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Money Ball 6.17

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

The grandchildren and the realization that you can not change an entire culture. Covers is what it is. Amen.



Well Said.
weeble had picked a couple of Texas unders in that series,so I figured if he was right Tor.might be a live dog,put me on Tor.twice,my book had Texas under as -140 on those games so I just played Tor.+170 on one and don't remember the other,but your right,betting against Texas at home usually is a bad idea,but their losing,I have been playing SD as they are hot also and Ari.is not winning like they were.
I also could not play Miami against the Cards,but that would of made money,but it's just the same way as you looked at Texas-Tor.,there was value but not it the Cards win,which they fail to do twice,
 
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Posted: #27
GL KEY
 
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Posted: #28
Got em both for F9...why not for F5?

Got the Stros too KE...bol and gl to all
 
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Posted: #29



 
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Posted: #30
Not a great time to fade the Blue Jays when they are on fire and pitching their ace @ home 

 
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Posted: #31
I'm not betting baseball this year, but still read your stuff.  
 
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Posted: #32
Good Luck Tonight
 
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Posted: #33
Don't bet a lot of baseball but fire up after all-star game. New to site but read you everyday! All the best as I think your using the correct side of your brain!
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by jackal4422:

Not a great time to fade the Blue Jays when they are on fire and pitching their ace @ home 

Ace? Really? At 1-5 when he takes the ball?
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #35

Mello   Key Element

 

I like that   all the best to you Gramps

 
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Posted: #36
Barry Zito (W 3-1)

7.0 5 0 0 1 4 0 3.42

These were Zito's last #s @SF last Sunday, April 21  5 hits and 0 runs

SD was swept and I think it's time the Pads come down off their perch. Zito amd the Giants are great at home. What scares me is SF F5 ML is only -125. You may be right...

 
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Posted: #37
gbpackman - that game was almost two months ago when Barry was on his early season roll. He has not performed like that since then, not even once. Your money, your choice.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #38

De La Rosa gives me a no-no through 5 and the Rockies squander their opportunities.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #39
Yeah that was the one thing I was worried about, JJ's numbers vs the Rockies, he shut them down once again
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by nuggetsfan:

Yeah that was the one thing I was worried about, JJ's numbers vs the Rockies, he shut them down once again

I have a book that offers +0.5 for the first 5; is this common?

I should have used the option today at -115.  I did use it on your 7 unit play on the Cards a week or so back so my losses were very limited on that day, and the +0.5 paid almost even money.

BOL.
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by Julespussy:


I have a book that offers +0.5 for the first 5; is this common?

I should have used the option today at -115.  I did use it on your 7 unit play on the Cards a week or so back so my losses were very limited on that day, and the +0.5 paid almost even money.

BOL.

Plus or minus a half is the 5 inning run line. Very common. All books that offer 5 inning play also offer the 5 inning run line. There is occasionally an advantage but you pay dearly for it. At +138 the Rockies earn 138 cents per dollar of risk and at -115 they earn 87 cents per dollar, so you pay 51 cents of line value for half run. In the long run I don't believe + a half or +1.5 on the nine inning run line are worth it. They just come into play too seldom. JMHO. Your money, your choice.

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by nuggetsfan:

Yeah that was the one thing I was worried about, JJ's numbers vs the Rockies, he shut them down once again
He had not pitched against the Rockies this year or last. How far back do you think the numbers are valid? Rosters change, as does current momentum. De La Rosa had a no-no through 5 and the Rockies squandered a 1st and 3rd, no outs, in the second. Your concern would mean a lot more posted before the fact than after it, when it is worthless. Tomorrow I will be able to give you an accurate read on every game played tonight. Doing it before the games are played is a little trickier. 
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #43
That's why they call it gambling!!!   I think your better off not even wasting your time w/ these morons!!!   Keep up the good intel. We're out here listening!!!!

Cheers!!!
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by Soccerone:

That's why they call it gambling!!!   I think your better off not even wasting your time w/ these morons!!!   Keep up the good intel. We're out here listening!!!!

Cheers!!!

Comforting. Warm and fuzzy. This Buds for you

 

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
 
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Posted: #45
Thanks for your answer.  Pads looking like a loser at present but again, more hits and wasted opportunities.  It may lose but in the long run was the right pick if you get my drift.

BOL
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