MLB is a joke now

idk how any of you can bet on this sport

lines are so sharp now that "easy/should win" picks are all traps

Vegas cleaning up. 

Its truly random now. Mind as well take underdogs

U on the Yanks or Braves or both?

Then do it brother

u know -200 and above are sucker bets and ur still takin them years into your career find god

@skillahmang

@DoYouMind69

both but how can you take the blowjobs and fish in those spots? Its truly random.

Theres no skill in capping. 

Either it hits or it doesnt. Would love to see winning cappers here in the LONG RUN (50-100 game sample IS NOT a big sample)

Im an OG in this forum and you can ask anyone that the games have changed. Not just MLB, but NFL NBA

With the influx of data and analytics, there are no edges anymore.

End of rant. 

Max Fried coming of the IL.. Cole has not looked good this season coming off injury. Overrated AF

Kansas team should have at least 6 points but they nothing after 5 

@skillahmang

 There are times to take heavy favs if your model produces a higher percentage than the given line.

From my experience, any lines that are in the 190-210 range are sucker bets. Yankees and Braves did not qualify. 

@davemsh

 I looked into this and my sources told me that Fried was ready and healthy. Obviously that changed when he got bombed in the 4th. 

Cole looks fine. Yankees bats are either hot or not, no in between unlike the Dodgers who are very consistent

Overall, it's very frustrating. Sports capping is not as easy as it once was back 5-10 years ago.  

I took brew crew , guys cant hit a car if it was in front of them . Already looks like vegas has all the bum ass teams to win today against the good teams

@FD30

yep pretty much

Vegas cleans up again. It really does make you think which games are either rigged or if certain intel/info is purposely being withheld.

Look at the orioles line today. You have the ACE BURNES on the mound but the line was close to -120. Although it LOOKS like a trap, it was an "easy" pick. 

Thats what Vegas does. And theyre the best at making cappers second guess themselves based on the price of the line 

No Doubt MLB has become a complete joke for capping.  There is no model , stats or analytics that can predict some of these bizarre outcomes. Not many good starting or closing pitchers and the bullpens inbetween can be disastrous. Never seen so many 3-4-5 run leads disappear almost instantly.  Good teams lose series or sometimes get swept laying -200 $ + every game all the time.  Seems like it would be simple to just bet the underdogs and the overs .. but somehow that don’t seem to work neither. lol  MLB will leave you questioning if the sky is really blue.  Thank goodness football is right around the corner. 

Setting aside fix or not. The entire issue in capping the games comes down to pitch count. When I was young complete games were the normal. Today if the pitcher throws 80+ pitches in 2 innings or 6 they are pulled most of the time. Then your wager is at the mercy of a bullpen that you can not cap. Why?

You have no clue who the manager will bring out next and next. Just look at the last 2 Cubs games or last nights Royals game. 

all valid points @JohnnyZ1976 and @gotime

CANNOT WAIT FOR NFL

The problem is the high juice on these heavy favorites that's why I just do totals never seen a total higher then -120 

Well said @PoeticJustice

 #5 

@Alex198339

 Yes the high juice on the favorites will kill your bankroll. A few -250$ -300$ losses will put your bankroll on the ropes. Never seen a sport besides maybe hockey with lucky bounce of pucks  .. that large favorites consistently lose like MLB. I think the MLB season is just far too long for every game to really matter to the coaches and players. Need a coach like Pete Rose .. that will make sure your wager will win. lol 

1.  Today, the best record in baseball is the Guardians at 67-44. They have lost 44 times and still own the best record. It is the nature of baseball. Teams are unpredictable and are going to lose games. One bad pitch can change the outcome of a game, regardless if it is a starter or reliever. 

2.  In betting baseball all season I believe streaks are more important. You try to find teams that are hot and teams that are cold. The White Sox have lost 20 games in a row. the Phillies are slumping in the second half. The A's offense has been on fire. If you haven't been riding/betting these streaks, then you have missed some real opportunities in baseball betting.

3. Lastly, Baseball has a million ways to bet now. If you are just betting sides for full games...then yes baseball can be very frustrating. For weeks I've been doing parlays on pitcher props when it comes to walks. Yes, the odds can be like 900 or even 1000, but when you combine these odds and do team total runs for instance, you can get the odds down pretty good. Almost every pitcher walks at least one batter every game.  

Yesterday, I had Canning plus 1 walk or more at 900, Wheeler plus 1 walk or more for 1000, and had the Yankees, Mets, and Twins all for plus 1 and 1/2 team total runs 1000 odds or higher for each. Yet, when combined the odds were close to even or definitely around 150 or less. I won decent money yesterday and didn't have to worry about a side. In fact, most of my bets covered by the fifth inning or less!

The Twins swept the White Sox this past weekend. No one wanted to pay 310 juice. I added Team USA women at 1800 and teased Germany to plus 29 points for 460 odds or something. I brought the Twins odds down to easily under 200 and won money on that too. 

I know people bitch about parlays or call them sucker bets, but 90% of the people lose in gambling because they all bet the same way. I'd rather take the Twins against a team that hasn't won in a month, with team USA women that will not lose, and a Germany team not to lose by more than 29 points in a 40 minute game...than hope the Mets beat the Angels on the road at 145 odds. The Mets lost which makes zero sense.

To win in gambling you have to think out of the box, especially in baseball.    

then leave it to those that can cap

bye

@PoeticJustice

 You made a lot of sense there very true things are changing. Especially now we have billions of dollars being gambled daily

And yet things still remain the same. Teams still lose a lot in baseball. The best teams in baseball that win 100 games still lose 60 games in the same year. Predicting when and where is extremely difficult, yet there are ways to increase your odds. In fact, the opportunities are better now.  

@PoeticJustice

 They keep changing rules in all these sports since the fanduels and DraftKings . I wonder why lol 

You are betting on human beings, by far the most unpredictable species on the planet. Forget about trying to predict what should be an obvious outcome and look for what is unpredictable. There are usually one or two games a night that fit the unpredictable category.

Example: Nats tonight. 75% of bettors on covers are predicting a mediocre team like SF will beat them tonight. The price is an absurd road fav -170. Giants should get the W tonight, better pitcher, better line-up, an easy win to predict, right? This is the kind of match-up I am talking about.

RT2