Like 3 from early games. Will post now and add reasons in after.
SEA Mariners ML +127
MIN Twins ML -102
OAK Athletics ML +109
I needed to post those before 1:05pm. Here is my reasoning.
Toronto bats are not ready to deal with "Mini-YU" Iwakuma. Edge to Seattle lineup and starter. They are a great dog at +value.
Correia has been MR Quality Start this season. Kazmir has not. I know CLE is hot with the bats right now, but I think the Twins can manufacture enough run support for Correia to get the W.
Oakland likes playing tough on the road. Hughes will give up the runs and Frog King Colon is a strike throwing machine. He will do enough to keep Yankee bats ice cold.
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Quote Originally Posted by natalieportman9:
natalieportman9 48-46 +391$
Like 3 from early games. Will post now and add reasons in after.
SEA Mariners ML +127
MIN Twins ML -102
OAK Athletics ML +109
I needed to post those before 1:05pm. Here is my reasoning.
Toronto bats are not ready to deal with "Mini-YU" Iwakuma. Edge to Seattle lineup and starter. They are a great dog at +value.
Correia has been MR Quality Start this season. Kazmir has not. I know CLE is hot with the bats right now, but I think the Twins can manufacture enough run support for Correia to get the W.
Oakland likes playing tough on the road. Hughes will give up the runs and Frog King Colon is a strike throwing machine. He will do enough to keep Yankee bats ice cold.
I look at the games on Saturday in a different perspective than any other weekday. That is why Harrel is my favorite on a surprise bet of the day while the Tigers will have to pay the price.
HOU Astros +1.5 -110
Magill and Vogelsong will keep it low. Very low score.
Under 7 SF Giants - LA Dodgers +110
Niese we trust against Teheran and Argo is right behind you Niese
NY Mets ML +120
meraby 2-1 +90$
NY Mets ML +120
Under 7 SF Giants - LA Dodgers +110
HOU Astros +1.5 -110
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I look at the games on Saturday in a different perspective than any other weekday. That is why Harrel is my favorite on a surprise bet of the day while the Tigers will have to pay the price.
HOU Astros +1.5 -110
Magill and Vogelsong will keep it low. Very low score.
Under 7 SF Giants - LA Dodgers +110
Niese we trust against Teheran and Argo is right behind you Niese
I look at the games on Saturday in a different perspective than any other weekday. That is why Harrel is my favorite on a surprise bet of the day while the Tigers will have to pay the price.
HOU Astros +1.5 -110
Magill and Vogelsong will keep it low. Very low score.
Under 7 SF Giants - LA Dodgers +110
Niese we trust against Teheran and Argo is right behind you Niese
NY Mets ML +120
meraby 2-1 +90$
NY Mets ML +120
Under 7 SF Giants - LA Dodgers +110
HOU Astros +1.5 -110
mets and atlanta postponed because of rain meraby...
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Quote Originally Posted by meraby:
I look at the games on Saturday in a different perspective than any other weekday. That is why Harrel is my favorite on a surprise bet of the day while the Tigers will have to pay the price.
HOU Astros +1.5 -110
Magill and Vogelsong will keep it low. Very low score.
Under 7 SF Giants - LA Dodgers +110
Niese we trust against Teheran and Argo is right behind you Niese
NY Mets ML +120
meraby 2-1 +90$
NY Mets ML +120
Under 7 SF Giants - LA Dodgers +110
HOU Astros +1.5 -110
mets and atlanta postponed because of rain meraby...
what i like about these bets is i have a tie option to all 3 of them.. i know gallardo is bad vs STL.. but i focus on wainwright.. 134ip 1.98 career ERA vs MIL.. that's kershaw vs giants #'s!! ownage is ownage and i can't deny those #'s.. why i bet first 5 because i trust wainwright, not cardinals bullpen.
marlins bet i feel they have 0 chance of scoring 3 off of hamels.. marlins are 1-9 this year vs lefties, feel hamels is licking his lips at this matchup.. i can see this hedging which is fine by me.. but only way marlins score 4 is if cole only goes 6ip and bullpen blows it.. take my chances.
nationals first 5 because i get the leading/tie option.. and strasburg usually doesn't go deep into games.. but i do trust him to make a statement today, he's due.. and i didn't forget his last time in Pitt. (debut 7ip 14 k's) don't think he forgot either.
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AshyLarryMP 49-45-2 -$131
STL Cardinals ML First 5 Innings -125
MIA Marlins TT Under 3 -140
WAS Nationals ML First 5 Innings -140
what i like about these bets is i have a tie option to all 3 of them.. i know gallardo is bad vs STL.. but i focus on wainwright.. 134ip 1.98 career ERA vs MIL.. that's kershaw vs giants #'s!! ownage is ownage and i can't deny those #'s.. why i bet first 5 because i trust wainwright, not cardinals bullpen.
marlins bet i feel they have 0 chance of scoring 3 off of hamels.. marlins are 1-9 this year vs lefties, feel hamels is licking his lips at this matchup.. i can see this hedging which is fine by me.. but only way marlins score 4 is if cole only goes 6ip and bullpen blows it.. take my chances.
nationals first 5 because i get the leading/tie option.. and strasburg usually doesn't go deep into games.. but i do trust him to make a statement today, he's due.. and i didn't forget his last time in Pitt. (debut 7ip 14 k's) don't think he forgot either.
what i like about these bets is i have a tie option to all 3 of them.. i know gallardo is bad vs STL.. but i focus on wainwright.. 134ip 1.98 career ERA vs MIL.. that's kershaw vs giants #'s!! ownage is ownage and i can't deny those #'s.. why i bet first 5 because i trust wainwright, not cardinals bullpen.
marlins bet i feel they have 0 chance of scoring 3 off of hamels.. marlins are 1-9 this year vs lefties, feel hamels is licking his lips at this matchup.. i can see this hedging which is fine by me.. but only way marlins score 4 is if cole only goes 6ip and bullpen blows it.. take my chances.
nationals first 5 because i get the leading/tie option.. and strasburg usually doesn't go deep into games.. but i do trust him to make a statement today, he's due.. and i didn't forget his last time in Pitt. (debut 7ip 14 k's) don't think he forgot either.
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Quote Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:
AshyLarryMP 49-45-2 -$131
STL Cardinals ML First 5 Innings -125
MIA Marlins TT Under 3 -140
WAS Nationals ML First 5 Innings -140
what i like about these bets is i have a tie option to all 3 of them.. i know gallardo is bad vs STL.. but i focus on wainwright.. 134ip 1.98 career ERA vs MIL.. that's kershaw vs giants #'s!! ownage is ownage and i can't deny those #'s.. why i bet first 5 because i trust wainwright, not cardinals bullpen.
marlins bet i feel they have 0 chance of scoring 3 off of hamels.. marlins are 1-9 this year vs lefties, feel hamels is licking his lips at this matchup.. i can see this hedging which is fine by me.. but only way marlins score 4 is if cole only goes 6ip and bullpen blows it.. take my chances.
nationals first 5 because i get the leading/tie option.. and strasburg usually doesn't go deep into games.. but i do trust him to make a statement today, he's due.. and i didn't forget his last time in Pitt. (debut 7ip 14 k's) don't think he forgot either.
I'm not sure about that but, the line movement was fishy in this game... The betting patterns were weird. It was higher % on Twins ML and higher % on Indians RL. Vegas flopped the line to adjust the confusion, and had more public $ on Twins.
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Quote Originally Posted by natalieportman9:
Are the twins always this bad vs lefties?
I'm not sure about that but, the line movement was fishy in this game... The betting patterns were weird. It was higher % on Twins ML and higher % on Indians RL. Vegas flopped the line to adjust the confusion, and had more public $ on Twins.
I like the approach today Ashy and nice 3-0 yesterday! The push aspect of your picks is nice, but even a 1-1-1 day will be a loss. Just be careful on the juice you lay for 1st5 inn. bets. BoL!
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I like the approach today Ashy and nice 3-0 yesterday! The push aspect of your picks is nice, but even a 1-1-1 day will be a loss. Just be careful on the juice you lay for 1st5 inn. bets. BoL!
I'm not sure about that but, the line movement was fishy in this game... The betting patterns were weird. It was higher % on Twins ML and higher % on Indians RL. Vegas flopped the line to adjust the confusion, and had more public $ on Twins.
Indians bats were just too hot, and (I guess?) Kazmir still has some tricks left. it is over with this indians bullpen, they have been solid.
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Quote Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:
I'm not sure about that but, the line movement was fishy in this game... The betting patterns were weird. It was higher % on Twins ML and higher % on Indians RL. Vegas flopped the line to adjust the confusion, and had more public $ on Twins.
Indians bats were just too hot, and (I guess?) Kazmir still has some tricks left. it is over with this indians bullpen, they have been solid.
Indians bats were just too hot, and (I guess?) Kazmir still has some tricks left. it is over with this indians bullpen, they have been solid.
So I'd like your opinion... Same thing happening with lines and unlicensed betting in Texas tonight. Leaning Red Sox and Over. Think the total RLM was aimed for big bettors because public money didn't warrant it.
What do you think of Boston tonight? Kazmir winning kind of unbelievable, same as Lackey?
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Quote Originally Posted by natalieportman9:
Indians bats were just too hot, and (I guess?) Kazmir still has some tricks left. it is over with this indians bullpen, they have been solid.
So I'd like your opinion... Same thing happening with lines and unlicensed betting in Texas tonight. Leaning Red Sox and Over. Think the total RLM was aimed for big bettors because public money didn't warrant it.
What do you think of Boston tonight? Kazmir winning kind of unbelievable, same as Lackey?
I like the approach today Ashy and nice 3-0 yesterday! The push aspect of your picks is nice, but even a 1-1-1 day will be a loss. Just be careful on the juice you lay for 1st5 inn. bets. BoL!
thanks man!.. and noted on f5 bets gonna roll with it till it burns me..
and side note.. twins were 2-1 vs lefties going into kazmirs start.. saw some RLM on this game.. so musicmatt's onto something there.
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Quote Originally Posted by natalieportman9:
I like the approach today Ashy and nice 3-0 yesterday! The push aspect of your picks is nice, but even a 1-1-1 day will be a loss. Just be careful on the juice you lay for 1st5 inn. bets. BoL!
thanks man!.. and noted on f5 bets gonna roll with it till it burns me..
and side note.. twins were 2-1 vs lefties going into kazmirs start.. saw some RLM on this game.. so musicmatt's onto something there.
So I'd like your opinion... Same thing happening with lines and unlicensed betting in Texas tonight. Leaning Red Sox and Over. Think the total RLM was aimed for big bettors because public money didn't warrant it.
What do you think of Boston tonight? Kazmir winning kind of unbelievable, same as Lackey?
Lackey is a better pitcher than kazmir. I believe that he has made leaps this year and is set for a solid season after a nightmare last 2. Boston's few blips on the scoresheet this year have all been vs quality low zone lefties. Pettitte, Chen, Happ, and last night. I think Boston have a lot of ML value here, even on the Alternate 1.5 runline. Total over and the TT over as well.
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Quote Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:
So I'd like your opinion... Same thing happening with lines and unlicensed betting in Texas tonight. Leaning Red Sox and Over. Think the total RLM was aimed for big bettors because public money didn't warrant it.
What do you think of Boston tonight? Kazmir winning kind of unbelievable, same as Lackey?
Lackey is a better pitcher than kazmir. I believe that he has made leaps this year and is set for a solid season after a nightmare last 2. Boston's few blips on the scoresheet this year have all been vs quality low zone lefties. Pettitte, Chen, Happ, and last night. I think Boston have a lot of ML value here, even on the Alternate 1.5 runline. Total over and the TT over as well.
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