Quote Originally Posted by chironelly:
For the record, I never said anything bad against Keyelement. He was the one that for some reason was calling me out on my suggestion to another player, so now all I am doing is comparing it versus his picks.
For the record, no one cares. Key wasn't the only one dismissing your strategy in that thread, yet you've latched onto the one guy who knows more about actual sports capping you could ever hope to. That's why everyone else in here is ignoring you now. But I'm sick of seeing your idiotic replies, so.........
You were ALREADY TOLD before today that the results of a single day prove nothing. If you went 3-0 today and Key and CJ went a combined 0-6, guess what? Still NO ONE WOULD CARE. Because it was one day, in a vacuum. A monkey sat in front of a laptop logged into 5Dimes can go 6-0, too. It's called short-term variance. That's another gambling term you can ignore, with everything else you've been told so far.
You haven't discovered anything new. 'Fading the consensus' has long been a popular idea amongst casual/incompetent bettors who have neither the skill nor the patience to learn capping at an advanced, sabrmetric level. It doesn't work long term, because there's nothing to it. But that doesn't stop people touting it, people like you who build hype around specific runs or specific days. You fall for observation bias and don't do any real tracking. 'Seems to work' is good enough for people like you, and incredibly convenient when selectively reporting winning streaks and dismissing/hiding all those picks that don't actually go the way they're 'supposed to'.
If you've really found something wonderful, something so easy and profitable that we are morons to ignore it, then PROVE it. Not by turning up on a random day in here trying to get in an e-penis measuring contest with a respected capper, but by REMOVING ALL DOUBT by starting your own thread.
Make a new thread, right now, called #AntiWagerlineConsensus. Track every single pick your 'system' identifies. Track every dollar you bet on it. Track every cent you win, every cent you lose. Show that you're winning 'more than not' by tracking your overall return on investment. Show us that doing this for a year is EASY MONEY.
I GUARANTEE that if you do it long enough, you WILL end up at 50%. I know that because I do that tracking. I understand sports betting. You don't. You think you do, because you're still living in
Narnia where the president has a medal for you and you're one the slickest super-sharp kids up the back of the bus fading the azz out the public.
Well bullsht walks, and documented threads talk. Start your own. Prove me wrong. I say you are a 50% long-term nobody with your anti-this, anti-that, consensus LOLs. Go on, hero. Prove me wrong. Do it for a year and cash big.
Until you have, stay the hell out of threads like these. There's a reason everyone else in here is ignoring you now. Key's threads are for people with the skills and/or interest in advanced,actual handicapping. We come here for education and strategies, not some idiot hyping a 'trick' that is a proven failure.
Start your own thread, track your super-slick fade system from now. I say your system is no better than flipping coins, and a season-long record will prove it. Don't come back in here with your juvenile crap until you have repeatable, season-long proof.