MLB – 2016
156-143-3, $ +3,079.95, +5.15%
RoR
8/19, 3-0, +607.48
8/20, Flat $200.00
Rays -109, +145, Griffin/Odorizzi
The matchup changes
everything here. The Rays failing versus the lefty Hamels was predictable but
now bettors are jumping on the Rangers bandwagon and the Rays have the better
pitcher (72.2/62.2) and take a 41.5 rating, 7.20 oera and 10 quality
performances in their last 15 shots at righty. (Rangers 36.8, 4.2, 7 qs)
Orioles -139, Fiers/Tillman
The Astros exploded
last night but it was not an out of character performance for them as they got
off to a great start by bombing the lefty Miley. Righty, especially good ones
like Tillman are a different story. In that area they have given only 4 quality
performances their last 15 and show a probable oera of 2.73. The O’s counter
with 9 of 15 and 7.42.
Marlins +111, Phelps/Kuhl
There may be a lot
of “gut feeling” on my part in this play but I think bettors consistently
overvalue the Pirates and HFA. I won’t
even explain the differences as they are all pretty slim. If you don’t like it,
don’t play.
Phillies +121, Weaver/Hellickson
The ridiculous line
of the day. Lucas Weaver has not shown us much and Hellickson is having a great
season. To top it off the Phillies are the much higher offensive probability
team today and also have HFA, for whatever it is worth. False favorite here
folks.
Red Sox -129, Pomeranz/Norris
No comparison here.
The Red Sox hold every important categorical edge for a 61.7% win probability.
Royals -139, Santiago/Kennedy
Never stand in
front of a freight train with a head of steam built up when they bring their
best righty against an offense that is inconsistent and struggling at the
moment. Again, last night I said the Royals are getting what they need and of
course the offense came through in the tenth. Snapping at the Tigers heels now
and they can smell blood in the water.
BOL 
You're smoke on the water, bud....expected to see you on the Reds again F5. You must have talked yourself out of it.
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