Posted:
#51
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:
This is a very old problem with baseball handicappers, looking at season to date stats. Well, as of this morning we were 938 games into the season and if you use std stats it is comparable to using stats 3.66 years old when handicapping the NFL. NO TEAM is the same team that started the season April 1st. All have changed, evolved. In the last 15 versus right handed starters the Astros have 8 performances above the MLB benchmark of 31.5 in my rankings and produced 4 earned runs per 9 innings. The Dbacks have posted 7 above the benchmark performances and posted 3 earned runs per 9 innings. Who do you think is the better offense?
well said, I agree wholeheartedly. The Toronto BlueJays are an excellent example to your assessment; baseball handicapping stats are a "what have you done lately" format, not what a team has done from April to June, serious play begins after the All-Star break when the contenders evolve, and the weak teams fall back; trends play a very insignificant role when capping MLB...
This is a very old problem with baseball handicappers, looking at season to date stats. Well, as of this morning we were 938 games into the season and if you use std stats it is comparable to using stats 3.66 years old when handicapping the NFL. NO TEAM is the same team that started the season April 1st. All have changed, evolved. In the last 15 versus right handed starters the Astros have 8 performances above the MLB benchmark of 31.5 in my rankings and produced 4 earned runs per 9 innings. The Dbacks have posted 7 above the benchmark performances and posted 3 earned runs per 9 innings. Who do you think is the better offense?
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