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Money Ball 6-29-2015

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Prospect
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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by PoppaLarge:

Agree with this. Seems fishy Bosox aren't the favorites with their recent run. Hate to be on the other side from you. But I'm rolling Blue Jays (completely agree with your analysis, but who wouldn't take Bosox +$ right now, maybe I just don't see the angle vegas is pulling oh well) GL  

If anything is fishy it's the line on the blue jays... a team with a 25-15 home record and playing good ball vs a team that could be consider a failure this far into the season and is last in the division, and the books are offering essentially even money on the game.

just to be clear this doesn't mean the blue jays won't win, it's more to show that your logic is flawed. good luck
 
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Posted: #27
Red sox +108, for the win!
 
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Posted: #28

Clay B has pitched very well against Toronto in the past.

BOL!

 
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Posted: #29
Thanks again KEY
 
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Posted: #30
This isn't a game to play hero on. Jays win
 
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Posted: #31
 
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Posted: #32
Toronto 322 runs scored against Right handed pitching this year.  
 
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Posted: #33

A few things to address

Yes, it is the only pick of the day, I f I am looking at more, like yesterday, I usually say so.

YTD stats are less important than how a team is currently playing, Last 11 versus righty

Boston 7-4, 5.75 oera

Toronto 6-5, 5.22 oera

Buchholz last 8 starts avg. rating 74.7

Dickey last 8 starts avg. rating 58.4

The pitcher rating alone is worth 80 cents on the line

If you are handicapping from YTD stats I hope you continue, that distorts the line away from true performance probability and creates false favorites, which is my meat.

Your money, your choice.  

 

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #34
I will address your Mr Sunshine comment tomorrow,as after today I have 3 days off to bug you,.
As for the plays nice day,but you know that Det.game was to early for me so can you keep your picks a bit later in the day,thanks in advance..
And this one will get you going for sure,I paid -160 on Giants -1/2 on the 5 inning line,I know you hate that and think it is stupid,but since you already think I am it did not matter,.
Bum is the best pitcher ever.
 
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Posted: #35
Key sent u a request I will be in Az Gilbert on 7/27 I will explain  just a long time follower since  5-2013 
 
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Posted: #36
Key thanks for the picks and write ups. What site(s) do you use to get your info?
 
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Posted: #37
BOL key!
 
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Posted: #38

like the play. that line stinks for the jays. 
 
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Posted: #39
on it 
 
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Posted: #40

JEG53 - 3 days off? I am prepared to assassinate your boss over that. As for missing picks I have told you before; get your fat, lazy arse out of bed, bet them, go back to bed and sleep like a baby, knowing your money is working hard for you. How you bet them is still your choice, regardless of whether you have learned anything or not. Bumgarner may be in the top 100 pitchers of all time, but isn't even the best current pitcher, so get your head out of your arse, home boy. Have a nice day!

  

 

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #41
 THANKS
 
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Posted: #42

Quote Originally Posted by GianG13:

Key sent u a request I will be in Az Gilbert on 7/27 I will explain  just a long time follower since  5-2013 
I don't know why but I don't have that E-mail. Want to try again?

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #43
Pardon me, PM
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #44
Since the success of full game sides,are totals unlikely to be used this year ????
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by SportsMedic:

This isn't a game to play hero on. Jays win


You're a bonafide douchebag for coming into Key's thread and trying to mush it. Get bent. 
 
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Posted: #46
 
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Posted: #47
Good luck Key
 
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Posted: #48

Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

Since the success of full game sides,are totals unlikely to be used this year ????
No, I have already played a couple and doing Ok, but the better side of totals usually carries the juice and seldom has the edge to carry it, at least as far as my program is concerned. I did call for one under at -130 that went to xtra innings tied at 0-0. Kind of proud of that one.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #49
Sent u another request
 
 
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