MLB - Thursday 4/8

How do the O's have pitching advantage game?  Niemann is a much more proven pitcher than Matusz and rays have the better pen.  Niemann is my LONG sleeper pick to win the cy.  His 2nd half numbers last year were outstanding and he was absolutely lights out this spring.  My biggest bet of the year is this under however.  No action on rays as I like matusz as well.

Gamehunter,

I have a quick question, if you would be so kind....

I also liked the Cubs, O's, and Mariners for values as dogs today.  However, the line has moved pretty drastically in all three games.  With the Cubs game, it has moved a full 20 points since early this morning.  My question is this, with a line moving down on the dogs, I assume this represents heavy betting on these dogs and therefore means that a majority of the public is on the same side as you.  Now, this may be completely off-base, but I try to stay away from the same side as the public due to the majority's talent for picking the loser of a contest.  Is this solid logic or not?  I know that the dogs still represent a value (even at the reduced line) and your system is based on betting values, not picking winners, but does it concern you at all to see the public on the same side that you are on? 

I am simply trying to learn more about BB handicapping, not questioning your method at all.... just trying to gain a better perspective.  If you have the time, I would really be interested in your response.

I just bet the over at +105 because of the high number and the good pitchers,along with the recent unders the last 2 days.

Someone getting pounding today. IMO

Gamehunter,

I have a quick question, if you would be so kind....

I also liked the Cubs, O's, and Mariners for values as dogs today.  However, the line has moved pretty drastically in all three games.  With the Cubs game, it has moved a full 20 points since early this morning.  My question is this, with a line moving down on the dogs, I assume this represents heavy betting on these dogs and therefore means that a majority of the public is on the same side as you.  Now, this may be completely off-base, but I try to stay away from the same side as the public due to the majority's talent for picking the loser of a contest.  Is this solid logic or not?  I know that the dogs still represent a value (even at the reduced line) and your system is based on betting values, not picking winners, but does it concern you at all to see the public on the same side that you are on? 

I am simply trying to learn more about BB handicapping, not questioning your method at all.... just trying to gain a better perspective.  If you have the time, I would really be interested in your response.

GH has that one habit of taking a team a third time if he has lost with them the first two games of a series..tonight's example..CUBS again....the Braves will win again cause they are just better than the Cubs..plus you are getting nice value on the Braves cause the sheep are betting it down...this is a real nice price for a home sweep

GH has that one habit of taking a team a third time if he has lost with them the first two games of a series..tonight's example..CUBS again....the Braves will win again cause they are just better than the Cubs..plus you are getting nice value on the Braves cause the sheep are betting it down...this is a real nice price for a home sweep