Then "Key" proceeds with a post of his correct picks for the day, as well as provide write-ups for them (NO mention of the Giants game).
Mariners: I don’t much like nicknames and never use them but if anyone is close to royal form right now it has to be that Hispanic guy from Seattle. Five straight quality starts and 12 of 13 on the season. Six straight team wins when he takes the ball and an offense that is currently scoring 5.4 earned runs per nine versus right handed starters. Archer is a popular young man with bettors and has 5 straight quality starts himself, but is only 7-5 h2h and 7-5 in the quality start department. Odds are, if one has to fall off the wagon today it is more likely Archer, and since his team is currently averaging only 3.3 earned runs per 9 he is less likely to get a boost from the boys versus Hernandez, than Hernandez is likely to get from his boys facing Archer.
Atros: I don’t know if bettors will ever learn that not every young gun that comes along has to have the ink and media splash of a Strasburg so that he can be a -150 favorite without ever throwing a single major league pitch, but when a guy like McHugh comes along, with an emerging offense like the Astros, they sometimes under value him and his team for a long, long time. One guy (don’t remember who) even said in my thread about a month ago “I know when Key picks a shitbox team like the Astros, something is up”. Well that assessment did not fit the Astros then and it fits even less now. They are currently on pace to win 69 games, which would get them under 100 losses and Over their projected season win totals, even playing in the best division in baseball this year (Sorry, A.L. East fans, it ain’t you). The team is 4-4 when McHugh takes the ball, as is he in h2h ratings, but he is 7-1 in quality starts that means he has only been beaten by guys that threw even better games than he did. Deduno is not that highly valued and the match up offenses are fairly equal, so with a 50-50 team record I have to ride this guy, who opened as a favorite, and deservedly so.
Tigers: It was a necessary trade at the time but there must have been a few tears in Miami when they sent Sanchez north. They knew what his future would be and right now this guy takes a back seat to no one, period. Lackey is a competitor himself, no doubt about that, but he isn’t going where Sanchez is and he doesn’t have the better offense behind him. At 27-34 overall and 12-17 on the road is it not time to stop thinking of the BooSox as last year’s champions and look at this year’s reality?
Mariners: I don’t much like nicknames and never use them but if anyone is close to royal form right now it has to be that Hispanic guy from Seattle. Five straight quality starts and 12 of 13 on the season. Six straight team wins when he takes the ball and an offense that is currently scoring 5.4 earned runs per nine versus right handed starters. Archer is a popular young man with bettors and has 5 straight quality starts himself, but is only 7-5 h2h and 7-5 in the quality start department. Odds are, if one has to fall off the wagon today it is more likely Archer, and since his team is currently averaging only 3.3 earned runs per 9 he is less likely to get a boost from the boys versus Hernandez, than Hernandez is likely to get from his boys facing Archer.
Atros: I don’t know if bettors will ever learn that not every young gun that comes along has to have the ink and media splash of a Strasburg so that he can be a -150 favorite without ever throwing a single major league pitch, but when a guy like McHugh comes along, with an emerging offense like the Astros, they sometimes under value him and his team for a long, long time. One guy (don’t remember who) even said in my thread about a month ago “I know when Key picks a shitbox team like the Astros, something is up”. Well that assessment did not fit the Astros then and it fits even less now. They are currently on pace to win 69 games, which would get them under 100 losses and Over their projected season win totals, even playing in the best division in baseball this year (Sorry, A.L. East fans, it ain’t you). The team is 4-4 when McHugh takes the ball, as is he in h2h ratings, but he is 7-1 in quality starts that means he has only been beaten by guys that threw even better games than he did. Deduno is not that highly valued and the match up offenses are fairly equal, so with a 50-50 team record I have to ride this guy, who opened as a favorite, and deservedly so.
Tigers: It was a necessary trade at the time but there must have been a few tears in Miami when they sent Sanchez north. They knew what his future would be and right now this guy takes a back seat to no one, period. Lackey is a competitor himself, no doubt about that, but he isn’t going where Sanchez is and he doesn’t have the better offense behind him. At 27-34 overall and 12-17 on the road is it not time to stop thinking of the BooSox as last year’s champions and look at this year’s reality?
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