MLB 8/24/16

MLB – 2016

164-148-3, $ +3,532.02, +5.64% RoR

8/23, 2-1, +268.80

8/24, Flat $240.00

Rockies +110, Anderson/Davies

I will stick with the Rockies today after the bullpen blow of last night. Plus $ with Anderson is a good deal.

Cubs -255, Hendricks/Clemens

Best pitcher on a great staff and a Cy Young contender is not likely to blow one to a team with only 3 quality performances in their last 10 versus righty and a 3.48 oera. If he does struggle, his own offense could carry the day as they have 9 quality outings their last 10 and an oera of 9.07. I compute an 89% win probability for the Cubs and need only 71.8% to justify the -255. Lay it, and take the 39.2% profit.

Braves +131, Teheran/Greinke

On any given day the Braves stand a good chance with Teheran on the hill and right now they are hitting pretty well. The name “Greinke” and HFA have the D-bax way overvalued in this spot.

BOL  

Crashdavis “fade the Braves” is now 21-14, -207 (Diamondbacks closed -113)

Love your picks 90% of the time Key, but I'm not sure I understand your COL love as road warriors.

Pitching matchup is about even given away/home and pens, etc.

COL has one of the lowest OPS .699 when they're not at Coors.

MIL OPS .757 this month and .764 at home.

They have the momentum and confidence going for them, pen has been playing better than COL.

I know Davies recent two performances were bad, but he did have to go into Chicago and face the cubs, and went up against a red hot CIN team that is a completely different AUG club than they were early in the year. I think this is a good spot for him to bounce back.

You're an amazing capper, so I must be missing something. I was leaning MIL, but I respect you enough to pass/at least spend some more time looking into game.