T. Lincecum, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of 2.84 (#19 in MLB), xFIP of 2.88 (#6 in MLB), and tERA of 3.13 (#15 in MLB), with a BABIP of .294, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of 0.33. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.97, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .222. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 51%, FB%: 31% for a 1.62 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
R. Dempster, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 4.15 (#122 in MLB), xFIP of 3.39 (#35 in MLB), and tERA of 4.98 (#156 in MLB), with a BABIP of .334, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 1.16. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.49, with a WHIP of 1.49, and opponent BA of .28. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 33% for a 1.43 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.
San Francisco Giants have the #2 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a road record of 22-21 (51%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 7 in a row.
Chicago Cubs have the #25 bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #26 in fielding. They have a home record of 17-24 (41%), ranked #27 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Dempster has allowed 17 hits and 7 walks in his last 11.3 innings pitched (10k's helped keep to 5 total ER's). He is 3-8 against SFG with a 5.33 ERA and 1.6 WHIP. He has averaged 112 pitches per start over his last 5 outings (102 P/GS YTD). Lincecum gave up 8 hits and 6 ER's in his one start agains the Cubs in 2010. He's coming off a dominant outing with 7 innings pitched, 3 hits allowed, and 12K's to 2 BB's against a weak-hitting Twinkies lineup.
Odds: SFG -130 (57%) CHC +122 (45%) O/U =
Lean: Giants
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Cincinnati Reds 41-40 (51%) @ Tampa Bay Rays 45-35 (56%)
E. Volquez, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a FIP of 5.02 (#177 in MLB), xFIP of 4.02 (#110 in MLB), and tERA of 5.4 (#176 in MLB), with a BABIP of .313, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.75. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.5, with a WHIP of 1.68, and opponent BA of .257. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 30% for a 1.77 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 18%.
J. Shields, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of 3.1 (#34 in MLB), xFIP of 2.89 (#7 in MLB), and tERA of 3.33 (#30 in MLB), with a BABIP of .25, LOB% of 84%, and E-F of -0.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.18, with a WHIP of 0.96, and opponent BA of .204. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 37% for a 1.2 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Cincinnati Reds have the #23 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #3 in fielding. They have a road record of 19-21 (48%), ranked #15 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Tampa Bay Rays have the #29 bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #1 in fielding. They have a home record of 19-19 (50%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
First time both of these pitchers face these teams. Rays are 9-2 last 11, Reds are 4-7.
Odds: CIN +155 (39%) TBR -165 (62%) O/U = 8
Lean: UNDER
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Los Angeles Dodgers 36-45 (44%) @ Minnesota Twins 33-45 (42%)
R. De La Rosa, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of 4.89 (#169 in MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#96 in MLB), and tERA of 5.9 (#185 in MLB), with a BABIP of .373, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 1.21. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.47, with a WHIP of 1.79, and opponent BA of .289. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 24%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 32% for a 1.35 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.
S. Baker, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a FIP of 3.64 (#74 in MLB), xFIP of 3.49 (#49 in MLB), and tERA of 3.92 (#68 in MLB), with a BABIP of .295, LOB% of 80%, and E-F of -0.25. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.29, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .245. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 44% for a 0.8 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Los Angeles Dodgers have the #22 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding. They have a road record of 17-21 (45%), ranked #21 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Minnesota Twins have the #30 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a home record of 15-17 (47%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
De La Rosa has allowed 13 ER's on 18 hits in his last 15.2 innings pitched (3 starts). He has 18 K's to 10 BB's in that span. Baker is coming off a 'rough' outing @ Milwaukee (8 hits / 4 ER's) but has a 2.70 ERA at home, a full run lower than on the road. Neither pitcher has faced these lineups before.
Odds: LAD +130 (43%) MIN -138 (58%) O/U = 8
Lean: Twins
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Kansas City Royals 33-47 (41%) @ San Diego Padres 36-45 (44%)
B. Chen, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.66 (#159 in MLB), xFIP of 4.45 (#159 in MLB), and tERA of 5.2 (#171 in MLB), with a BABIP of .288, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -0.77. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.75, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of .271. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 45% for a 0.77 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
T. Stauffer, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 3.09 (#33 in MLB), xFIP of 2.97 (#11 in MLB), and tERA of 3.52 (#41 in MLB), with a BABIP of .306, LOB% of 78%, and E-F of 0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.57, with a WHIP of 1.21, and opponent BA of .253. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 24% for a 2.28 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Kansas City Royals have the #18 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a road record of 40839 (51%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
San Diego Padres have the #5 bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #17 in fielding. They have a home record of 18-27 (40%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Stauffer has allowed 3 ER's in his last 4 starts, 29 innings pitched. Chan is pitching his 2nd game since coming off a DL. In his first outing he gave up 4 ER's and 8 hits in 6 innings pitched. Neither pitcher has faced these lineups before. Padres are 6-1 their last 7. KC is 2-8 their last 10.
Odds: KCR +137 (42%) SDP -146 (59%) O/U = 7
Lean: Padres and Under
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