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Money Ball 7-02-2015

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Posted: #1

7-01

$469 Rockies +174, (Bettis/Hahn) L

$469 Phillies +107, (Lohse/Harang) L

$469 White Sox +136, (Quintana/Lackey) W

YTD 94-63, +$10,274.81 (+23.9% RoR)

7-02

$446 Rangers +121, (Gallardo/Gausman)

$446 Nationals -188, (Scherzer/Banuelos)

$446 Rockies +142, (Rusin/Hellickson)

BOL

Rockies: Play to +104. Gallardo is hot, 7 straight quality starts and an offense currently producing 5.8 offensive earned runs per 9.

Natinals: Play to -224. Scherzer is the best in the business right now and should get the start for the N.L. All Star team. Banuelos is a bone being thrown to the dogs (why burn a decent chucker versus Scherzer?).

Rockies: Embarrassing stint at Oakland but regardless of the standings the A’s are a far better team than the Dbax and Hellickson could not make the rotation there. Lefties are the weaker probability for the Dbax, but righties are the stronger side for the Rockies.

Going out for a couple hours, cya later

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #2
Thanks Key
 
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Posted: #3
Thanks 
 
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Posted: #4
The first one you mean Texas.....Good luck...nice work
 
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Posted: #5

Rangers: Play to +104. Gallardo is hot, 7 straight quality starts and an offense currently producing 5.8 offensive earned runs per 9.

Thanx for the heads up - editing error - my bad

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #6

One more note before I go. Someone last night said he went all in on the ChiSox +1.5. Just to be clear, I absolutely HATE the +1.5 run line at heavy juice, which it almost always carries. The simple way to look at is "If I need to pay heavy juice for a dubious advantage, I probably should not be playing that game at all".

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #7
Locked and loaded on Texas, Washington and Colorado! 

Let's do this! Many thanks! 
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

One more note before I go. Someone last night said he went all in on the ChiSox +1.5. Just to be clear, I absolutely HATE the +1.5 run line at heavy juice, which it almost always carries. The simple way to look at is "If I need to pay heavy juice for a dubious advantage, I probably should not be playing that game at all".


Thay is common sense....thanks KE from Venezuela...
 
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Posted: #9
Hey guys, what did I say about my plays and key's colliding?  Yep, keys is going to win.  He takes tex, I take balt.  Sucks to be me. 

keys got this so bet with confidence

Now I got to hedge my play because balt is going to lose.  Do allow me to tail keys moneyball with...

Wash -1  just to shave off them odds. 
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Posted: #10
Key, is it worth playing Wash -1.5 for less juice? Is here value there instead of laying a ton of juice, even though Scherzer is best in class?
 
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Posted: #11
Good Luck today Key 
 
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Posted: #12
How did you get Washington for -188? 3 books I use are between -140 / -150
 
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Posted: #13
You must be looking at wrong game. Wash is -195 on my book
 
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Posted: #14
While Scherzer has pitched great this year,he's still prone to give up the long ball.The lack of run support is why he has 5 losses this year.If the kid and bullpen keeps the runs at 3 or under,then the Braves have a chance at home.Never liked going against pitchers i've never seen because you don't really know who is going to show up.   
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by JFelty:

You must be looking at wrong game. Wash is -195 on my book


Bet365 - 1.47
Pinnacle - 1.52
SportsInteration - 1.48

What book are you using?
 
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Posted: #16
Max Scherzer is on his game, going with the nationals & rangers   
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by desm0nd:



Bet365 - 1.47
Pinnacle - 1.52
SportsInteration - 1.48

What book are you using?
  5 Dimes is at -190
 
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Posted: #18
Another 3 road team . Danger
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by desm0nd:



Bet365 - 1.47
Pinnacle - 1.52
SportsInteration - 1.48

What book are you using?

You are using the decimal line.  (-200) = 1.5.....meaning on both you win 50 cents on every dollar wagered.  


 
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Posted: #20

I like your picks and the comments on each.

 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by sideJOBplay:

Another 3 road team . Danger


You trying to mush Key's plays? What's with the "danger" comment? 

"Home field advantage" in MLB is an overrated public perception that probably doesn't factor too much in Key's analysis. That's my hunch anyway. 
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by Charlie_X:

Quote Originally Posted by sideJOBplay:

Another 3 road team . Danger
You trying to mush Key's plays? What's with the "danger" comment? "Home field advantage" in MLB is an overrated public perception that probably doesn't factor too much in Key's analysis. That's my hunch anyway.

No brother . Just saying . I respect keys . As I been tailing my man keys for few week now . Going ride with him no matter what . Sorry if had often anyone . My bad .
 
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Posted: #23
GL 
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by sideJOBplay:

Another 3 road team . Danger

Danger?? not so much buddy
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

While Scherzer has pitched great this year,he's still prone to give up the long ball.The lack of run support is why he has 5 losses this year.If the kid and bullpen keeps the runs at 3 or under,then the Braves have a chance at home.Never liked going against pitchers i've never seen because you don't really know who is going to show up.   
 
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