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Money Ball 4-30-14

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Prospect
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Posted: #26
Lol, that's a good POINT!
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by ExclusiveSpread:

weak lineup today for brewers and miller owns them , garza has horrible numbers against cards....... any insight?

Sounds suspiciously like yesterday where they tied the first five and won the game outright. It is a nice price for a pitcher like Garza who should be able to hold them in the game. This Cardinals team isn't last years. They miss the Beltran production and their crazy average with RISP has corrected. Nothing wrong with taking a shot with a hot Brewers team here. Best of luck. 
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by Onigen:

Astros lost by 1 point yesterday. How you Mark that as a win?
You should get together with BamaTaxMan, you two have a lot in common.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by BamaTaxMan:

3 out of 4 (Orioles postponed), Great Night Key!

Do you get it? He wants to discredit me for a game that never went off.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

You should get together with BamaTaxMan, you two have a lot in common.

Throw me under the bus too. I need glasses real bad!
 
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Posted: #31
For a bunch of other ? I will keep it short and simple. I don't care about how you perceive the Brewers lineup and +.5 as some form of "insurance" is nonsense.

Public thinking will get you public results and please your bookie.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #32
You're slowly retraining my brain, Key. Thanks!
 
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Posted: #33
Key you are the man and I am learning a lot tailing you.

Keep on keeping on.
 
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Posted: #34
santafeken - I think I do owe you an apology. BamaTaxMan proved himself to be just as big a jerk as you originally thought
Quote Originally Posted by BamaTaxMan:

3 out of 4 (Orioles postponed), Great Night Key!

However, the best policy is still to just ignore that type of poster.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by best_bets:

Throw me under the bus too. I need glasses real bad!
Forgiven. Simple mistake. No harm, no foul.

But, don't let it happen again, I have a vicious posse around here.


Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #36
Just trying to learn man....that's why I asked you. Not questioning what you are doing, just asking your opinion. People buy points for extra value all the time in other sports, and I was getting .5 at a great price in a game that is predicted to be low scoring... thought it was a fair question. My bad I guess....appreciate what you do. GL
 
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Posted: #37
Onigen. It was a 5 inning bet
 
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Posted: #38
All along I been betting the moneyline. Wow.

New to baseball so give me a dam break.
 
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Posted: #39

Thanks Key for what you do. Although it wasn't easy,  I have accepted the vigilante treatment from your brew crew.

 
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Posted: #40

Brewers, F5, +128 (Garza / Miller)

Orioles, F5, -130 (Morton / Tillman)

Orioles: We start with the pitching and if you are going to lay juice with a favorite you have absolutely GOT to have it. No matter how well a team is playing or hitting that guy that takes the ball to the hill is still 67% of your probability. No team sport in the world is as dependent on one player as the starting pitcher in baseball. According to my numbers Tillman is worth at least 41 cents in line value over Morton, by himself. That is the beginning of the Pirates woes. Last 15 versus righty they are 5-7-3 with an oera of 2.5. The Orioles are 8-4-3 with an oera of 5.55. Lay it.

BOL

That will do it for today.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #41
GL Key! Opposite to you with the Brewers but like the Orioles 
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by NoDayButToday:

Just trying to learn man....that's why I asked you. Not questioning what you are doing, just asking your opinion. People buy points for extra value all the time in other sports, and I was getting .5 at a great price in a game that is predicted to be low scoring... thought it was a fair question. My bad I guess....appreciate what you do. GL
I apologize. I think I am a little testy this morning. Probably need a nap. Goes with old age you know. Anyway, buying points DOES NOT add value. You pay for what you receive. Added points may look like a value, but the decreased odds eat up more than you are getting. Is that helpful?

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by Onigen:

All along I been betting the moneyline. Wow.

New to baseball so give me a dam break.
No harm, no foul, let's move on.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #44
I'm staying off the two day games but I did put in Baltimore this morning at -130 even though it sure as heck looks like another rainout. Good luck with the Brew Crew.
 
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Posted: #45
Was wondering why you were not on Tillman earlier....I had him locked in. 
Nice to see you added.
GL!
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

I apologize. I think I am a little testy this morning. Probably need a nap. Goes with old age you know. Anyway, buying points DOES NOT add value. You pay for what you receive. Added points may look like a value, but the decreased odds eat up more than you are getting. Is that helpful?


Got it, much appreciated.
 
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Posted: #47
Just noticed the O's, that was my other pick along with Tampa.. Fantastic!
 
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Posted: #48
east coast games will almost certainly be PPD...

Key, the Angels game is a 405 start time for them today. How big of advantage are the the shadows for the pitchers in that game?  
 
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Posted: #49
Like that play on the O's. I think the Brews need to get to Miller, but looks like a low scoring game, so nervous on that. I tailed for a small play, but at +0.5 -120
 
 
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Posted: #50
Let's roll key
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