MLB – 2016
156-143-3, $ +3,079.95, +5.15% RoR
8/19, 3-0, +607.48
8/20, Flat $200.00
Rays -109, +145, Griffin/Odorizzi
The matchup changes everything here. The Rays failing versus the lefty Hamels was predictable but now bettors are jumping on the Rangers bandwagon and the Rays have the better pitcher (72.2/62.2) and take a 41.5 rating, 7.20 oera and 10 quality performances in their last 15 shots at righty. (Rangers 36.8, 4.2, 7 qs)
Orioles -139, Fiers/Tillman
The Astros exploded last night but it was not an out of character performance for them as they got off to a great start by bombing the lefty Miley. Righty, especially good ones like Tillman are a different story. In that area they have given only 4 quality performances their last 15 and show a probable oera of 2.73. The O’s counter with 9 of 15 and 7.42.
Marlins +111, Phelps/Kuhl
There may be a lot of “gut feeling” on my part in this play but I think bettors consistently overvalue the Pirates and HFA. I won’t even explain the differences as they are all pretty slim. If you don’t like it, don’t play.
Phillies +121, Weaver/Hellickson
The ridiculous line of the day. Lucas Weaver has not shown us much and Hellickson is having a great season. To top it off the Phillies are the much higher offensive probability team today and also have HFA, for whatever it is worth. False favorite here folks.
Red Sox -129, Pomeranz/Norris
No comparison here. The Red Sox hold every important categorical edge for a 61.7% win probability.
Royals -139, Santiago/Kennedy
Never stand in front of a freight train with a head of steam built up when they bring their best righty against an offense that is inconsistent and struggling at the moment. Again, last night I said the Royals are getting what they need and of course the offense came through in the tenth. Snapping at the Tigers heels now and they can smell blood in the water.
BOL
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