MLB system no brainer

Hello to all of you, yesterday I started this thread and then encountered a technical issue. So I have to start it again, no big deal.

Anyway, in this thread I am sharing a backtested system which at the end of saturday was 60-24-2 (+28.79 units), 8-1 in May, 5-0 last 5.

Please keep in mind that May was really a strong start in my opinion, so I expect some regression... Anyway, we'll see.

Keep in mind also this things:

1. All play we'll be to win 1 unit. I personaly will bet different unit size, but I'd like to post every play to win one 1 unit, so the record and units size will show the true power of the system. Then it's up to you if you decide to parlay it, chasing losses, betting more after a win... but I'll keep 1 unit

2. The system require a signal confirmation close to game time, 5-15 minutes before game time, so I won't post till that time. If you decide to follow, and you can't catch the prematch market, thre's always livebetting.

3. The updated record will be counted from Sunday May 5th, so we start @ 0-0-0

4. I won't study the play posted, I mean I'll probably study them lol, but I will post the bet regardless if I like it or not (I'll personaly play 1.5 units if I like it and 0.5 unit if I don't like it probably, but as stated above the posts will be always to win 1 unit)

Good luck to all of you

I forgot to mention, since I work with european odds, odds posted will be european.

So for those who read the sunday May 5th post, the official play (for sunday games) were:

Tampa Bay ml @ 1.56 --> I can't find the odds anymore, it was 1.5ish I remember, anyway it doesn't matter since the game was postponed, so no play (I actualy don't know if the bookmaker gives back the money or if they'll carry it on till the game day, mine gave me the moneyback, so no play)

Chi Sox ml @ 2.38, 0.72 units to win 1 unit --> 

Milwaukee ml @ 1.58, 1.72 units to win 1 unit -->

Current record 1-1-0, +0.28 units

Another thing I forgot to mention. This system seems to work pretty well with the RL (if the team is favored). You can take then also -1.5, -2.5, -3.5... I personaly think that with studying more deeply the games and the system based on teams previous game I can predict more accurately which teams will win by a big margin. Anyway I haven't backtested the -1.5 RL yet, let alone the other RL. Since the ml lloks like working really well enough, the play posted will be only ml. If you play feel free to play also RL if you like it

There was a play on Cincinnati vs SFG but I couldn't post due the technical issues which I just resolved.

Let's just say this. I saw the play of Tatao on that game, and I couldn't write Capoooo, say something lol.

Since I couldn't post, I won't count it on the record, doesn't matter if it was a win or a loss.

Next games will start in 2 hours, like I said I'll post close to game time because I require the signal confirmation

I'm curious, what exactly is "signal confirmation"? Are you setting up a tinfoil satellite out in the backyard?

Regardless, curious to see how your plays end up. BOL 

No play on Cleveland vs Chi Sox and no play on Yankees vs Seattle

I don't know if I should post that there are no plays, let me know how would you prefer?

Enjoy seeing you posting how there are no plays. Keeps people from constantly refreshing to see if you will be posting 

That's exactly what I tought

Damn, no play next 3 games. I wanna playy

ahahaha

No play brew crew vs washington

Cubs ml @ 1.37, 2.7 units to win 1 unit

This is by far the lowest odds register in the sistem. Anyway, I wouldn't bet Cubs runline ( I know that I didn't want to analyze it but here it is...)

Cubs just destroyed St Louis in a 3 game series, Atlanta comes from a lost 3 sweep series vs phila. In the last game though, Atlanta had their chances. Generaly speaking, I like the awy team here, should be a good spot to fade the cubs. The only problem is that Miami seems to be like Cagliari vs Juventus in soccer: they have an agrrement and no matter what Juve in the ends wins lol.

Speaking of the pitcher: Hamels vs Alcantara. I rate hamels mediocre, Chicago has won 5 games in a row when he is on the mound, thanks mostly to run support though. Alcantara has a better record at home than away, he comes from a loss vs Cleveland in which he conceded 4 ER runs, and 4 straight losses for Miami when he is on the mound.

So, they say the trend is your friend... and according to the trend Cubs should destroy Marlins.

But I am more of a contrarian player. I can see from the trends why the cubs is such a favourite. But a like to put a big emphasis on motivation.

Keeping in mind the Cubs destroeyed already Miami at Marlins stadium, I really cannot find a valid argument for the Cubs to destroy again Miami. Moreover, Alcantara has revenge against the cubs and Hamels (same matchup in game 3 at Miami, final result Miami 0 Cubs 6.

So bottom line, Miami and Alkantara both have revenge vs Cubs and Hamels, and also Miami coming from a lost sweep series vs Cubs won 3 games sweep series vs st louis, all this give the points in favor of Miami.

But I am playing the cubs aniway, because:

1. As I said I'll follow the system more or less blindy... 

2. Miami tends to play well (pardon, not so bad) against division rivals. Against all the others team, they just don't care and they don't fight lol. Especialy with the Cubs, as we saw in game 3 at Miami: they should have fought to try to avoid being swept... final result 0-6.

I expect Alkantara to pitch relative well though, or at least Cubs to be clement... Probably Cubs and under, but this is a blindy sistem play, so 2.7 units on the simple ml, hoping for Miami to play like they usualy play against non divisional 

Sorry for my english, I am really tired. I have slept 11 hours in 3 days, and in five hours the clock will ring

A quick look at the remaining games, then good night

Alright, looks like no other plays for the remaining games. Good night

...Atlanta comes from a lost 3 sweep series vs phila. In the last game though, Atlanta had their chances. l[/Quote]

Miami of course