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MLB 5/26/16 - Thursday, just Thursday

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Posted: #1

MLB – 2016

61-54, + $1,250.15, +5.43% RoR

5/25, 3-1, +270.70 

5/26 Flat $200.00 

Braves -125, Peralta/Wisler

Bettors will always value teams over pitchers and compare W/L records and offense ahead of anything else. Good for them, hey stock the books with money to pay the winners. What they miss with the Braves is that anytime Teheran or Wisler take the ball they are suddenly not a bad team at all, however; every time Wily Peralta is handed the ball the Brewers are a bad team. I don’t care who likes it and who doesn’t but a Peralta/Wisler matchup is Braves -223 before you do anything else. That represents extreme value versus the line and that is what we are after.

Only play of the day so my streak is on the line.

BOL  

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #2
I like it, had Wiser in his last outing giving up one run. Withe the Braves winning that game.
 
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Posted: #3
oh yeah, love this play :) following streaker who's at 19 in row!!

got atlanta ML and RL and TT over 4 lol but 1-0 atlanta would work also :) 

gllllllll
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by onlybeststuff:

oh yeah, love this play :) following streaker who's at 19 in row!!

got atlanta ML and RL and TT over 4 lol but 1-0 atlanta would work also :) 

gllllllll
How does 1-0 work if you have the run line and TT over 4? You must be making much larger wagers on the ML or it doesn't.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #5
Im taking Mil here, but small since a lot of good cappers taking Atl.
 
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Posted: #6
About time you show up


 
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Posted: #7
Correct Key, big play on ML, the RL and TT just a little sprinkle.
 
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Posted: #8
Agree with you 100% I'm on Atlanta ML all the way. Peralta is just plain terrible. 
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by J_Dash_Score:

Im taking Mil here, but small since a lot of good cappers taking Atl.

So you are fading someone who won 19 in row (survivor streaker)? at least do it tomorrow when he is a win away from 25k 
 
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Posted: #10
Haven't paid much attention to Atlanta this year. Any thoughts on their bullpen compared to the Brewers?
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by Hooterspfld:

Haven't paid much attention to Atlanta this year. Any thoughts on their bullpen compared to the Brewers?
Bullpens should be irrelevant. In fact, anything other than Peralta/Wisler is irrelevant. If both pitch to form nothing else will matter. Peralta averages 5.17 innings per start with a 6.92 era. Wisler averages 6.92 innings with an era of 2.93.

Would you want the better bullpen with a 4 inning burden and probably a 2 or 3 run deficit or the lesser bullpen with a 2 inning burden and a 2 or 3 run lead?

Bullpens will not settle this game, the starters will.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Bullpens should be irrelevant. In fact, anything other than Peralta/Wisler is irrelevant. If both pitch to form nothing else will matter. Peralta averages 5.17 innings per start with a 6.92 era. Wisler averages 6.92 innings with an era of 2.93.

Would you want the better bullpen with a 4 inning burden and probably a 2 or 3 run deficit or the lesser bullpen with a 2 inning burden and a 2 or 3 run lead?

Bullpens will not settle this game, the starters will.

Perfect explanation for this particular game. The man did back the twins and rangers yesterday as well and those are bad pens.
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Bullpens should be irrelevant. In fact, anything other than Peralta/Wisler is irrelevant. If both pitch to form nothing else will matter. Peralta averages 5.17 innings per start with a 6.92 era. Wisler averages 6.92 innings with an era of 2.93.

Would you want the better bullpen with a 4 inning burden and probably a 2 or 3 run deficit or the lesser bullpen with a 2 inning burden and a 2 or 3 run lead?

Bullpens will not settle this game, the starters will.

Good point. Just a little worried that Atlanta may not put up many runs. They are ranked 30th in MLB having scored only 140 runs so far... I could see this going into the 5-6 inning with Atlanta only tagging Peralta for a run or two... I'm still a fan of the bet and thanks for taking the time to respond!
 
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Posted: #14
GL
 
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Posted: #15
With you tonight 
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by Hooterspfld:


Good point. Just a little worried that Atlanta may not put up many runs. They are ranked 30th in MLB having scored only 140 runs so far... I could see this going into the 5-6 inning with Atlanta only tagging Peralta for a run or two... I'm still a fan of the bet and thanks for taking the time to respond!
Over the course of their last 15 versus righty the Braves have averaged 2.6 offensive earned runs per nine, and the Brewers 3.6. The quality of the pitching negates both. Braves up, Brewers down.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Bullpens should be irrelevant. In fact, anything other than Peralta/Wisler is irrelevant. If both pitch to form nothing else will matter. Peralta averages 5.17 innings per start with a 6.92 era. Wisler averages 6.92 innings with an era of 2.93.

Would you want the better bullpen with a 4 inning burden and probably a 2 or 3 run deficit or the lesser bullpen with a 2 inning burden and a 2 or 3 run lead?

Bullpens will not settle this game, the starters will.


This is true...right up until an extended rain storm delays the game for an hour+ and knocks both starters out.  If said storm happens say in 3rd inning, then bullpens will play a big role.  Rain is in the forecast, just a matter of how strong and long lasting it will be.
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by lakerz:



This is true...right up until an extended rain storm delays the game for an hour+ and knocks both starters out.  If said storm happens say in 3rd inning, then bullpens will play a big role.  Rain is in the forecast, just a matter of how strong and long lasting it will be.
Honest, if you want to worry about every little thing you will never find a play to make. Concern over the weather does not eliminate this  s the highest probability play of the day. The endeavor is called gambling because a million different things can happen. Wisler could catch a line drive off his head in the first and never play another game. Should that scare me off?


Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #19
productive 2 run HR with 2 outs ohh especially getting out of the 2 on 0 out jam :)
 
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Posted: #20
I'm rooting for the guy who is 2 away from 25K.

but lets say he loses tonight.  It is like he goes all in on the worst team in mlb. 

you guys playing 9 innings.   mil up 3-0 now. 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Honest, if you want to worry about every little thing you will never find a play to make. Concern over the weather does not eliminate this  s the highest probability play of the day. The endeavor is called gambling because a million different things can happen. Wisler could catch a line drive off his head in the first and never play another game. Should that scare me off?




Good point, sometimes I can over analyze something I guess.  I just see a game with 65% chain of rain throughout and start wondering about bullpen possibilities.  Good luck.
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

I'm rooting for the guy who is 2 away from 25K.

but lets say he loses tonight.  It is like he goes all in on the worst team in mlb. 

you guys playing 9 innings.   mil up 3-0 now. 


I saw what I did there.  mil still up 3-2

atl had their chance with runner in scoring position with opportunity to score but that's baseball.  Pitcher still have to get lucky to get out of such pressure too. 

3 more innings left.  
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Posted: #23
atl game delay?

cancel game get money back? 


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Posted: #24
Yeah Atlanta messed up by not scoring at least one there.. This steaks the did get lucky yesterday, he had Pittsburg and they were Loosing 3-0 also... No easy wins for him 
 
 
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Posted: #25
Atl is 4-50 risp since last Thursday bs. So many chances to score this game . This rain delay needs to go away . Braves still got chance to catch and win this with 3 inning left . 
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