Royals: Risky one
here because I consider Sanchez one of the top 5 pitchers in MLB and a very
scary guy to go against, but today the Royals are back to facing a righty and
that is where much of their vast improvement on offense has come about. A month
ago the Royals were averaging about 3.5 earned runs per 9 versus righty; now
that average (based on the last 15) is 6 runs per 9 and that is as good as
anyone in the game. At a line of -150/+140 the Royals have a line value of
$1.07 more than the Tigers, and that is more than enough to take a risk on the
dog.
Mets: The beloved Mutts
don’t do much to win respect but one thing they do well is hit lefties, to the
tune of 1.6 more earned runs per 9 than righties. Bettors don’t necessarily
notice this as most team face far fewer lefties than righties and that is what
influences their thinking on overall team quality, but the Mutts are 6-7 on the
season versus lefty and 4-2 their last 6. The Marlins offense versus righty has
almost disappeared and I have to give Wheeler an edge over Heaney, so again we
have an under valued dog.
Astros: The Astros are a
comer now and McHugh is one of the reasons, but with the Rays offensive
struggles we also have an advantage there. We need very little in this game, a
one run lead in 5 innings to capitalize on a 71 cent line advantage. It is
baseball, anything can happen, and that is proven on a daily basis.
White Sox: I can not see
Deduno versus the Sox offense as a better match up than the Twins versus
Quintana, and the Sox come into town off a successful series versus the Giants
while the Twins limp home from Boston
disappointed. There is a lot of disappointment ahead for the Twins as they
simply do not have the pitching to contend in the Central.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
0
Royals: Risky one
here because I consider Sanchez one of the top 5 pitchers in MLB and a very
scary guy to go against, but today the Royals are back to facing a righty and
that is where much of their vast improvement on offense has come about. A month
ago the Royals were averaging about 3.5 earned runs per 9 versus righty; now
that average (based on the last 15) is 6 runs per 9 and that is as good as
anyone in the game. At a line of -150/+140 the Royals have a line value of
$1.07 more than the Tigers, and that is more than enough to take a risk on the
dog.
Mets: The beloved Mutts
don’t do much to win respect but one thing they do well is hit lefties, to the
tune of 1.6 more earned runs per 9 than righties. Bettors don’t necessarily
notice this as most team face far fewer lefties than righties and that is what
influences their thinking on overall team quality, but the Mutts are 6-7 on the
season versus lefty and 4-2 their last 6. The Marlins offense versus righty has
almost disappeared and I have to give Wheeler an edge over Heaney, so again we
have an under valued dog.
Astros: The Astros are a
comer now and McHugh is one of the reasons, but with the Rays offensive
struggles we also have an advantage there. We need very little in this game, a
one run lead in 5 innings to capitalize on a 71 cent line advantage. It is
baseball, anything can happen, and that is proven on a daily basis.
White Sox: I can not see
Deduno versus the Sox offense as a better match up than the Twins versus
Quintana, and the Sox come into town off a successful series versus the Giants
while the Twins limp home from Boston
disappointed. There is a lot of disappointment ahead for the Twins as they
simply do not have the pitching to contend in the Central.
White
Sox, FG, -105 (Quintana / Deduno-Pino) I will take it either way. The situation remains the same and no matter what Pino has done in AAA this year I am not impressed with any guy that took 10 years to get his first major league appearance.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
0
Quote Originally Posted by Kaka123:
Quintana vs Pino.
White
Sox, FG, -105 (Quintana / Deduno-Pino) I will take it either way. The situation remains the same and no matter what Pino has done in AAA this year I am not impressed with any guy that took 10 years to get his first major league appearance.
Does the day game aspect drastically change the outcome in this Angels/Tribe game? Just curious to know why you left it off the card after making it a play yesterday.
Thanks Key and GL today
0
Does the day game aspect drastically change the outcome in this Angels/Tribe game? Just curious to know why you left it off the card after making it a play yesterday.
Royals: Risky one
here because I consider Sanchez one of the top 5 pitchers in MLB and a very
scary guy to go against,
I was just thinking about who would be in my top 10 MLB pitchers last night when SEA blew the lead for King Felix and Kershaw threw a no-hitter. So I ranked them just for fun:
1.) Clayton Kershaw
2.) Felix Hernandez
3.) Masahiro Tanaka
4.) Adam Wainwright
5.) Johnny Cueto
6.) Jose Fernandez
7.) Yu Darvish
8.) Stephen Strasburg
9.) Cliff Lee
10.) Julio Teheran
Which of my top 5 pitchers would you kick out in favor of Anibal?
0
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:
Royals: Risky one
here because I consider Sanchez one of the top 5 pitchers in MLB and a very
scary guy to go against,
I was just thinking about who would be in my top 10 MLB pitchers last night when SEA blew the lead for King Felix and Kershaw threw a no-hitter. So I ranked them just for fun:
1.) Clayton Kershaw
2.) Felix Hernandez
3.) Masahiro Tanaka
4.) Adam Wainwright
5.) Johnny Cueto
6.) Jose Fernandez
7.) Yu Darvish
8.) Stephen Strasburg
9.) Cliff Lee
10.) Julio Teheran
Which of my top 5 pitchers would you kick out in favor of Anibal?
Being from Kansas City, I believe the best play on the game today is the under 8. Duffy is our ace and Anibal has a 0.99 ERA lifetime against the royals. The streak has been a lot of fun and I wouldn't bet against the Royals in this spot, I just can't bet on a coin flip low scoring game as I believe it will be.
@rmb5w: You have not set enough parameters for anyone to give a good answer to your "top 10". Is it the best right now at this point in the season? season to date? most talent overall/who would I want long term? etc. etc.
As always BOL Key
0
Being from Kansas City, I believe the best play on the game today is the under 8. Duffy is our ace and Anibal has a 0.99 ERA lifetime against the royals. The streak has been a lot of fun and I wouldn't bet against the Royals in this spot, I just can't bet on a coin flip low scoring game as I believe it will be.
@rmb5w: You have not set enough parameters for anyone to give a good answer to your "top 10". Is it the best right now at this point in the season? season to date? most talent overall/who would I want long term? etc. etc.
Key you dont like the Angels f5 anymore that you had last night wilson/masterson?
At the time I posted the Angels yesterday they were -117. This morning that had jumped to -130 at the time I was preparing my post. That changes things and other plays replaced them in value. I still think they are the better side, but not necessarily at that price.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
0
Quote Originally Posted by Theone324:
Key you dont like the Angels f5 anymore that you had last night wilson/masterson?
At the time I posted the Angels yesterday they were -117. This morning that had jumped to -130 at the time I was preparing my post. That changes things and other plays replaced them in value. I still think they are the better side, but not necessarily at that price.
The discussion about Sanchez is worthy. I had a very hard time pulling the trigger on that one. For one thing Sanchez was the ONLY pitcher in my spreadsheet that qualified for a yellow highlight this morning, which means DO NOT GO AGAINST, yet I wound up doing it anyway. Duffy + streak + Royals hot bats + Tigers cold bats = Justification If the Royals can beat Scherzer with Guthrie on the hill and he throws one of his best games of the year versus that cold offense, Duffy versus Sanchez is not out of the question, and more than a dollar in line value tips the scales to PLAY.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
0
The discussion about Sanchez is worthy. I had a very hard time pulling the trigger on that one. For one thing Sanchez was the ONLY pitcher in my spreadsheet that qualified for a yellow highlight this morning, which means DO NOT GO AGAINST, yet I wound up doing it anyway. Duffy + streak + Royals hot bats + Tigers cold bats = Justification If the Royals can beat Scherzer with Guthrie on the hill and he throws one of his best games of the year versus that cold offense, Duffy versus Sanchez is not out of the question, and more than a dollar in line value tips the scales to PLAY.
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Good luck ! Like your handiecapping .
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