Under 7 MIA Marlins - CHC Cubs +100

MIA Marlins TT Under 3.5 -130

also agree on dickey that he's pitching thru pain.. and i'm fading the fact that bluejays have won 2 of the last 20 games in yankee stadium.. line seems to low to like dickey..

great feeling this game goes under.. villaneuva is dealing! mowing people down, he should be able to handle the marlins.. nolasco was drafted by the cubs.. lifetime 2.45 era vs them, likes making them pay.. big ball park 2 capable pitchers, 2 weak lineups.. took under TT marlins which is usually money, and the under.. looking for a 2-1, 3-2 kind of game
 
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Posted: #1368
ryan howard benched matt.. if that helps any
 
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Posted: #1369
Quote Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:

ryan howard benched matt.. if that helps any

Ryan Howard is like that Clint Eastwood movie.. Trouble With the Curve.  I'd "rest" him today too.
 
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Posted: #1370
The Reds are 1-8 on the road this year
 
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Posted: #1371

simondog not 46-25 , he sit at 46-28 +1470$

 
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Posted: #1372
been outsider watching in and tailing
 
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Posted: #1373
Quote Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:


Ryan Howard is like that Clint Eastwood movie.. Trouble With the Curve.  I'd "rest" him today too.

haha, nice man, gave me a chuckle
 
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Posted: #1374
greengiants 28-36 -862$

Under 8.5 NY Yankees - TOR Bluejays -115

I believe both pitching staffs do well today keeping this game at a low score, I don't think the total will hit nine today.I think we see a similar start to what dickey had in baltimore last time out.


 
 
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Posted: #1375
Thanks musicmatt! I feel best about Tampa and wanted to even take the rl value. I like Washington today! BoL with it
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