Posted:
#26
Quote Originally Posted by TreyInventor:
I'm on Jay's too. Have a strange feeling about it tho I would think Happ would be -190 vs Jiminez. Kind of feels like yesterday when Santiago with a million ERA almost pitched a shut out vs the Indians last night. Granted Jays are hitting a lot better than Cleveland. But fuk it if we lose we lose. Bol Key
The odds offered and then adjusted by bettors have almost nothing to do with true probability and everything to do with public perception and marketability. If you want the market to reflect your opinion of where the odds should be all you are doing is confirming public opinion. I think the BJ's are low (value), the Rangers are low (value) and the Astros are a false favorite (huge value). But, I am not coming at it like Joe six pack or hardly anyone else.I'm on Jay's too. Have a strange feeling about it tho I would think Happ would be -190 vs Jiminez. Kind of feels like yesterday when Santiago with a million ERA almost pitched a shut out vs the Indians last night. Granted Jays are hitting a lot better than Cleveland. But fuk it if we lose we lose. Bol Key
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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.............if the line makers thought like this, vegas would be t i t s up in about one month.
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