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Mavin's MLB Contest

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Prospect
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Posts: 226
Posted: #1576
dropped popout (WIND!)with 2 outs leads to 4 runs in the 8th. padres coming through...
 
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Posted: #1577
AshyLarryMP 44-44-2 -$531

TOR Blue Jays ML +112

PHI Phillies -.5 First 5 Innings -135

MIA Marlins TT Under 3 -130


i believe the bluejays have everything it takes to win this game.. i don't trust dempster, he's good to give up 3-4 atleast!.. happ is capable and bluejays bats advantage today with no ortiz in lineup for BO SOX.. feel line is set too low enticing redsox bettors, setting the trap since JJ was suppose to start, but i think happ throws well today.

phillies first 5 because id rather lay this than the -1.5 for the game.. i trust kendrick, been saying since preseason that he's out for a big season, marlins coming off a series win and a loss last game, i'll fade them on the road, hope phillies can put up atleast 1-2 thru 5 for me as they've been scuffling lately, but no doubt they win this game.

i'm not going to overthink this one, the marlins are a AAA team.. maybe a AAAA team on offense, i'll be generous, kendrick should overmatch them.. if phillies did lose i feel it'd be more sanabia threw well keeping them in it, rather than their bats putting up 4-5 on kendrick.. feel pretty good about this being a hedge at worst! which i'd be ok with.
 
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Posted: #1578
Seems like Harper and Werth playing... Play already in contest so let's go!
 
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Posted: #1579

Bigdaddy86  3-5-1  -260

 

MIL Brewers  ML -110

 

Brewers great at home!  No travel for them.

 

TEX Rangers  ML-146

 

Again taking a hot home team and Grimm has been pitching great.

 

HOU Astros TT Over 3.5 -125

 

Porcello has been terrible and Houston at home should be able to put up enough runs to go over the team total here.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #1580

Bigdaddy86  3-5-1  -260

 

MIL Brewers  ML -110

 

Brewers great at home!  No travel for them.

 

 

TEX Rangers  ML-146

 

Again taking a hot home team and Grimm has been pitching great.

 

 

HOU Astros TT Over 3.5 -125

 

Porcello has been terrible and Houston at home should be able to put up enough runs to go over the team total

 
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Posts: 410
Posted: #1581
What do you guys think of taking the Rangers run line?
 
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Posted: #1582
aleiverson02 4-1 +3 units

Over 9 DET Tigers - HOU Astros -135 ( bought half a point)

Seems like every Detriot game goes over, this game cualifys for my system and big time. Detriot is 1-9 in unders the worst record in the system which means very very high chance it goes over according to my system. Besides that I see lots of hits and lots of runs, 7-5 type game. Good luck all!


 
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Posted: #1583
Quote Originally Posted by aleiverson02:

aleiverson02 4-1 +3 units

Over 9 DET Tigers - HOU Astros -135 ( bought half a point)

Seems like every Detriot game goes over, this game cualifys for my system and big time. Detriot is 1-9 in unders the worst record in the system which means very very high chance it goes over according to my system. Besides that I see lots of hits and lots of runs, 7-5 type game. Good luck all!



Over 8.5 BAL Orioles - LA Angels -122 

Again this game cualifys for system and Angels are second worst record at 2-10 for unders so again high chance it goes over. There really isnt much more to say but that on my side. I know you guys want more reasoning but I have beens super hot 14-2 in past 2 days and already 2-0 to start the day off ( Padres ML and Under 7.5) ! :) GL team!
 
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Posted: #1584
Adding two picks because KC postponed. At work so I can't reason them. Sorry guys

BOS Red Sox ML -115

BAL Orioles ML +107
 
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Posts: 818
Posted: #1585
MikeTizzy 37-31-2  +744$

OK good readings i saw! let me get back on right note and post winners.
been too focused on nhl and nba playoffs!

Under 7.5 MIA Marlins - PHI Phillies  -110

Total dropped from 8, and from all the metrics and traveling dynamics, with hot Kendrick to mitigate bullpen damage, should be great here. Sanabia is underated and has pitched very well vs phillies. I really like the under here, Anemic no stanton bats still exist, with better pen of late.
I dont think Phil hits too well here also, might even lose the game, but the Phil line is way overvalued just so u guys know!
 
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Posted: #1586
adding:

Over 8.5 TEX Rangers - CHI WhiteSox  -110

Alert everyone: HITFEST will ensue in the Arlignton bandbox today.
Peavy out, Santiago been worked lately, and winds and elements in play here blowing straight out to center at 25mph! great value at 8.5 simply because both sides easily capable of scoring 4 each, so that 5-4 score is highly inevitable to avoid here. Awful overworked pens on both sides as well. Grimm is very hit-able and this match will show it. Full lineups in. 
 
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Posted: #1587
ok got one great last one, promise:

DET Tigers ML - 160

love over here but! Porcello is ground ball pitcher vs a pourous lineup vs righties, dont trust hou helps total that much. Winds blowing straight it heavy as well. Hou just cant do much against righties, While Lyles takes the mound for HOU. let me tell u fellas, he was outright the worst starter in all of spring, an absolute pinata. Didnt make the team and still got thrashed in minors before call up, he was also very bad last year in the bigs as well. He takes peacock's place, cus hes just as bad! And when u put Hou pen in a bind with bad matchup and start vs very potent/full lineup of Tigers = ouch. The value sux with RL here so no point to taking it. Tigers travel, but so did a very out matched HOU team from NY. DET lineup been hitting righties and lefties too well, not to have them here winning for sure.
 
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Posted: #1588
cuben2006 24-18-3 +345$

DET Tigers ML -155

J Lyles will get his first taste when returning to the major and face the tigers
 
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Posted: #1589
April  1-10    152-122-6    +2,489$

April 11-20   159-153-25  -1,475$

April 21-30   116-120-11    -970$

1        12-13      -159$
----------------------------------------------

Total  439-408-49   -115$
 
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Posted: #1590
Quote Originally Posted by aleiverson02:

aleiverson02 4-1 +3 units

Over 9 DET Tigers - HOU Astros -135 ( bought half a point)

Seems like every Detriot game goes over, this game cualifys for my system and big time. Detriot is 1-9 in unders the worst record in the system which means very very high chance it goes over according to my system. Besides that I see lots of hits and lots of runs, 7-5 type game. Good luck all!


Please stop that unit counting and make the math. This is baseball with odds different for each game!
 
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Posted: #1591

Musicmatt1  55-30-3  +1687$

 

SD Padres  ML  +107

 

Under 7  ATL Braves - WAS Nationals  +100

 

MIL Brewers  ML  -110


SimonDog  50-33  +1246$


MIL Brewers  ML -110

BOS Red Sox  ML -123

TEX Rangers  ML -137

MikeTizzy 37-31-2  +744$

Under 7.5 MIA Marlins - PHI Phillies  -110

DET Tigers ML - 160

Over 8.5 TEX Rangers - CHI WhiteSox  -110

cuben2006 24-18-3 +345$

DET Tigers ML -155


 
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Posted: #1592
aleiverson02 4-1 +295$

Under 7.5 CHI Cubs - SD Padres (odds?)

Over 9 DET Tigers - HOU Astros -135

natalieportman9 44-44 +220$

CHI Cubs ML -126

BOS Red Sox ML -115

BAL Orioles ML +107

Bigdaddy86  3-5-1  -260

 

MIL Brewers  ML -110

 

TEX Rangers  ML-146


HOU Astros TT Over 3.5 -125


AshyLarryMP 44-44-2 -$531


TOR Blue Jays ML +112

PHI Phillies -.5 First 5 Innings -135

MIA Marlins TT Under 3 -130

greengiants 32-42 -1084$

SD Padres ML +112 

MIL Brewers ML -102

LA Angels -1 +120

 
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Posted: #1593
2 outs...walk..4 runs..still counting.. Milwaukee damn it...
 
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Posted: #1594

Musicmatt1  55-30-3  +1687$

 

SD Padres  ML  +107

 

Under 7  ATL Braves - WAS Nationals  +100

 

MIL Brewers  ML  -110


SimonDog  50-33  +1246$


MIL Brewers  ML -110

BOS Red Sox  ML -123

TEX Rangers  ML -137

MikeTizzy 37-31-2  +744$

Under 7.5 MIA Marlins - PHI Phillies  -110

DET Tigers ML - 160

Over 8.5 TEX Rangers - CHI WhiteSox  -110

cuben2006 24-18-3 +345$

DET Tigers ML -155
 
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Posted: #1595
aleiverson02 4-1 +295$

Under 7.5 CHI Cubs - SD Padres (odds?)

Over 9 DET Tigers - HOU Astros -135

natalieportman9 44-44 +220$

CHI Cubs ML -126

BOS Red Sox ML -115

BAL Orioles ML +107

Bigdaddy86  3-5-1  -260

 

MIL Brewers  ML -110

 

TEX Rangers  ML-146


HOU Astros TT Over 3.5 -125


AshyLarryMP 44-44-2 -$531


TOR Blue Jays ML +112

PHI Phillies -.5 First 5 Innings -135

MIA Marlins TT Under 3 -130

greengiants 32-42 -1084$

SD Padres ML +112 

MIL Brewers ML -102

LA Angels -1 +120
 
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Posted: #1596
rough day, game of failures is baseball, u can get loads of LOB all game with RISP. and DPs, strikeouts with ideal matchups at the plate.
Damn u totals, it is what it is. Sometimes they just cant drive the bases in.
 
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Posted: #1597
Quote Originally Posted by DJG1986:

2 outs...walk..4 runs..still counting.. Milwaukee damn it...

I'll do my post game write up early. You learn from your mistakes. I said the line was begging for a Cardinals bet, yet offered limited positive juice. I feel like this line was aimed at people with my thought process.

As AshyLarry pointed out pregame, if the Brewers win, it's because they hit, not because Peralta was slinging it. That made the Over the better play here. 

What I learned:
You've got to believe the storyline... It's baseball, yes. But some lines are set to target big players and some are targeted at the public. Either way, I'm sure Vegas is doing fine. 

This leads me to Orioles game... Sort of the same thing.  Blanton has not won a game this year and he is favored this game? I think if the Angels were to win, wouldn't you think it's because they hit? 

 
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Posted: #1598

Musicmatt1  55-30-3  +1687$

 

SD Padres  ML  +107

 

Under 7  ATL Braves - WAS Nationals  +100

 

MIL Brewers  ML  -110


SimonDog  50-33  +1246$


MIL Brewers  ML -110

BOS Red Sox  ML -123

TEX Rangers  ML -137

MikeTizzy 37-31-2  +744$

Under 7.5 MIA Marlins - PHI Phillies  -110

DET Tigers ML - 160

Over 8.5 TEX Rangers - CHI WhiteSox  -110

cuben2006 24-18-3 +345$

DET Tigers ML -155
 
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Posted: #1599
aleiverson02 4-1 +295$

Under 7.5 CHI Cubs - SD Padres (odds?)

Over 9 DET Tigers - HOU Astros -135

natalieportman9 44-44 +220$

CHI Cubs ML -126

BOS Red Sox ML -115

BAL Orioles ML +107

Bigdaddy86  3-5-1  -260

 

MIL Brewers  ML -110

 

TEX Rangers  ML-146


HOU Astros TT Over 3.5 -125


AshyLarryMP 44-44-2 -$531


TOR Blue Jays ML +112

PHI Phillies -.5 First 5 Innings -135

MIA Marlins TT Under 3 -130

greengiants 32-42 -1084$

SD Padres ML +112 

MIL Brewers ML -102

LA Angels -1 +120
 
 
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Posts: 5295
Posted: #1600

Musicmatt1  55-30-3  +1687$

 

SD Padres  ML  +107

 

Under 7  ATL Braves - WAS Nationals  +100

 

MIL Brewers  ML  -110


SimonDog  50-33  +1246$


MIL Brewers  ML -110

BOS Red Sox  ML -123

TEX Rangers  ML -137

MikeTizzy 37-31-2  +744$

Under 7.5 MIA Marlins - PHI Phillies  -110

DET Tigers ML - 160

Over 8.5 TEX Rangers - CHI WhiteSox  -110

cuben2006 24-18-3 +345$

DET Tigers ML -155
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